WinterWxLuvr Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 12:15 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: Not what we want to see for a -NAO Winter Expand Of course not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 4:52 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Of course not Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 9:59 PM, WxUSAF said: Expand That’s a good sign... right? Hopefully? To break all this bleakness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 10:58 PM, Rhino16 said: That’s a good sign... right? Hopefully? To break all this bleakness? Expand Always root for a -AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 10:59 PM, WxUSAF said: Always root for a -AO Expand That is, assuming those still work, lol Certainly didn't last year!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/13/2021 at 9:59 PM, WxUSAF said: Expand Somebody tell this dude that you don’t talk strat in September. You hold that one until deep dark depression has set in by about Dec 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Bastardi is all over a cold start to winter. With december anomalies below avg based on his analog pkgs. Not sure how I should hedge that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 I would go warm December, cold January, warm February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 warm March -PNA, watch for a +PNA around Feb 21,2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 ^They must have changed the CDC reanaylsis plots. I had thought Nov-Dec 2018,2019 had the coldest 10mb ever since 1948. and that 2020 carried the trend, the last 3 years Nov-Dec, 10mb was record coldest on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 1:09 PM, IronTy said: Bastardi is all over a cold start to winter. With december anomalies below avg based on his analog pkgs. Not sure how I should hedge that. Expand I mean...aren't la ninas usually colder on the front end anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 On 9/14/2021 at 1:09 PM, IronTy said: Bastardi is all over a cold start to winter. With december anomalies below avg based on his analog pkgs. Not sure how I should hedge that. Expand December 5th! Lock it in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 How much snow does this mean IMBY? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 Hmm 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 Found a preview of this winter except for one storm that hammers North Carolina but gets suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 3:51 PM, frd said: Hmm Expand I am actually a little surprised that the scale is Fahrenheit and not Celsius. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 5:10 PM, nw baltimore wx said: I am actually a little surprised that the scale is Fahrenheit and not Celsius. Expand The scale's color scheme seems more dramatic than the actual numbers, but is still warmer nonetheless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 5:05 PM, SnowenOutThere said: Found a preview of this winter except for one storm that hammers North Carolina but gets suppressed. Expand Get ready for the inland trackers, coastal huggers and of course our friend the "cutter". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 3:51 PM, frd said: Hmm Expand Yeah, the warm SE has been the biggest surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 Check out the last 2 March's 2013-2019 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 18, 2021 Share Posted September 18, 2021 ^IIRC, Rick works for a NWS office in Alaska and tweets good content. He's worth a follow, along with Climatologist49 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 I would pay good money for a nice regionwide 6" - 10" Miller A that starts at sunset Christmas Eve and continues until late morning Christmas Day. Have it get cool afterward for a bit reinforced with a clipper in time for New Year's Day. If winter ends after that, so be it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 On 9/20/2021 at 11:46 AM, Eskimo Joe said: I would pay good money for a nice regionwide 6" - 10" Miller A that starts at sunset Christmas Eve and continues until late morning Christmas Day. Have it get cool afterward for a bit reinforced with a clipper in time for New Year's Day. If winter ends after that, so be it. Expand You could accomplish this by just going on a two week vacation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 On 9/20/2021 at 10:07 AM, WxUSAF said: Expand Let's hope this is accurate but delayed a month or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 On 9/20/2021 at 2:40 PM, osfan24 said: Let's hope this is accurate but delayed a month or so. Expand If we're extrapolating from last year's SSW, it does seem like they get somewhat postponed by a period of a few weeks compared to how they are modeled, but that's purely speculative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 On 9/20/2021 at 2:28 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: You could accomplish this by just going on a two week vacation. Expand I can't afford vacations. Weather has to come to me. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 On 9/20/2021 at 2:44 PM, Cobalt said: If we're extrapolating from last year's SSW, it does seem like they get somewhat postponed by a period of a few weeks compared to how they are modeled, but that's purely speculative. Expand But it would be similar to last year if the vortex started weak and then was disrupted early. I think last winter the SSW was right after New Years? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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