Whineminster Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 7 hours ago, Saguaro said: Just checked the P&C for my former western ME location: 60s and low 70s for the entire period. Yeesh. Yea this summer is beyond shot back that way, though that writing was on the wall once July began. I didn't think that that first June heat event would be as hot as it ever got for the season, though some previous seasons in the past have behaved similarly enough that it's by no means unprecedented at this point. I recall getting groceries in North Conway during the warmest day in June and it was pretty legit heat, to the point of me noticing the similarity to my daily experiences in AZ. Did you retire out there or something? Jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 9 hours ago, snowman21 said: Summer departures so far: BOS +2.5 BDL +1.2 PVD +1.4 ORH +1.6 June was brutally hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 44F this morning, felt great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 33F Maple Hollow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Didn't fall off here in N Mass as much as the air sniffed like it wanted to... interesting. 57 to 63 is the bell curve from scanning around the hill-folk home stations tied into Wunder'. I see a definitive pattern change on the way. The hemisphere moves away from the anomalous R-wave ridge-trough .. to something- not sure the models/ens means know where to go really. That look out there almost seems like a waiting pattern for a signal to re-emerge, or assert anew either way. Either way, I don't see a longitudinal ridge along and S of 40 N as being very stable. I also find it interesting that some recent operational Euro and GFS are signaling another retrograde warm front event, similar to what transpired once or twice back in June - in both occasions, preceding a WAR retrograde. As an aside: I'm curious what the GEFs 07/29, 00z computation re the PNA look like. PNA is supposedly non or low correlative/confidence at this time of year, but it's hard to argue against the look of July 20 - Aug 2 ( aft and for') and how well that has/is matches up with the GEFs derived +PNA. Chances are, when it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck ... it's a duck. This pattern, aft and fro, fits nicely enough within prior PNA forecasts. I have never seen this robust of both amplitude and concerted agreement in this PNA, entering early August - ever. I have been noticing this in recent summers actually ( to be honest ..) The PNA has been a bit more useful than the italic assumption above over recent summers - it's been consistent too. I hypothesize why.. The speedier velocity rich hemisphere's we have been observing during the last 15 to 20 winters, is not entirely dispersing in summers. It's relaxing, but not 'as much'. In short .. relative to summer circulation climate we are still seeing somewhat elevated geopotential wind anomalies in/along the best perceived cores of the westerly jets. [ enter data to support here that is not merely anecdotal lol ] This enters wave mechanical arguments - easy ones at that. Fast flow organizes wave structures more proficiently. The rest is academic; this reduction of entropy/off-set of normal summer nebular tendencies, is tending to manufacture/maintain R-wave structures. These structures are going to abide the same laws and behavior as they do in the winter/colder months. "When," in this sense means nothing. So, you tend to better definitive wave structures, the telecon's thus pop back to life (if not partly so). But that's hypothesis. It's a bit of a subjective-objective marriage there in order to science. We are not PHD legends sitting behind an Earth toned oak desk with a retinue of terrified grad students in a state of default institutional abuse to maintain their grants, just begging for an opportunity to prove it is true ... Besides most marriages fail inside of 5 years anyway LOL. I tell you ...as much as it curls my toe-nails to say this abused ism, 'Imagine if that happened in winter' Ugh I hate the escapism. It's so meaninglessly arbitrary. It's like being in a 20 minute typical summer thunderstorm, and say, gee - imagine ? But in this case the comparison carries more usefulness because, that is an unusually clustered/'instructive looking' curve up there, and probably an unsung or tallied metric, it is one that may have never been 'modeled' to do that before. Man, it'd take Rain Man to track of that sort of thing .. ha! But in early August by an entire ensemble system. Every member Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 10 hours ago, snowman21 said: Summer departures so far: BOS +2.5 BDL +1.2 PVD +1.4 ORH +1.6 Since the unofficial start to summer Memorial day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Since the unofficial start to summer Memorial day Good morning Ginx. Living in the NYC Brooklyn UHI enhanced sub tropics, I was wondering if Boston’s anomaly was due to a similar UHI cause.?. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 24 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Didn't fall off here in N Mass as much as the air sniffed like it wanted to... interesting. 57 to 63 is the bell curve. I see a definitive pattern change away from the anomalous R-wave ridge-trough .. As an aside: I'm curious what the GEFs 07/29, 00z computation re the PNA look like. PNA is supposedly non or low correlative/confidence at this time of year, but it's hard to argue against the look of July 20 - Aug 2 ( aft and for') and how well that has/is matches up with the GEFs derived +PNA. Chances are, when it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck ... it's a duck. This pattern, aft and fro, fits nicely enough within prior PNA forecasts. I have never seen this robust of both amplitude and concerted agreement in this PNA, entering early August - ever. I have been noticing this in recent summers actually ( to be honest ..) The PNA has been a bit more useful than the italic assumption above over recent summers - it's been consistent too. I hypothesize why.. The speedier velocity rich hemisphere's we have been observing during the last 15 to 20 winters, is not entirely dispersing in summers. It's relaxing, but not 'as much'. In short .. relative to summer circulation climate we are still seeing somewhat elevated geopotential wind anomalies in/along the best perceived cores of the westerly jets. [ enter data to support here that is not anecdotal lol ] This enters wave mechanical arguments - easy ones at that. Fast flow organizes wave structures more proficiently. The rest if academic; this reduction of entropy/off-set of normal summer nebular tendencies, is tending to manufacture/maintain R-wave structures. These structures are going to abide the same laws and behavior as they do in the winter/colder months. "When," in this sense means nothing. So, you have a wave structures, the telecon's thus pop back to life. But that's hypothesis. It's a bit of a subjective-objective marriage there in order to science. We are not PHD legends sitting behind an Earth toned oak desk with a retinue of terrified grad students in a state of default institutional abuse to maintain their grants, just begging for an opportunity to prove it is true ... Besides most marriages fail inside of 5 years anyway LOL. I tell you ...as much as it curls my toe-nails to say this abused ism, 'Imagine if that happened in winter' Ugh I hate the escapism. It's so meaninglessly arbitrary. It's like being in a 20 minute typical summer thunderstorm, and say, gee - imagine ? But in this case the comparison carries more usefulness because, that is an unusually clustered curve up there and probably an unsung on tallied metric, one that may have never been 'modeled' to do that before by an entire ensemble system. Every member EPO plus PNA is a real good indicator and my go to summer planner . Expect a pretty good storm around the 8th as we return to a warmer more humid airmass. The pattern has repeated over and over since Memorial day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, rclab said: Good morning Ginx. Living in the NYC Brooklyn UHI enhanced sub tropics, I was wondering if Boston’s anomaly was due to a similar UHI cause.?. As always …. Not as much as marine air, as it being on an Island, but certainly being surrounded by a concrete jungle to its west there is UHI plus the tarmac its on. Good morning, my wife flew out to Omaha for a week to see my son and grandkids. Early 230 am wake up and drive for my loss. Good morning? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Not as much as marine air, as it being on an Island, but certainly being surrounded by a concrete jungle to its west there is UHI plus the tarmac its on. Good morning, my wife flew out to Omaha for a week to see my son and grandkids. Early 230 am wake up and drive for my loss. Good morning? Your point is made. I neglected to turn on the backup boiler switch after having the boiler serviced. The cold shower, this am, that I endured at 74+, is neither necessary or desirable. It did jog my memory about the back up switch. Have a good morning anyway and hope the family remains hale and hearty, as always…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 42 minutes ago, rclab said: Your point is made. I neglected to turn on the backup boiler switch after having the boiler serviced. The cold shower, this am, that I endured at 74+, is neither necessary or desirable. It did jog my memory about the back up switch. Have a good morning anyway and hope the family remains hale and hearty, as always…. The great thing about this time of year is the water is so warm no matter the outside temp its very comfortable. I went for my lake swim and despite the air temp of 70 with a strong breeze it was very enjoyable. Sun is gone now though. Looks like showers moving in. Olympics time. Hope you and yours are doing well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I see 0.38. Thanks for pointing this out. I had used the xmACIS2 website and perhaps got a bad data pull. It's reflecting 0.38 as well now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Flakes mentioned in today’s Gray AFD https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GYX&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 I have absolutely had it with the rain. Between today and Tuesday we have probably picked up close to another inch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 I know it’s silly but it’s just hard to let go of this feeling that all of this excess moisture will balance itself as bone dry in the snowy season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 I’ll check when I get home but I think I’m over 14 inches for July. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just scored 0.37" in the appetizer round. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 https://twitter.com/eatlovepray211/status/1420706967383908359?s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 0.80” down and this to go. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 0.80” down and this to go. Cool radar shot. Dynamic. 18z 3km NAM has 2-3” for the chickens, looks like it’s on track lol. Up here the stratus has a whopping 0.02” in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 0.80” down and this to go. You stole our rain. You may pass me MTD. We done with 0.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You stole our rain. You may pass me MTD. We done with 0.0 Yeah we really could have used it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah we really could have used it. You got your wish. Drought returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You got your wish. Drought returns Good. Let’s make up for the shit July. Sun and Stein in august. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You got your wish. Drought returns It could not rain for 3 full months and you’d still be ahead of normal pace . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 We flood. The Nile is going through the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good. Let’s make up for the shit July. Sun and Stein in august. Unfortunately it doesn’t look like that with soaker mid week as dews hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 0.80” down and this to go. 1.61" with a steady 2" per hour rate. Was expecting maybe .4-.5" and someone might squeeze out 4" around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, backedgeapproaching said: 1.61" with a steady 2" per hour rate. Was expecting maybe .4-.5" and someone might squeeze out 4" around here 1.43” here. Lining up from you to me like 12/17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 1.43” here. Lining up from you to me like 12/17. All you can see now of the chickens are their beaks? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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