Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Katrina made lf at 942 AM central time on August 29th, IDA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: One wonders if Ida's specific approach angle might "spare" - if we wanna call it that .. - the higher potential surge that could otherwise come up the mouth of the Miss. It's approach is from the south side. Now .. obviously the region below NOLA as shown below ... is very lowland - essentially sealevel. Really it's probably more of a tidal flat in these sort of sea level rise scenario. I'm not sure if there is some upper threshold where if it gets so inundating it just over-runs and submerges the whole region. Think of it .. as though for a moment at apex, NOLA is the shore... That's what all this "looks like" - it would be interesting to sit with a FEMA pro from that region and really get into the details of the envisioned scenarios. Actually it's the worst possible approach. The surge is driving 30 ft seas from the SE to the NE. This drives it up into Lake P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Some of those small towns on Route 1 from Port Fourchon north are gonna be in rough shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Louisiana has obliterated like 2,000 square miles of wetlands over the years which would help with storm surge and flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Actually it's the worst possible approach. The surge is driving 30 ft seas from the SE to the NE. This drives it up into Lake P Mm, not so sure about that... The greatest storm surge tends to happen where the winds impact the coast at the maximum wind radii - That means the llv cyclonic jet orientation of and near the eye-wall. There is also science about the lower pressure helping to lift the surface in that vicinity. By convention of land falling systems in the N Hemisphere, that is on the right side of the eye ..but in this case, that does not extend far enough to put the greatest surge into those channel waters. Having said that, ...it doesn't really alleviate the the 'threat' by very much - no. I mean, the 'funneling' effect, ...plus, 70 kt sustain or whatever physical wind strafe is going to blow up that region, is likely to have surge impacts. But as far the 'worst possible surge potential' ... it doesn't appear based upon the above that can be realized by an eye-wall/ low pressure intersection, that is on the other side of the peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: ... I thought it was neat how the 00z operational Euro phased Ida's vestigial ...whatever it is as it is nearing the upper M/A, into a N-stream trough like it does. The union converts that into a pretty impressive nor'easter, with copious rains [ probably ] for SE sections and some CCB conveyor winds as well. Not sure that's going to do that...just what that guidance portrayed. The 00z GFS seems to smear it more west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I thought it was neat how the 00z operational Euro phased Ida's vestigial ...whatever it is as it is nearing the upper M/A, into a N-stream trough like it does. The union converts that into a pretty impressive nor'easter, with copious rains [ probably ] for SE sections and some CCB conveyor winds as well. Not sure that's going to do that...just what that guidance portrayed. The 00z GFS seems to smear it more west... Let’s get that 6 weeks from now with anomalous cold and a block 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Starting to get real on that Grand Isle cam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Check out air temp on this crazy https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pstl1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Check out air temp on this crazy https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=pstl1 its wrong got up to 111 at one point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 What would do that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Dan76 said: What would do that ? Water in the electronics…lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Yeah they’re in the eyewall now. Seeing some waves make it up to cam level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 31 minutes ago, dendrite said: Starting to get real on that Grand Isle cam. Post this in the Aug thread: Definitely not Xfinity nor the CT power grid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 I also want to hire the builders of the houses across the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 webcam's about to be submerged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: webcam's about to be submerged. Yeah…lots of debris flying by too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah…lots of debris flying by too. I'm hopeful the eye passes over it (and the cam's still working). I think they're too far east though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm hopeful the eye passes over it (and the cam's still working). I think they're too far east though. Yeah gonna need a wobble more northward. The real meat of the eyewall is moving in there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Looks like that cam is getting hit by a branch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, moneypitmike said: Looks like that cam is getting hit by a branch 3k have lost power in CT already 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 They’re in the worst of it now while down the road is in the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Webcam just died...can't believe it lasted that long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Looks like the cam is toast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 John Humphress2 // Live Storm Chasing (severestudios.com) up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 3k have lost power in CT already This would be a popular seller(t-shirts, sweatshirts, hoodies) on some electric companies websites...or even as a bumper sticker on the sides and back of electric company trucks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: John Humphress2 // Live Storm Chasing (severestudios.com) up Still going and those houses are standing as well. Really impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Wow, looks like it's slowed down ... sitting there like a umanned circular sander Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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