Damage In Tolland Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: Now that's a lot of damage. Just not for Tolland. Need it to go west of you for wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Tropical Storm James incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Need it to go west of you for wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 42 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: dang..worth watching i guess. Didn't pay much attention until now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 44 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: dang..worth watching i guess. Didn't pay much attention until now It was always on the table, just a low shot deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 54 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It was always on the table, just a low shot deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 BOX Outlook /Thursday through Sunday/... Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms. Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Rain showers likely, chance of thunderstorms. Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Rain showers likely. Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm. Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms. Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, patchy fog. Areas of visibility 1 to 3 nm. Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Wow. Keep that wind SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Wish this hit on my day off. I would be posted up in dport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 At what time can I expect hurricane conditions in Dorchester? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 So I guess this is a hurricane … again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: So I guess this is a hurricane … again du hast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: 0z Euro lol…nyc to psm. We’ll take that track for rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 3k NAM looks like the euro with track. Could be quite the soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 We rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 14 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Applying basic rules of cutting back max gusts, I would still suspect TS warnings need to become a possibility by this afternoon’s cycle. crazy to even think that we’re about to see back to back years with a landfalling TC somewhere in the megalopolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 The Euro's evolution between NE Georgia and NJ doesn't make a lot of theoretical sense. It not only maintains a tropical nucleus it even intensifies it through the upper 980 mbs - how? why? It may be that it is tapping into the synoptic mechanics and sort of hybridizing the cyclone with both, somehow utilizing both kinematic forcing - It'll be interesting to see if a 987 mb low situates thru the NY BIte at 60 hours. It's weird optics because the previous charts has it weaker, then ...suddenly it is stronger as it nears "cold water" - hello? There really isn't much in the way if at all, supportive OHC in that region. If this circulation was spreading out and structurally showing signs of transitioning - I dunno. Between this model's in-general performance blindness wrt TC initiation, then later on it sells us these idiosyncrasies, I think that organization has work to do. The GFS, despite its own distractions, would fit better with theory and practice. This thing should be absorbing into the baroclinic tapestry as a smear up along the M/A given that trajectory and longevity over land - not being superbly structured coming in isn't helping either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The Euro's evolution between NE Georgia and NJ doesn't make a lot of theoretical sense. It not only maintains a tropical nucleus it even intensifies it through the upper 980 mbs - how? why? It may be that it is tapping into the synoptic mechanics and sort of hybridizing the cyclone with both, somehow utilizing both kinematic forcing - It'll be interesting to see if a 987 mb low situates thru the NY BIte at 60 hours. It's weird optics because the previous charts has it weaker, then ...suddenly it is stronger as it nears "cold water" - hello? There really isn't much in the way if at all, supportive OHC in that region. If this circulation was spreading out and structurally showing signs of transitioning - I dunno. Between this model's in-general performance blindness wrt TC initiation, then later on it sells us these idiosyncrasies, I think that organization has work to do. The GFS, despite its own distractions, would fit better with theory and practice. This thing should be absorbing into the baroclinic tapestry as a smear up along the M/A given that trajectory and longevity over land - not being superbly structured coming in isn't helping either. 6z NAM, 00z Euro, and 6z RGEM all had a similar track. I agree with you that physically it doesn't seem like the occam's razor solution, but when models from different agencies and physics start to align I take a little more notice...but your thinking is still in the back of my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 rain and a little wind...not expecting anything to exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 6z HWRF looked more ragged over land, but cut it inland to over my head. So I should clarify I agree with you specifically about the euro keeping that core over the interior. That's unlikely. The track is more reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Just nothing near what Isaias was please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Just nothing near what Isaias was please. No real reason to really think that this will touch what happened there (think the winter-like jet that was so prevalent with Isaias) but somewhere on the immediate coasts/just inland gets whacked. Max gusts probably around 70 for a time Friday morning. Everyone else inland sees at most 30-50, less the further in one goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 6z Euro take the center right over my noggin. Cape should get some wind and tropical rains elsewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Storm missed me here in SE so far, made for some nice pics this am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Gotta be transitioning or something as much as I’d love to believe a tropical system can keep it together over land like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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