NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 I’ve seen discussion in multiple threads, so here’s one for the storm. Should be a good widespread rain across a lot of the area. Tropical storm wind gusts working up the coast. Should be some gusty winds with whatever remains of the core as it moves through the Carolinas and into Virginia. Tomorrow afternoon could feature a tornado threat from the SC low country in NC coastal plain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 HRRR bullish on winds. usually I take these maps with a grain of salt but with the high offshore packing the gradient and dry air working in around the S and SE side who knows...maybe some 40-50 mph gust are possible for 3-4 hrs tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 42 minutes ago, downeastnc said: HRRR bullish on winds. usually I take these maps with a grain of salt but with the high offshore packing the gradient and dry air working in around the S and SE side who knows...maybe some 40-50 mph gust are possible for 3-4 hrs tomorrow.... I agree, given the building pressure gradient and dry air on the backside, any elevated showers should easily be able to give some wind gusts around 40 from the Columbia-Triangle east areas. Obviously nothing major but could cause a few trees or branches to fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 Flash flood watch out for all of central NC. 1-3” widespread with a swath of 3-5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Look out, Jacksonville... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 58 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Look out, Jacksonville... Debris ball showing up with this storm now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Both the 18z GFS and HRRR give me 3.0”. The 18z NAM gives me 0.3”. LOL I’ll split the difference and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Watching with intrigue here this evening in Charleston. Would not be shocked to see some tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, nwohweather said: Watching with intrigue here this evening in Charleston. Would not be shocked to see some tornadoes Hmm... Interesting indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Hmm... Interesting indeedJesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 10 hours ago, olafminesaw said: Hmm... Interesting indeed This same look moves through eastern NC this afternoon but with more heating in the afternoon and increased CAPE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Sustained wind 41, gusting 54 in myrtle beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Mentioned in this thread, I think the issue with the KLTX radar and trees was very noticeable early this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 A lot rotation with cells in that line moving onshore in Wilmington (tornado warning) and extending offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Up to a half an inch, but rain shield certainly seems to have eroded somewhat from this morning. Only light/moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Hasnt been anything crazy here, an occasional wind gust of maybe 15 mph but have picked up .79" rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Very strong rotation just west of FarmVille. Something showing on CC too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Northeastern Wilson County in central North Carolina... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1231 PM EDT, a tornado producing storm was located near Farmville, moving north at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Edgecombe and northeastern Wilson Counties, including the following locations... Macclesfield and Pinetops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 It has been very unimpressive as of now. Not super high rain rates either. Calling this a TS is very generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Nothing unusual about this. We have had severe T storms worse than this. Some of the media really went overboard with the coverage. We have gotten some good rains though here sitting at 1.57" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 26 minutes ago, Avdave said: Nothing unusual about this. We have had severe T storms worse than this. Some of the media really went overboard with the coverage. We have gotten some good rains though here sitting at 1.57" We had the bottom fall out during an earlier heavier return that sat over us. Sitting at 2.74” and still pouring Edit: 15 minutes later and we’re now over 3 inches. Crazy rates right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: We had the bottom fall out during an earlier heavier return that sat over us. Sitting at 2.74” and still pouring Edit: 15 minutes later and we’re now over 3 inches. Crazy rates right now Nice., You def in the right spot with some of the bands. Its raining good here but not like there. Im now at 1.85" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Anyone see that storm that just moved over swan quarter?? That’s a scary look. Massive hook echo and very strong rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 On cue: At 311 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Alligator Lake, or 28 miles southeast of Plymouth, moving north at 45 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Kilkenny, Killkenny, Scranton, Fairfield, Columbia, Woodley, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Crabtree creek has reached flood stage at old wake forest rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Looks like we are winding up here. Sitting at 2.45" for Elsa 4.65" MTD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Last band just pushed through. 3.61” storm total for Elsa. Overall about what I was expecting, maybe a little more rain. Saw some decent gusts with one cell (probably 30-35 mph) and one tree down in my neighborhood off quail hollow took out the power lines. All sorts of line trucks there now. Mom is in Morehead city and said it’s probably blowing in gusts to 50 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Nothing much here. .70” of rain almost all before noon. Highest wind gust was 20.6 mph and that just occurred 15 minutes ago in bright sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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