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Severe Weather Thread - New England


TalcottWx
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  On 9/9/2021 at 12:42 AM, Lava Rock said:

What's your thoughts on qpf for tomorrow?

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It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.

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  On 9/9/2021 at 12:50 AM, OceanStWx said:
It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.
Thanks

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  On 9/12/2021 at 8:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

CAMS are all in tandem on derecho developing in W NY and racing ESE. Only question is it for all of SNE or just a small part. @weatherwiz

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Looks like we will see a pretty intense cluster propagate across portions of the region tonight. Probably be a very concentrated but perhaps widespread area (in terms of length) of wind damage with hail. 

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  On 9/12/2021 at 9:21 PM, weatherwiz said:

Looks like we will see a pretty intense cluster propagate across portions of the region tonight. Probably be a very concentrated but perhaps widespread area (in terms of length) of wind damage with hail. 

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You think it’s mainly a MA deal? Maybe places from Pittsfield to Hunch leveled?

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  On 9/12/2021 at 9:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

You think it’s mainly a MA deal? Maybe places from Pittsfield to Hunch leveled?

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I’m thinking around or just south of MA Pike into extreme northern CT…right along the instability gradient. Also matches up where nose of MLJ punches through. 

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  On 9/12/2021 at 9:36 PM, weatherwiz said:

I’m thinking around or just south of MA Pike into extreme northern CT…right along the instability gradient. Also matches up where nose of MLJ punches through. 

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I'm about 2 miles north of the Pike.  Am I too far east?

What are you thinking with regard to timing?

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  On 9/12/2021 at 11:05 PM, moneypitmike said:

I'm about 2 miles north of the Pike.  Am I too far east?

What are you thinking with regard to timing?

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Might be some weakening as it heads east but I don’t think there should be much. Timing should be second half of overnight

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