Typhoon Tip Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 It's funny how relative to whatever the model illustrations there are...there's always this interpretation effort for how it can be dramatic and entertaining. Reliance on weather -cinema ... it never goes away. That pattern out there looks like summer's ending frankly. Not sure we are going to stop the hemisphere from continuing to pack the heat backward toward the SW-W. Every time we do see the models send a ridge to 90 W, the next three runs are academically finding least excuse imagined to repack, and we end up right back in NW flow again This has happened every august the last 7 years running. This is what ends up then being a winter prolapse in October and November, as imagine - if you will - pushing this look ahead seasonally with hemispheric height reduction and there you are. But it doesn't mean or dictate or predict the DJF mean very well... as that mid part of winter than modulates/guided by increasing compression from HC expansion. This/thus speeding up the ambient geostrophic wind velocity, so much so that in turn... de-climatizes the R-wave distribution and concomitantly f'up all the longer term geo- telecon suggesters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's funny how relative to whatever the model illustrations there are...there's always this interpretation effort for how it can be dramatic and entertaining. Reliance on weather -cinema ... it never goes away. That pattern out there looks like summer's ending frankly. Not sure we are going to stop the hemisphere from continuing to pack the heat backward toward the SW-W. Every time we do see the models send a ridge to 90 W, the next three runs are academically finding least excuse imagined to repack, and we end up right back in NW flow again This has happened every august the last 7 years running. This is what ends up then being a winter prolapse in October and November, as imagine - if you will - pushing this look ahead seasonally with hemispheric height reduction and there you are. But it doesn't mean or dictate or predict the DJF mean very well... as that mid part of winter than modulates/guided by increasing compression from HC expansion. This/thus speeding up the ambient geostrophic wind velocity, so much so that in turn... de-climatizes the R-wave distribution and concomitantly f'up all the longer term geo- telecon suggesters. Hopefully the roles are reversed this winter and the west gets a trough and we get a massive ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Hopefully the roles are reversed this winter and the west gets a trough and we get a massive ridge What are you ... a sociopath ? LOL j/k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 I mean we could bring the heat back. It's just that this modeling persistence to block/shun it S, consummately correcting late mid/ext into backing NW continental flow after July's, that has a recent multi-year precedence/repetition. That circumstantially tends to coax one into believing we're just destined to the same muted later summer. So we'll see. It almost seems like a sped up atmosphere rushes seasonal change - the visionary in me sees this as a 50 year predicament until the warm engulfing of the planet has finally penetrated and warm the poles so much that who knows what that future looks like.. I mean... we snow in October/November's like Pez ...and send 70 to 80 F in Feb's and March's? These are happening regardless of ENSO this, or solar cycle that, SSW whatever. And no, this muting of later summers autumn doesn't always show up in the scalar temperatures. It's really more of a pattern tendency that sometimes results in early chill. ..That's the take away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 33 minutes ago, dendrite said: Is that water hazard usually there? lol Ha that thing is usually 5-6 feet lower with baked cracked mud lining the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Going to Red Sox/Yankees tomorrow. Couldn't ask for better weather. Love the 4:00 start too...won't get home super late. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Going to Red Sox/Yankees tomorrow. Couldn't ask for better weather. Love the 4:00 start too...won't get home super late. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 New Sharon, ME getting rocked. Thank God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 We COC on the summit of Mt Watatic 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 5 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: After this week, average temps start sliding down for the next 5 months. Thank goodness. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Nice little popup cell to my NE now. Thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Nice little popup cell to my NE now. Thunder when thunder roars head outdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We COC on the summit of Mt Watatic Pretty cool little mountain, I remember skiing there as a kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 I picked the right week to take off from work. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Ridiculous 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 1 hour ago, MaineJayhawk said: New Sharon, ME getting rocked. Thank God. 0.05" and no lightning near enough to bother our thunder-phobic dog. Those bright echoes clipped the was part of town. Better than nothing, however - precip May 1 forward now past the 7" mark, with 60%+ of that in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 1 hour ago, tamarack said: 0.05" and no lightning near enough to bother our thunder-phobic dog. Those bright echoes clipped the was part of town. Better than nothing, however - precip May 1 forward now past the 7" mark, with 60%+ of that in July. 2nd cell thru about 3:45, looks like .10-.15" additional, and a strike at 1.5 miles distance. (Nothing else close) June had 12 days with measurable precip and only 1.05" total, while July is up to 14 days measurable and more than 4 times the June total, and above the average for the full month. Temps now 2.3° BN and given forecasts, looks like this will be the first BN month since October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Pulling off a couple of tenths from that Hill-Franklin line of training cells. Sun is peeking out now, but it's down to a raw 61F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 6 hours ago, powderfreak said: What a day to be alive in NE CT. Chamber of Commerce approved. COC k summer day !! Did they drown in their suits from the water weight from the storm just now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Just got thru this round of severe, Have had a couple nasty ones this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 6 hours ago, powderfreak said: What a day to be alive in NE CT. Chamber of Commerce approved. Unreal day got so much done without sweating. Storms stayed away. So many people smiling and happy today. They all love COC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: COC k summer day !! Did they drown in their suits from the water weight from the storm just now? Ha! Got a bit of the high anvil clouds, but we full sun right now. This was like 45 minutes ago, nothing but Chamber to your NE in the Quiet Corner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 0.36" in tshowerSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Just got thru this round of severe, Have had a couple nasty ones this afternoon.Decent wind and some light lightening here. 0.36"Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha! Got a bit of the high anvil clouds, but we full sun right now. This was like 45 minutes ago, nothing but Chamber to your NE in the Quiet Corner. Some call this Coc k .. I call it not . Sing along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Some call this Coc k .. I call it not . Sing along I swear that same downpour would have given me a third of that. I wonder if that runs high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Sunny and stein all day. COC K just spread out all over. Finally. **** the rain. Time for a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Surprisingly got hit with that cell that was racing southeast through RI. Looked like some sort of area of convergence was near me as you could see things moving in opposite directions on radar before the storm came through. They usually die out here but not this time around. Temp dropped as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I swear that same downpour would have given me a third of that. I wonder if that runs high? No it pounded for about 4-5 mins . It’s very dead on . Especially when I compare to all the other stations in town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Min dews today… ORH 47F, BDL 52F, IJD 52F. Gotta love it in that triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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