MJO812 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS turning 95l into a beast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Grace is ours 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 My cousin is vacationing in the outer banks starting late next week and I just sent him a snapshot of what a couple of computer models are showing. He was much less excited than me LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Could be a Fran or Bertha type deal.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13, 2021 Author Share Posted August 13, 2021 When PTC 7 organized itself further north, it put itself at greater peril for a greater Antilles strike, but also increased the odds for an East Coast impact. I think this one has a high ceiling somewhere if it avoids the Fred path. A lot to sort out. Toss the operational guidance for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 27 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Could be a Fran or Bertha type deal.... 500 MB setup argues for run up coast with deep blues over Midwest and WAR blocking escape 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Hopefully that’ll be our “saving Grace” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Lol 12z GFS doesn't even have a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 500 MB setup argues for run up coast with deep blues over Midwest and WAR blocking escape Agree Bermuda high setting up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Lol 12z GFS doesn't even have a storm Models will struggle with both storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Like last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 14 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Like last year? Last year was active Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 is this the year we break our hurricane drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said: is this the year we break our hurricane drought Now or never I say. Doesn’t necessarily have to be historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 38 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Now or never I say. Doesn’t necessarily have to be historic i'm not looking for a 38...a Bob would be nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, WeatherHappens said: i'm not looking for a 38...a Bob would be nice Agreed. Bob about 75 miles further west would do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 13, 2021 Author Share Posted August 13, 2021 I’m not convinced yet the steering pattern will be there to slingshot this up the coast. That trough could just as easily be timed or oriented to be a kicker or too shallow to allow anything north of the Outer Banks. If I had to speculate at this range, I’d go with the latter. Of course, it has to miss the Greater Antilles first guys 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m not convinced yet the steering pattern will be there to slingshot this up the coast. That trough could just as easily be timed or oriented to be a kicker or too shallow to allow anything north of the Outer Banks. If I had to speculate at this range, I’d go with the latter. Of course, it has to miss the Greater Antilles first guys Easy forecast look how great the agreement is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m not convinced yet the steering pattern will be there to slingshot this up the coast. That trough could just as easily be timed or oriented to be a kicker or too shallow to allow anything north of the Outer Banks. If I had to speculate at this range, I’d go with the latter. Of course, it has to miss the Greater Antilles first guys Agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Agreed. This is why it is so hard to get a hurricane up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 DisGrace 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Amazing Grace, how sweet the storm That crushed a wretch like me I once had oaks, but now they're down Was nice but now no trees Was Grace that tore my roof from me And Grace, my doors beseiged How dangerous did that Grace appear The hours she hammered me Through many blizzards, storms and canes We have already come T'was Grace that was the final blow When Grace destroyed our home When Grace destroyed our home Amazing Grace, how sweet the storm That crushed a wretch like me I once had oaks, but now they're down Was nice but now no trees Was nice but now no trees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 1 minute ago, HimoorWx said: Amazing Grace, how sweet the storm That crushed a wretch like me I once had oaks, but now they're down Was nice but now no trees Was Grace that tore my roof from me And Grace, my doors beseiged How dangerous did that Grace appear The hours she hammered me Through many blizzards, storms and canes We have already come T'was Grace that was the final blow When Grace destroyed our home When Grace destroyed our home Amazing Grace, how sweet the storm That crushed a wretch like me I once had oaks, but now they're down Was nice but now no trees Was nice but now no trees Perfect. I wish Glen Campbell were still alive to sing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Meh for now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Meh for now and meh later 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 One more drink and I'll move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 We now have Grace. East coast needs to watch this from Florida north... looks good this morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2021 Share Posted August 14, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: We now have Grace. East coast needs to watch this from Florida north... looks good this morning Gulf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 14, 2021 Author Share Posted August 14, 2021 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: We now have Grace. East coast needs to watch this from Florida north... looks good this morning That ridge is legit. Either it’d have to get poleward before te Greater Antilles to get steered into the SE or round the ridge in the Gulf and get lifted northeast by a trough like the GFS showed IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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