ineedsnow Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Storms starting to fire again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 2 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’ve heard some reports of roads washed out in Belchertown Have no idea what we'll come home to find. Just ridiculous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Storms starting to fire again Make. It. Stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Quinebaug River in Thompson near Dudley Ma line is in Flood Stage a * Flood Warning for Small stream in... Eastern Windham County in northern Connecticut... South Central Worcester County in central Massachusetts... * Until 745 PM EDT Sunday. * At 140 PM EDT, The Quinebaug River in Quinebaug, Connecticut was above flood stage. Other small streams may go into flood this afternoon. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen since yesterday with additional showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon and evening. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Worcester, Plainfield, Killingly, Webster, Southbridge, Auburn, Oxford, Millbury, Charlton, Dudley, Putnam, Thompson, Sturbridge, Sutton, Douglas, Brooklyn, Woodstock, Canterbury, Pomfret and Sterling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Just training over NE CT Line into S ORH county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2021 Author Share Posted July 18, 2021 Really meh today so far. I'm south bound back to the cape for a week of vacation. Red jacket Yarmouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2021 Author Share Posted July 18, 2021 BOS was 70 when I left. Punching through warm front in Plymouth and up to 75. Skies brighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2021 Author Share Posted July 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: BOS was 70 when I left. Punching through warm front in Plymouth and up to 75. Skies brighter. And just like that 80f at the bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2021 Author Share Posted July 18, 2021 10 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: And just like that 80f at the bridge 83f in Hyannis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 81/72 still in Raynham. Nice pool day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Some dry air at mid levels kind of stuffed development today even with juicy atmosphere pike south. Wouldn’t be shocked if we saw some stuff tonight with trough . If not. Wednesday looks very active 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Possible tornado in Somers CT earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Wednesday looks good pike/south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA 1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 18 2021 ...NWS DAMAGE REPORT FOR JULY 18 2021 TORNADO IN SOMERS CONNECTICUT... START LOCATION...SOMERS IN TOLLAND COUNTY CT END LOCATION...SOMERS IN TOLLAND COUNTY CT DATE...JULY 18 2021 ESTIMATED TIME...611 TO 618 PM EDT MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0 ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...80 MPH MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...75 YARDS PATH LENGTH...1.9 MILES BEGINNING LAT/LON...41.9758/-72.4474 ENDING LAT/LON...41.9997/-72.4292 * FATALITIES...0 * INJURIES...0 ...SUMMARY... A WEAK TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN THIS EVENING IN THE TOWN OF SOMERS IN NORTHERN TOLLAND COUNTY, CONNECTICUT. AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS FOLLOWED UP ON A TIP FROM A TRAINED SKYWARN WEATHER SPOTTER VIA SOCIAL MEDIA AND THEN UNCOVERED MANY REPORTS. WE THEN SPOKE WITH SOMERS FIRE DEPARTMENT OFFICIALS, AN EYEWITNESS WHO OBSERVED THE TORNADO, AND VIEWED SEVERAL VIDEOS ONLINE. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION SUMMARIZES ALL OF THESE REPORTS. THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON COLONIAL DRIVE, THEN TRACKED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST, IMPACTING LAKE DRIVE JUST SOUTH OF SHADY LAKE, KIBEE DRIVE, A PORTION OF MAIN STREET (ROUTE 190), BATTLE STREET, AND ENDED IN THE VICINITY OF HICKORY HILL DRIVE. THIS IS A PATH LENGTH OF 1.9 MILES. THE APPROXIMATE PATH WIDTH WAS 75 YARDS. DAMAGE PHOTOS LED TO ESTIMATES OF MAXIUMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 75 TO 80 MPH, WHICH PUTS THIS ON THE MID TO UPPER END OF THE EF0 CATEGORY OF THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE. THE TIME, BASED ON RADAR, FIRE DEPARTMENT LOGS, AND AN EYEWITNESS ACCOUNT, WAS FROM 611 PM TO 618 PM EDT. SEVERAL LARGE PINE TREES WERE DOWNED ON COLONIAL DRIVE AND TWO CARS WERE DESTROYED BY THE FALLING TREES. APPROXIMATELY 19 TREES WERE SNAPPED, TWISTED, AND UPROOTED ON LAKE DRIVE. A RESIDENT OF LAKE DRIVE HEARD A LOUD WHIRRING NOISE AND OBSERVED THE TOPS OF TREES FLYING BY THE HOUSE. SHINGLES WERE MISSING ON A HOUSE NEXT DOOR. A PLAYSCAPE WAS LIFTED UP AND LANDED APPROXIMATELY 50 FEET AWAY. ON MAIN STREET, A SMALL CORNER OF A ROOF WAS EXPOSED WITH ADDITIONAL DAMAGE ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE GUTTER. FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, A FEW LARGE OAK TREES WERE SNAPPED ON HICKORY HILL DRIVE. THIS STORM WAS LOW-TOPPED AND DID NOT POSSESS ANY LIGHTNING...ONLY HEAVY RAIN. HOWEVER, ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS...HIGH HUMIDITY AND JUST ENOUGH WIND SHEAR ALOFT...WERE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE THIS ISOLATED SPIN-UP. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD AGAIN LIKE TO THANK ALL OF THE PEOPLE WHO FORWARDED THE INFORMATION AND TOOK THE TIME TO DETAIL THEIR ACCOUNTS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Forcing is probably too late for Tuesday, but I think Wednesday looks sneaky locally. Probably not a slight day, but I could see a marginal with a smattering of warnings from CAR to BOX. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Forcing is probably too late for Tuesday, but I think Wednesday looks sneaky locally. Probably not a slight day, but I could see a marginal with a smattering of warnings from CAR to BOX. NAM has decent 700-500 lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: NAM has decent 700-500 lapse rates. Indeed. Winds aloft are probably better over SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Indeed. Winds aloft are probably better over SNE. I am dreaming of EML's in our future. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am dreaming of EML's in our future. If only. Maybe the pattern towards the end of the month gets a little more favorable to advect some remnants in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: If only. Maybe the pattern towards the end of the month gets a little more favorable to advect some remnants in here. Pattern tries to get more favorable but these EML plumes just totally get shot as they move into the upper-Midwest but if we can manage to be on the southern periphery of the jet that could help a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mips Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Short video of the Somers tornado by a resident of route 83. Videographer was not certain of what he was looking at. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Wednesday... Interesting set up Wed as a fairly robust mid level trough moves across the region providing good forcing for ascent. Steep mid level lapse rates 6.5-7 C/km above warm and humid airmass will contribute to a rather unstable environment with CAPES 1500-2500 J/kg. Scattered to numerous showers/t-storms expected to develop along the attendant cold front which slowly moves across SNE. Exact timing and placement is uncertain but convection may begin during the morning and continuing through the afternoon as front will be moving into the region by Wed morning. Modest deep layer shear in place for storm organization with 3km NAM indicating potential for multicellular clusters. There appears to increasing risk for at least a few strong to severe storms. Confidence in the details is low at this point we are not yet in the window for the full suite of Hi-res CAMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 3K NAM looks violent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 I wish timing could slow by a few hours but all the ingredients there...pretty steep lapse rates, good dynamics, potential for moderate CAPE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I wish timing could slow by a few hours but all the ingredients there...pretty steep lapse rates, good dynamics, potential for moderate CAPE Wild un coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 13 hours ago, weatherwiz said: I wish timing could slow by a few hours but all the ingredients there...pretty steep lapse rates, good dynamics, potential for moderate CAPE You get a MRGL from SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Models all over the place , but seems like one thing they agree on is a big damaging wind signal tonight in NNE and a general round of big lightning producers in SNE overnight. Tomorrow timing looks weird on NAm with it having severe storms by mid - late morning. Wonder if tomorrow’s threat ends up more I95 SE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Models all over the place , but seems like one thing they agree on is a big damaging wind signal tonight in NNE and a general round of big lightning producers in SNE overnight. Tomorrow timing looks weird on NAm with it having severe storms by mid - late morning. Wonder if tomorrow’s threat ends up more I95 SE? Upper low, models are going to suck on timing things. But that said if you can pop into clearing early tomorrow then the lower heights aloft mean you can get some good bangers by midday without "full" heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Going to see some pretty solid wind producers tomorrow. Any more discrete cells could also produce some large hail...maybe up to golf ball possible 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Going to see some pretty solid wind producers tomorrow. Any more discrete cells could also produce some large hail...maybe up to golf ball possible VT, NH, ME tonight has a big wind threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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