yotaman Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 New month, new observations. Post them here. Currently 88/78. Got my backyard cut in anticipation of tomorrow's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 On 7/1/2021 at 6:46 PM, yotaman said: New month, new observations. Post them here. Currently 88/78. Got my backyard cut in anticipation of tomorrow's rain. Expand About time. I’ve been waiting all day for someone to start this thread so I could pin it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 85/75 - mostly cloudy- breezy high - 92 low this am - 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 High of 90.5 today. July picking up where June left off: bone dry. Absolutely giddy with excitement anticipating the 0.01” of rain I’m expecting by tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 .13 so far and still sprinkling #winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 On 7/1/2021 at 11:17 PM, wncsnow said: .13 so far and still sprinkling #winning Expand Congratulations. Glad someone is getting something. I’m at 0.00”, the latest HRRR run gives me a pleasant mist, and RAH is dropping their point forecast estimate like a rock. Tomorrow’s forecast goes from 90% (2.00”) to 60% (0.25”). Un-freakin’-real that I can’t get anything from this setup. Still sitting at 0.69” over the last three weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 On 7/2/2021 at 1:37 AM, magpiemaniac said: Congratulations. Glad someone is getting something. I’m at 0.00”, the latest HRRR run gives me a pleasant mist, and RAH is dropping their point forecast estimate like a rock. Tomorrow’s forecast goes from 90% (2.00”) to 60% (0.25”). Un-freakin’-real that I can’t get anything from this setup. Still sitting at 0.69” over the last three weeks. Expand Ended up with .54. I will take it but was really hoping for over an inch. Looks to be dry for at least 4 or 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 On 7/2/2021 at 12:34 PM, wncsnow said: Ended up with .54. I will take it but was really hoping for over an inch. Looks to be dry for at least 4 or 5 days. Expand Good to hear that you got something. My reverse psychology worked on this system. I kept poopooing it until it relented and gave me a lot of rain. LOL It finally started raining around 10:35 PM last night and ended around 8:00 AM with a half hour break around 2:30 AM. I’m at 2.84”. Best rain I’ve had in ages. Some stations over in NE Forsyth had 5” to 6”. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 2, 2021 Author Share Posted July 2, 2021 On 7/2/2021 at 12:51 PM, magpiemaniac said: Good to hear that you got something. My reverse psychology worked on this system. I kept poopooing it until it relented and gave me a lot of rain. LOL It finally started raining around 10:35 PM last night and ended around 8:00 AM with a half hour break around 2:30 AM. I’m at 2.84”. Best rain I’ve had in ages. Some stations over in NE Forsyth had 5” to 6”. Expand Congrats. Waiting on the here. Cloudy, windy, and humid right now. 77/68. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Had a nice T storm last night around 1030 or so. Rain really good this morning. So for the event I picked up 1.32". Maybe some more later on with the actual frontal passage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Winston-Salem has been blasted with 3.69” of rain since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Storm total of 1.18” here. Looks to be done unless something develops in the subsidence. One interesting thing is many models predicted it’d rain through tonight and into tomorrow. This thing moved through in a hurry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 2, 2021 Author Share Posted July 2, 2021 .19" today was it. Just light rain now. Main line dissolved as it got close to me and new line formed just to my east. My luck ran out for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 RALEIGH NC Jul 2 Climate: High: 78 Low: 66 Precip: 0.76 Snow: M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 On 7/2/2021 at 8:43 PM, yotaman said: .19" today was it. Just light rain now. Main line dissolved as it got close to me and new line formed just to my east. My luck ran out for now. Expand I watched that line approach your area on the radar. Crazy how it faded so quickly right at the New Bern city limits. I’ve had my share of that. Very frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Actual fropa getting close to the triangle. Looks like heavy rains and some T & L with them. Should help pad the rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 On 7/3/2021 at 2:28 AM, Avdave said: Actual fropa getting close to the triangle. Looks like heavy rains and some T & L with them. Should help pad the rainfall Expand Faded while moving over me. Only picked up an additional 0.13” for a storm and July total of 1.31” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 What a perfect morning! Woke up to 64 degrees and dewpoints in the 50's. Can't ask for anything better for the south in July 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted July 3, 2021 Author Share Posted July 3, 2021 Front finally came thru a bit after 8 am. Currently sunny, breezy and 79/66. Dew point is slowly dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Rainy days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Mowed my yard in July and didn’t sweat. A big win!! 78º with a dew point in the upper 50s. Time to break out the old man dance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 4, 2021 Share Posted July 4, 2021 On 7/3/2021 at 5:49 PM, WinstonSalemArlington said: Rainy days Expand I disagree. Looks pretty dry to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 4, 2021 Share Posted July 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/4/2021 at 9:19 PM, wncsnow said: I disagree. Looks pretty dry to me. Expand True. Other than the coastal plain, much of the upstate, foothills, and piedmont look dry. Same song; second verse. I’m thankful for Friday’s rain. I just wish we didn’t have to go weeks between such events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/4/2021 at 9:20 PM, wncsnow said: Expand This is only one model, not a assortment of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/5/2021 at 2:43 AM, Avdave said: This is only one model, not a assortment of models. Expand True, but it looks like Elsa is going to be really the only widespread source of rain through the forecast period. Subsidence on the backside of the system will limit what the trough moving through (feature kicking the system out) can produce. Beyond Elsa, models have been showing very few features that would promote anything other than isolated storms. So if Elsa doesn’t pan out for some areas, it’s looking like a dry stretch for those places 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/5/2021 at 2:43 AM, Avdave said: This is only one model, not a assortment of models Expand Our only hope is Elsa trending west. Piedmont folks may get some but western piedmont and foothills looks dry the next few weeks other than pop up storms. And that is a model consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/5/2021 at 1:09 PM, wncsnow said: Our only hope is Elsa trending west. Piedmont folks may get some but western piedmont and foothills looks dry the next few weeks other than pop up storms. And that is a model consensus. Expand Interestingly, the latest GFS and Euro have Elsa tracking along a more western path than the NHC guidance. They must know something I don’t, but they do it for a living and I’m a lowly member of a weather board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/5/2021 at 1:26 PM, magpiemaniac said: Interestingly, the latest GFS and Euro have Elsa tracking along a more western path than the NHC guidance. They must know something I don’t, but they do it for a living and I’m a lowly member of a weather board. Expand WPC not enthralled with the western tracks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted July 5, 2021 Share Posted July 5, 2021 On 7/5/2021 at 3:01 PM, NorthHillsWx said: WPC not enthralled with the western tracks Expand NHC’s 11:00 AM cone shifted just a tad to the west compared to the previous update. It gives the Triangle area a chance for some rain. The 12z GFS did move west again, too, but I’ll remain skeptical at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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