Torch Tiger Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 Hopefully some get 3-5" tomorrow/night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 There’s your severe zone tomorrow Localized probability matched mean rainfall accumulations from the HREF are forecasting isolated areas of 3-4 inches across western MA and northern CT through Sunday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 I wish this stupid line of showers would get through Hartford so I can go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There’s your severe zone tomorrow Localized probability matched mean rainfall accumulations from the HREF are forecasting isolated areas of 3-4 inches across western MA and northern CT through Sunday morning. yeah severe flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s your severe zone tomorrow Localized probability matched mean rainfall accumulations from the HREF are forecasting isolated areas of 3-4 inches across western MA and northern CT through Sunday morning. sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah severe flooding You are way too far south with your thinking of severe tomorrow. Put the Gfs away. It’s about ALB to PVD to DXR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I wish this stupid line of showers would get through Hartford so I can go This is my best t-storm in a few years. Not sure it's even close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are way too far south with your thinking of severe tomorrow. Put the Gfs away. It’s about ALB to PVD to DXR Wasn't using the GFS lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 16, 2021 Share Posted July 16, 2021 Nice rumbles to my north. Outflow boundary just came through with a nice cool breeze. Feels great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Big day ahead in SNE. Wiz will be busy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Looks SW. AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 I’ll be headed southwest too today to Bethel!! Stopping in Southington to play Pokémon 10-6 so hopefully storms hold off near SW CT until after that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I’ll be headed southwest too today to Bethel!! Stopping in Southington to play Pokémon 10-6 so hopefully storms hold off near SW CT until after that While all the big stuff is from ALB to ORH and south into C CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Lol HRRR 10 spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: While all the big stuff is from ALB to ORH and south into C CT Yeah big rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah big rains Western MA into NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Western MA into NH. Which shifts south into N and C CT late today and night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 CAMs are highlighting area near the Mass Pike in central and western MA to northern CT and northern RI near the surface boundary for later this afternoon, with additional heavy rainfall expected tonight. Flash flood watches continue. 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected in the watch area through tonight with CAMs suggesting localized 4"+ rainfall amounts possible. Severe weather is also a concern given rather rather unstable environment that develops this afternoon with MLCAPES 1500-2000 J/kg near and south of the boundary. Best shear will be north of the region but 25-30 kt of 0-6km shear is expected which is enough for some updraft organization and multicellular clusters with damaging wind the main threat. However, there is a low prob for an isold tornado with any storms that can anchor to the warm front which is a source for surface vorticity and enhanced low level shear. Greatest severe risk will be in the same locations for heavy rainfall, along and south of the Pike from central/W MA to northern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 First 12z CAM came in pretty dry for CT...the 3k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 17, 2021 Author Share Posted July 17, 2021 Christ, it's downpouring again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 17, 2021 Author Share Posted July 17, 2021 It really does remind me of Florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: First 12z CAM came in pretty dry for CT...the 3k NAM. HRRR rips some nice stuff thru . Bow echo perhaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR rips some nice stuff thru . Bow echo perhaps Any rain will be tonight. Today is western MA and maybe NW CT. Maybe some other stuff in RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Any rain will be tonight. Today is western MA and maybe NW CT. Maybe some other stuff in RI. Yeah HRRR says we up all night with bows, tors and a night of wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah HRRR says we up all night with bows, tors and a night of wild Beer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beer? Yes and did you see HRRR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 17, 2021 Author Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Beer? I think Kev is to far south. This is wagons north and west. Cells fire and then lift NW and hover over those areas. Some rain maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I think Kev is to far south. This is wagons north and west. Cells fire and then lift NW and hover over those areas. Some rain maybe. Gonna be nasty in Those spots. Glad we not there. Enjoying a nice Beach day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 33 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: I think Kev is to far south. This is wagons north and west. Cells fire and then lift NW and hover over those areas. Some rain maybe. No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: No HRRR has a good line coming through our area, its different than the 3K nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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