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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave


wdrag
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19 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

HRRR says we get hit overnight

upton also comments:

Then, the second round of showers and thunderstorms this evening
into the start of the overnight will be ahead of a longer mid level
shortwave trough and in the region with higher positive vorticity
advection. There is forecast to be more 0-6 km bulk shear (near
30- 35 kt) and also focused along a warm front with central low
pressure starting to move in. Instability will become elevated
and will be less than during the afternoon, with models showing
more of the region near 1000 to 1500 J/kg but the increased
shear aloft will keep severe potential going.

Overnight, convection weakens in intensity but there could be a few
strong thunderstorms with heavy rain still a threat also. Coverage
of convection is expected to lower as the warm front lifts farther
north of the region and best convergence area lifts farther north
with it. Added patchy fog for overnight into early Sunday morning
with moisture laden grounds after the convection and some slight
cooling as well as light winds as the low center moves slowly
farther east within the forecast region.
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25 minutes ago, rclab said:

Not at all, NYC. As youngsters, in the summer, we used to call it sun showers. As always …..

it was the odd the quickness the sun came back out when heavy showers and tstorms on the radar were right in or near the city the storms just went poof..i did not expect that.. that has not been the case for the city recently

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