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Severe Weather Thread - New England


TalcottWx
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5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

What's your thoughts on qpf for tomorrow?

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.

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It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.
Thanks

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30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

CAMS are all in tandem on derecho developing in W NY and racing ESE. Only question is it for all of SNE or just a small part. @weatherwiz

Looks like we will see a pretty intense cluster propagate across portions of the region tonight. Probably be a very concentrated but perhaps widespread area (in terms of length) of wind damage with hail. 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Looks like we will see a pretty intense cluster propagate across portions of the region tonight. Probably be a very concentrated but perhaps widespread area (in terms of length) of wind damage with hail. 

You think it’s mainly a MA deal? Maybe places from Pittsfield to Hunch leveled?

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11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You think it’s mainly a MA deal? Maybe places from Pittsfield to Hunch leveled?

I’m thinking around or just south of MA Pike into extreme northern CT…right along the instability gradient. Also matches up where nose of MLJ punches through. 

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