high risk Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 This cell over southern Howard is insane - blinding rain and gusts to 35 kt or so. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Dark and ominous just before the storm blew in. All quiet now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Cell split and went right around me. Pity sprinkle while thunder and downpours pass a few hundred yards to my east and west. No doubt they will merge again once safely north of me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 20 minutes ago, high risk said: This cell over southern Howard is insane - blinding rain and gusts to 35 kt or so. Tropical 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Cell split and went right around me. Pity sprinkle while thunder and downpours pass a few hundred yards to my east and west. No doubt they will merge again once safely north of me. I'm shocked! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Kind of nice here. Stayed dry so far thankfully. Sun is coming out and there's a nice tropical breeze. Rain doesn't look at that impressive on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Maximum sustained winds up to 50 at 5pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Wouldn’t be shocked if the 0.04” I got earlier was it for Elsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Just now, MN Transplant said: Wouldn’t be shocked if the 0.04” I got earlier was it for Elsa. Not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Looks like that heavy rain from Mason-Dixon on north wasn't picked up by any of the short term guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 11 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Wouldn’t be shocked if the 0.04” I got earlier was it for Elsa. 10 minutes ago, mattie g said: Not looking good. All hail King GFS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Think the HWRF was wrong. I take back all my praise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 The 18z Iconic is holding steady. It might not always be exactly correct, but it is not subject to wild vacillations run to run like the favored globals. Something to be said for that. Underrated model imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Think the HWRF was wrong. I take back all my praise. The Hurricane models are not very useful once over land and esp at our latitude imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: All hail King GFS And the HRRR. Never bought into this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 14 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: And the HRRR. Never bought into this one. Latest run has less than quarter inch here lol. Looking at radar trends, I am not discounting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: And the HRRR. Never bought into this one. HRRR kinda nailed it. It had that blob form and move up into PA while the precip from the tropical low staying east of the bay. Not a drop here yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 31 minutes ago, CAPE said: The 18z Iconic is holding steady. It might not always be exactly correct, but it is not subject to wild vacillations run to run like the favored globals. Something to be said for that. Underrated model imo. Amen. It by far gave the most consistent run to run guidance last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 18z GFS lol. Probs too course. Gotta go with the hi res guidance at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 GFS has 2.5" here, HRRR less than 0.25. Gotta love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Not been too hectic yet. I guess the gusts are getting a bit stronger when they happen. Maybe this will interrupt dinner or something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 I was downtown during an absolute monsoon at about 3:15 pm (after a previous cloudburst about 45 minutes earlier). Came home to Capitol Hill and apparently it's only ever drizzled here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Watching this slide just east of us is utterly maddening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Watching this slide just east of us is utterly maddening. A feeling we know all too familiar 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Tree fell on a house just about 10 houses down from me. Total crush job 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Kleimax said: A feeling we know all too familiar The worst part is that it's gonna rake New England. Oy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Drizzle. Maybe the ground will be damp by midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Whiffed on all that heavy storm activity that formed just north of us in PA and whiffed on Elsa to the southeast. Got probably a trace earlier and a trace is what I will likely end up with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Steady light rain. Almost a car topper. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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