Kmlwx Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 2 hours ago, mappy said: yeah its because of the zoom extent on the map itself. Pitt shows in view and either they give Pitt a generic color based on how they drew the rest of the map, or they don't give it a color at all and you get weird polygon edges where you decided to stop the colors as I am sure you can't just blend the edge to become nothing. Seems like a silly thing to argue over (not you), Its just a nature of the extent at which the map it set to. I may not be the map expert here...but it sure feels good when I confirm that my thoughts aren't just brain vomit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hats off to you for having enough courage to make a prediction. Others will chime in with gripes only. Some that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Hats off to you for having enough courage to make a prediction. Others will chime in with gripes only. Some that is. Feels like others are also settling around that number(s) for the area as well. In my inexperienced opinion I'd guess the same (since we did get about 13" last year...I was guessing 13-15" myself (we fluked into 18" in 2017-18, lol). Hey I'd take it in a nina...that and a few blasts of some legit cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 3 hours ago, Yeoman said: Shouldn't you be teaching at 1pm rather than picking apart a random snowfall guess from some second rate local TV station? There are plenty of other educated guesses out there from actual meteorologists that would be far more worthy of your time. I was on my lunch break. My bad. I should have known better than to comment on the Mid Atlantic forum, where some of you are insufferable jackoffs. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 4 hours ago, Kmlwx said: Graphically - from a design standpoint - it looks "more complete" to not have there be a sudden end to the contours. And in the map drawing software - they probably have to draw over a larger area and then take a zoom shot. The way that current news banners these days have been designed are that you can see behind them. It's just what it is. Short of putting a black box awkwardly over areas they don't want you to see - the assumption is just going to be that a PIT viewer does not see the FOX 5 DC affiliate. I'm sure the PIT market maps bleed into our market as well. Good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I was on my lunch break. My bad. I should have known better than to comment on the Mid Atlantic forum, where many of you are insufferable jackoffs. Just ignoring him (and several others) works really well. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Just ignoring him (and several others) works really well. Sure enough. Sad that some of them are incapable of having a conversation outside of their bubble. A couple of the guys have had great responses privately when I asked them about the Deep Creek Lake area. But you post on here and it's assumed "you're arguing" or "don't belong." Now, THAT seems silly. Anyways, always appreciate you and your openness....and we are very welcoming in the Upstate NY subforum...as you know! 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 43 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I was on my lunch break. My bad. I should have known better than to comment on the Mid Atlantic forum, where many of you are insufferable jackoffs. I’ve had that dude on ignore for years. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’ve had that dude on ignore for years. Thanks for the head's up. It's nice to know there's some solid, kind people on here. I honestly wasn't trying to "argue" or anything. I was just trying to have a discussion with some other weather-passionate people...not get snarky replies. I remember growing up and watching WBAL forecasts and those to me, seemed solid. So to see the maps posted earlier, yeah, I was a bit flummoxed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 9, 2021 Share Posted November 9, 2021 42 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Thanks for the head's up. It's nice to know there's some solid, kind people on here. I honestly wasn't trying to "argue" or anything. I was just trying to have a discussion with some other weather-passionate people...not get snarky replies. I remember growing up and watching WBAL forecasts and those to me, seemed solid. So to see the maps posted earlier, yeah, I was a bit flummoxed. You’re giving him way more thought than anyone in this sub ever does. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 On 11/8/2021 at 4:44 PM, nj2va said: What are you thinking for the mountains? Last year I ended up just north of 110" so an average year. I'm thinking 60-90". Between warm lakes and a predominant Miller B storm track, I see a lot of chances to score assuming we start and end cold. As long as January isn't a dreaded pac puke zonal flow (I see this pattern in several analogs), normal wx is plenty cold to still snow in the highlands. I understand 19-20 was close to a generational low for Garrett and they still managed 50"-60". I would guess if this repeated itself it falls in the range of 50% of normal. Not impossible but have to believe we can do better. I see snow pops in the zones for Saturday-Monday coming up. Looking forward to getting back up after 3 weeks of work travel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 2 hours ago, RIC_WX said: Between warm lakes and a predominant Miller B storm track, I see a lot of chances to score assuming we start and end cold. As long as January isn't a dreaded pac puke zonal flow (I see this pattern in several analogs), normal wx is plenty cold to still snow in the highlands. I understand 19-20 was close to a generational low for Garrett and they still managed 50"-60". I would guess if this repeated itself it falls in the range of 50% of normal. Not impossible but have to believe we can do better. I see snow pops in the zones for Saturday-Monday coming up. Looking forward to getting back up after 3 weeks of work travel. Yeah, 19-20 was pretty terrible for Garrett county standards….think I finished somewhere in the low 60s. I’m hopeful that its a decent winter so Wisp can have another good year. We’re heading back up next weekend (I think). Hope you see some snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 CWG outlook out. Not as pessimistic as I think it could be. I’d take it for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 It still sucks. But its how winters will be because stuff is changing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 41 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: CWG outlook out. Not as pessimistic as I think it could be. I’d take it for sure. Very much in line with my own thoughts, except for the fact that I have January and February flipped. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2021 Share Posted November 10, 2021 13 hours ago, RIC_WX said: Between warm lakes and a predominant Miller B storm track, I see a lot of chances to score assuming we start and end cold. As long as January isn't a dreaded pac puke zonal flow (I see this pattern in several analogs), normal wx is plenty cold to still snow in the highlands. I understand 19-20 was close to a generational low for Garrett and they still managed 50"-60". I would guess if this repeated itself it falls in the range of 50% of normal. Not impossible but have to believe we can do better. I see snow pops in the zones for Saturday-Monday coming up. Looking forward to getting back up after 3 weeks of work travel. Hopefully I'm wrong lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 Nice write up on the weather side, Ray. If I had more time I would go through it. I hadn't realized the solar activity had jumped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 Latest CFS runs have been looking meh for December, but January 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 Do we have anything favorable in our corner this autumn or are we staring down another screw job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 January looks to be cold, -AO/-NAO wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 22 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: January looks to be cold, -AO/-NAO wave. Hope so. I can do normal temps/below normal snowfall. But torching all winter is a layer of hell in itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted November 12, 2021 Share Posted November 12, 2021 I wouldn't be surprised if the -NAO flares with an equal -PNA/+EPO Pacific for the 20th straight time. This, after 34 straight Winter months of +NAO (now -NAO=+EPO/-PNA) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 59 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: I wouldn't be surprised if the -NAO flares with an equal -PNA/+EPO Pacific for the 20th straight time. This, after 34 straight Winter months of +NAO (now -NAO=+EPO/-PNA) Should add -AO buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 WUSA9 Winter Forecast https://www.wusa9.com/article/weather/winter-weather-forecast-six-years-since-last-blizzard-could-we-see-one-this-winter/65-ef07d760-701e-49f0-8b0d-1ebf7d35fc9c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 Any coupling ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 13, 2021 Share Posted November 13, 2021 Nice post which again highlights how we need a NAO ridge to couple with the ENSO favored -WPO for us to have a chance this winter. But if we can get that, we should have some chances for cold and snow. Without it, SE ridge goes on roids. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 On 11/13/2021 at 5:21 PM, WxUSAF said: Nice post which again highlights how we need a NAO ridge to couple with the ENSO favored -WPO for us to have a chance this winter. But if we can get that, we should have some chances for cold and snow. Without it, SE ridge goes on roids. It is basin wide...its just focusing more east with time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It is basin wide...its just focusing more east with time. This might help the back end of winter I believe since there is a delay from ocean to atmosphere. Do you know how long it actually takes to occur, if indeed it focuses more East by early to mid December? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 50 minutes ago, frd said: This might help the back end of winter I believe since there is a delay from ocean to atmosphere. Do you know how long it actually takes to occur, if indeed it focuses more East by early to mid December? 2-3 months....but just watch the VP charts...at the end of the day, the convective forcing needs to move east or nothing matters. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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