RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Your only shot is a track far enough west. Yea but I think this comes in on the eastern end of the envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea but I think this comes in on the eastern end of the envelope. If it comes in around Grand Isle NO will get the surge hard, luckily IDA isn't staying out to sea too long to build up a tremendous surge like Katrina's 20 to 30 foot. Quickly organizing now. Problem may be its strengthing right up to LF. Other issue is will it get so large it actually creates a ridge ahead of it and trends east. Beware the Messenger shuffle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 HRRR not a hurricane model but this is an example of what I said above. Big NO issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Hope that traffic is able to keep moving, to avoid the (non) evacuation policy in the run-up to Katrina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: If it comes in around Grand Isle NO will get the surge hard, luckily IDA isn't staying out to sea too long to build up a tremendous surge like Katrina's 20 to 30 foot. Quickly organizing now. Problem may be its strengthing right up to LF. Other issue is will it get so large it actually creates a ridge ahead of it and trends east. Beware the Messenger shuffle Wouldn't building of ridge trend it west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 IDA is east of the 11am cone New Orleans is going to be in big trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 wow storms rapidly forming around the center now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 12Z Euro has a widespread 2”-5” of rain next week from Ida’s remnants in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 11 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: 12Z Euro has a widespread 2”-5” of rain next week from Ida’s remnants in SNE. most models do now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Hopefully we get CRUSHED with 3-6" from Ida! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 2 hours ago, TheCloser24 said: 12Z Euro has a widespread 2”-5” of rain next week from Ida’s remnants in SNE. It's coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 18z GFS looks wet 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wouldn't building of ridge trend it west? I was thinking something like this Steering ridge to the NE.Blocking ridge to the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 I keep watching the medium range for Ida. It has been an extremely dry August for me. 1.40" ish. I am hoping that I can get into the heavy rain path as it rounds the bend this week. SNE has had more of it's share of rain. Luckily I had 11" in July so I'm sure the soil is moist down below but at the surface things are browning out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Seriously? 70 ft! Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 10 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: HRRR not a hurricane model but this is an example of what I said above. Big NO issue 885mb on the 3k nam. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: 885mb on the 3k nam. glad we don't use that model but always fun to see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Seriously? 70 ft! YikesMax heights, not significant wave height. Impressive no doubt though!!Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 885mb on the 3k nam. let's go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Suddenly it’s a monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Suddenly it’s a monster Bath water Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Ida is scary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 12 mb pressure fall in last 6 hours, yet despite that rapid deepening the winds remain at 105 mph over that 6 hour period. I know there is usually a lag between the pressure fall and increased wind speed, but this makes little sense. Is it possible that the hunter planes may be missing where the strongest winds are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drstuess Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 She ain't got no alibi. Last few sattelite frames have been impressive. Good luck gulf... not exactly Henri.Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 this is a bombing cyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Gotta find some good webcams facing into the Gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 On 8/26/2021 at 4:11 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Final Call unchanged from First Call on Thursday PM. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/extreme-hurricane-ida-rapidly.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 looking at IR and seeing how fast this is deepening a cat 5 is possible.. New Orleans is screwed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 133kt flight level winds now woah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 also a 10mb drop in one hour explosive strengthening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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