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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2021


WxWatcher007
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9 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Feels more like an October rain than something tropical. Coming down hard but not exciting. Just a garden variety miserable day here. 

it's an apt description for here as well, just N of rt 2 in Mass yeah

This things structure seems to be breaking down/weakening overall sat presentation, and rad, too.  Not sure how that holds up to the model's profile of this things evolution, but that's what I'm seeing

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It's like when looking at obs ... this thing just detached its self from the tropical bundle of air it was transporting up and has left it behind. 

So now going forward it trundles away as a mid level residual gyre, raining it's self out over the next 3 hours over SE NH and lower Maine....

meanwhile, suns out in CT ...about the terminus of where the tropical like air was left behind. Really more like NYC.

Yup, one way or the other, true tropics don't come N of LI.  ahaha...  in general. kidding but yeah.

It's why what you have to have is a full bird beast rounding the outer Bahamas with the western limb -NAO block guiding it's latitude ascent at Sutton Massachusetts at 55 mph or forget it.  It's some kind of mangled variant otherwise.

 

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