CoastalWx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 9 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Line looks juiced and healthy moving SE. Will it wake folks up overnight or does it dissolve once into NW Mass as Scoots and Kooky say? We’ll see We Scoot and Kooky. Although there was a decent storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We Scoot and Kooky. Although there was a decent storm here. Exactly they didn’t die out over NW Mass like you guys thought. Big boy day today 90 south . HRRR wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly they didn’t die out over NW Mass like you guys thought. Big boy day today 90 south . HRRR wild They did. It was an iso storm. Today meh except maybe RI and farther down SE MA. Hrrr looks tame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They did. It was an iso storm. Today meh except maybe RI and farther down SE MA. Hrrr looks tame. Today looks very good south I-90. Very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly they didn’t die out over NW Mass like you guys thought. Big boy day today 90 south . HRRR wild They died Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly they didn’t die out over NW Mass like you guys thought. Big boy day today 90 south . HRRR wild 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They did. It was an iso storm. Today meh except maybe RI and farther down SE MA. Hrrr looks tame. 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exactly they didn’t die out over NW Mass like you guys thought. Big boy day today 90 south . HRRR wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Today looks very good south I-90. Very good I don't agree. Maybe more like Ginxy to KGHG or something like that. SCT stuff elsewhere I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Where are the storms? I thought we supposed to wake up to a line of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 HRRR is certainly more bullish. We shall see. Even so, doesn't seem too wild...nothing like yesterday's runs anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 wagons southeast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I don't agree. Maybe more like Ginxy to KGHG or something like that. SCT stuff elsewhere I think. I could see even further SE like coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Looking at mesoanalysis this morning this has really turned to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 So many flags today I feel like the flag waver at a NASCAR race 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: So many flags today I feel like the fag waver at a NASCAR race You may wish to fix this post lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: You may wish to fix this post lol Good catch I don't know if it's me or my keyboard but I've been constantly missing keys...I think it's a product of me using two fingers to type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 12z HRRR is really meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 pre-frontal is already pretty much past us lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 There is a pocket of some dry air aloft too...850 dews between like 6-8C. With a westerly flow and strong mixing we may mix dews out too. Some warm layers too on soundings and with this haze/smoke we probably don't erode CIN. oh well...next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Like we said yesterday ... Too early for then, too late for today. Perfectly wrong timing - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: pre-frontal is already pretty much past us lol This like foreplay before banging? If I had to pick a favorable area today it would be along the South Coast where the dews are highest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: So many flags today I feel like the flag waver at a NASCAR race 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: This like foreplay before banging? If I had to pick a favorable area today it would be along the South Coast where the dews are highest. Pretty good way to sum it up and agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Well that’s disappointing but not unexpected. At least I had the quick hitting rumbler move through about 2am last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 We had a quick-hitting 0.04" no-thunder shower about 2 AM. Still no TS this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 MCD Watch Likely Mesoscale Discussion 1323 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0932 AM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021 Areas affected...Parts of northern Virginia...the District of Columbia...central/eastern Maryland...Delaware...southeastern Pennsylvania...New Jersey...southeastern New York including Long Island...Connecticut...Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 211432Z - 211530Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered intensifying thunderstorm development is possible through Noon-2 PM EDT, posing a risk for at least marginally severe hail and locally strong surface gusts. With storms likely to become more widespread thereafter, a severe weather watch probably will be issued. DISCUSSION...A slowly southward advancing surface cold front has reached southeastern New England and the northern Mid Atlantic coast, with large-scale ascent likely to increase in a corridor along and ahead of it through early afternoon. This appears likely to be aided by forcing ahead of substantive mid-level short wave trough gradually turning east of the lower Great Lakes region. The strengthening lift will coincide with a narrow pre-frontal corridor of rapidly steepening near-surface lapse rates aided by daytime heating. Lower/mid tropospheric lapse rates are also relatively steep and, despite seasonably modest low-level moisture, it appears that this will contribute to mixed-layer CAPE in excess of 1000 J/kg (up to around 2000 J/kg). Although low-level wind fields are generally weak, 30-50+ kt cyclonic flow in the 500-300 mb layer is contributing to sufficient shear to support organizing clusters of storms. Isolated supercells are possible initially, and these storms may pose a risk for (mostly) marginally severe hail, before the risk for potentially damaging wind gusts become more prominent later this afternoon. Areas of deepening convective development are already evident along this corridor, and a severe weather watch will probably be issued within the next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 I wonder if the watch makes it up to Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 I'm a bit shocked really. They seem pretty gung-ho on convective coverage today. Maybe their all in on the HREF. But we've had far better setups (in terms of coverage) with no watch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 ASOUT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ASOUT they probably meant to say watch out for nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 South coast might get something but the rest of us get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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