NorthHillsWx Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 56 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: NHC’s 11:00 AM cone shifted just a tad to the west compared to the previous update. It gives the Triangle area a chance for some rain. The 12z GFS did move west again, too, but I’ll remain skeptical at this point. I’d be shocked if the triangle missed out on rain from this system given the track and angle of approach with an approaching trough that usually pulls moisture a bit north as the system interacts with it. Models have really not shown that but from experience that usually happens with tropical systems hitting the gulf coast and moving through our area, and the rain shield almost always ends up further north and west than forecast due to that interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 Yesterday’s low of 57 at GSO was one of the chilliest Independence Day mornings in Triad recorded history. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 4 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: I’d be shocked if the triangle missed out on rain from this system given the track and angle of approach with an approaching trough that usually pulls moisture a bit north as the system interacts with it. Models have really not shown that but from experience that usually happens with tropical systems hitting the gulf coast and moving through our area, and the rain shield almost always ends up further north and west than forecast due to that interaction The 5:00 PM cone shifted slightly to the west again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Somehow all the tropical showers have avoided MBY. Only a trace so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 55 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Somehow all the tropical showers have avoided MBY. Only a trace so far The season is young. There will be more opportunities. And don’t count out some stray cells coming in from the west tonight. You might pick up a couple of tenths. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 The moderate rain started about 9:20 this morning. I’m at 0.14” so far. I like days like this, but I’m strange that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Somehow all the tropical showers have avoided MBY. Only a trace so far .08" is all I have gotten so far. Very soupy out there this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 1.4 so far for me. Center looks to be coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Had 1 short lived heavy squall come thru. Blinding rain and high winds accompanied it. Lasted for about 5 minutes. We are now up to .35" for the day. Looks to be almost over for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 This thing is trucking through faster than a jackrabbit on a date. I’m only at 0.35” so far and not convinced I’ll get much more unless some wraparound rain happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 4 hours ago, wncsnow said: Somehow all the tropical showers have avoided MBY. Only a trace so far You werent supposed to get much to begin with IMO. Western NC is a decent amount of miles away from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 I am not too impressed in Raleigh. Crabtree is rising but nowhere close to flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 At 3.11” for the day here. Last band that set up over top meant business, blinding rain. We probably picked up near an inch in 30 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 Lost power twice so far today. Once for about a minute, heard a big bang when that one went out, and once for about 5 minutes. Very windy out there and humid. Sitting at .38" for the day. Looks like we have a few more bands to move thru in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 I’m both grateful for and underwhelmed by the 0.37” of rain that I received today. RAH called for about 1.6” here based on the consensus of the modeling for most of yesterday. Not even close. This one went wide right…or east in this case. My July total is now at 3.23” with almost all of that coming on the 1st and 2nd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m both grateful for and underwhelmed by the 0.37” of rain that I received today. RAH called for about 1.6” here based on the consensus of the modeling for most of yesterday. Not even close. This one went wide right…or east in this case. My July total is now at 3.23” with almost all of that coming on the 1st and 2nd. They did a good job, choosing the east side of guidance. Consensus of the models was for about 2-2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 2 hours ago, eyewall said: I am not too impressed in Raleigh. Crabtree is rising but nowhere close to flood. Just surpassed flood at old wake forest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Just surpassed flood at old wake forest Oh wow that was quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: They did a good job, choosing the east side of guidance. Consensus of the models was for about 2-2.5" I would have taken half of RAH’s forecast. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 8, 2021 Author Share Posted July 8, 2021 40 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: I’m both grateful for and underwhelmed by the 0.37” of rain that I received today. RAH called for about 1.6” here based on the consensus of the modeling for most of yesterday. Not even close. This one went wide right…or east in this case. My July total is now at 3.23” with almost all of that coming on the 1st and 2nd. You are doing much better than me. I am at .60" for the month. A far cry from last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 3.61” storm total today, brings me to 4.92” for the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Nothing much here. .70” of rain almost all before noon. Highest wind gust was 20.6 mph and that just occurred 15 minutes ago in bright sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, yotaman said: You are doing much better than me. I am at .60" for the month. A far cry from last month. It’s either feast or famine. I didn’t realize y’all were that dry this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 0.40" here. not much fan fare. Zzzzzz Currently 83/74 mostly sunny. High 86 Low 71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Asheville has not reached 90 degrees this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 6 hours ago, Avdave said: You werent supposed to get much to begin with IMO. Western NC is a decent amount of miles away from this storm. NOAA had me getting .75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 57 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NOAA had me getting .75. I wouldnt have believed it from the get go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 13 hours ago, Avdave said: I wouldnt have believed it from the get go. I live along the southern escarpment so we often see enhanced orographical uplift in tropical systems, even the flow around ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 I ended up with 4.35. Didn't expect that much. Never really stopped pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Rainfall from Elsa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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