Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 12:16 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Models definitely improved the swell outlook on last runs, thou euro was most modest with Henri development looks like the gfs sort of gives Henri a shot in the arm of additional “energy” sat am and Ukie was also significantly stronger. windy.com is a very cool site for swell , just click waves on right side of screen and then scroll thru the different model output . You can adjust a point by clicking and monitor the predicted size Expand @N. OF PIKEthere the surf maker Henri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Trending... lol that HMNI is a cat 4 we pray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Don't do it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 1:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Don't do it. Expand 6z EURO ensembles definitely west of 0z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 In HMNI we trust ... look how tilted Henri is definitely coming west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Wonder if he can drift into OBX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 It’s gonna suck me in and then pull the football away like Lucy. Has the east coast ever had a storm come from that latitude? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 1:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Don't do it. Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 I'm tracking 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Just want a little rain, but my guess is we get nothing but high cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 1:40 PM, Vice-Regent said: In HMNI we trust ... look how tilted Henri is definitely coming west. Expand It's a lock. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 17, 2021 Author Share Posted August 17, 2021 Smart money on OTS of course, but the intensity guidance is really playing catch up. This could be the strongest system of the season if it can find itself further west and away from stronger shear. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 1:41 PM, Cyclone-68 said: It’s gonna suck me in and then pull the football away like Lucy. Has the east coast ever had a storm come from that latitude? Expand don't get sucked in....you already know how this is going to play out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 2:30 PM, WeatherHappens said: don't get sucked in....you already know how this is going to play out Expand That’s true but it’s the only game in town 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 2:35 PM, Cyclone-68 said: That’s true but it’s the only game in town Expand the little rain from Fred's leftovers will be more exciting lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 2:22 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Smart money on OTS of course, but the intensity guidance is really playing catch up. This could be the strongest system of the season if it can find itself further west and away from stronger shear. Expand Henri is about to be a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 What a boring tropical season so far, and I see nothing interesting on the table.....tough to swallow after such a tepid end to winter in classic la nina fasion. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 West and stronger than 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 How far west can Henri get is the question? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Ends up east of 6z when comparing hr 138. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Good Bye and Good Luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 4:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Ends up east of 6z when comparing hr 138. Expand Hopefully this season gets active soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 4:15 PM, Cyclone-68 said: How far west can Henri get is the question? Expand about 10 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 4:15 PM, Cyclone-68 said: How far west can Henri get is the question? Expand All depends on this large cyclonic flow and deep trough in the North Atlantic which is ultimately creating the weakness for it to escape. You would need it to not only be weaker for an even more conducive environment, but also move east. That would allow for the ridge to build over the top and to the east, possibly blocking it from moving out east. This past 12z run was not as favorable if you want a hit, with a deeper and stronger Upper low feature and a weaker eastern Canada ridge. Not to mention that low barely moves and sits/spins in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Big big surf on 12z gfs Swells building from 4 to 6 feet Friday -Saturday S coast then 8-10 feet at 10 seconds by Sunday on S and SE facing Exposed Coastlines of S coast and Outer cape * (big if ) Henri moves near 39/68 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 4:27 PM, Newman said: All depends on this large cyclonic flow and deep trough in the North Atlantic which is ultimately creating the weakness for it to escape. You would need it to not only be weaker for an even more conducive environment, but also move east. That would allow for the ridge to build over the top and to the east, possibly blocking it from moving out east. This past 12z run was not as favorable if you want a hit, with a deeper and stronger Upper low feature and a weaker eastern Canada ridge. Not to mention that low barely moves and sits/spins in place. Expand I thought a stronger storm would continue to go more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Uncle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 On 8/17/2021 at 5:01 PM, MJO812 said: Uncle Expand still wouldn't be overly exciting 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2021 Share Posted August 17, 2021 Congrats sunken German U-Boats. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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