HoarfrostHubb Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: So we go right from spring to fall which looks like it starts this weekend...... great We will get summer in September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: We will get summer in September And don’t forget December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: You love summer trust me I get it.. hope you atleast get a few good weeks to enjoy.. I don’t even mean hot and humid. But for god sake let’s get some sun lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Turn turned into a way nicer day here than was expected. Fair amount of sun and blue skies to go with the clouds. Still super tropical81/73 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Just spent 3 days camping at Rocky Neck. Hardly rained and left under full sun..today is a top 10 beach day for those waterlogged folks 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 22 minutes ago, Whineminster said: So we go right from spring to fall which looks like it starts this weekend...... great Lol, ... now, we had/are having a summer - but I get the sarcasm. Like we said, it's just "too early" ... I mean it's more likely those 75 to 100 kt mid level streams up there relax some as that gets closer. But the technology manifold/physics tends to do this from time to time? It's like there are background forces, but the more realized wave structures/mechanics are masking. They are long term oscillatory aspects, and way out in time the models may loose the present more realized forces do canceling interactive noise, and when they cancel out ... it leaves the long term aspect to "coax the flow orientation" so to speak. It really is like revealing where it wants to go? I think it's fascinating. It reminds me of 'rogue wave' physics in the open seas. You /we know those are ... But they set up because of two physical processes: linear or non-linear wave mechanics. The first of the two, linear is easy. Wave A --> <-- Wave B = huge C because they super impose their wave energy. That is linear constructive interference. Non-linear is when you have 2ndary and tertiary residual interference patterns that can cause the rogue wave to seemingly lurch up out of the surrounding tumult some towering amplitude too far about the mean distribution of wave amplitude to be explained by any observable interference patterns. It's almost like this same thing happens in the atmosphere. Sometimes you have Alberta Clipper diving down the flow, and you have a southern stream wet juicy wave turning the corner. That's easy ... linear wave intererence leads to bomb. Rogue-ish event due to constructive interference. Then you have "teleconnector convergence" - a phrase I coined years ago because I am a loser with no life and think about this shit. oy.. But, Indian Ocean index ( say ..) sends a signal to the Del Marva, circuited through a favorable ENSO/ --> MJO transitioning. Meanwhile, the polar region happens to be setting up a -EPO ..which is not really dependent upon that array of former larger scale factors. Either one of which could favor a storm, but when you couple them together there is a "synergistic" aspect that enhances the favorability - "favorability" in this context just means the ability to dampen interfering factors in lieu of the dominating force - which happens to be the Cleveland Superbomb ...Or 1992 Dec ...or March 1993... Feb 1978...etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 You can see this warm front just reversed and became a BD collapsing back SW of Boston as an undercutting on vis loop - that's ball game on Sunday July 18, 2021 for eastern zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t even mean hot and humid. But for god sake let’s get some sun lol. Yup...it's amazing how much improved my mood is when the sun was out in 2 of the past 20 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Partly sunny hot humid afternoon here. For now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Pouring now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Partly sunny hot humid afternoon here. For now 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pouring now lol 10 minutes apart, that changed fast lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 65F with more showers. Looks like the high will be 67.7F. Meanwhile the weenie AWOS at OXC is reporting a dew of 79F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t even mean hot and humid. But for god sake let’s get some sun lol. Hope you get it.. September we flip though... atleast I hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Worst summer ever rolls on. Had enough of this crap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Off and on shwrs but looks like most caught a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Relative hot one. Mid 80s and dews in the mid 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Relative hot one. Mid 80s and dews in the mid 70s Glad we not there, but wish we weren’t here either. Truckee sounds nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Glad we not there, but wish we weren’t here either. Truckee sounds nice. Didn't want to get back on the plane this morning, but did at least get a birds eye view of the pyrocumulus we could see on the horizon yesterday. Fortunately the air quality was pretty good this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Crap day here behind front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Worst summer month since 2009 at least. 11th cloudy day this month, moving it to 2nd place for July. Still 3 fewer cloudy days than July 2009 and with about half the rain. 13+ hours of rain here, maybe 1/2" total and we're about done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: 11th cloudy day this month, moving it to 2nd place for July. Still 3 fewer cloudy days than July 2009 and with about half the rain. 13+ hours of rain here, maybe 1/2" total and we're about done. I think we (N ORH county) are at 14 cloudy to partly cloudy days so far. CDDs are below normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I think we (N ORH county) are at 14 cloudy to partly cloudy days so far. CDDs are below normal 3 sunny, 4 partly cloudy, 11 cloudy here. 2009 was 2/15/14. Average is 5.2/19.4/6.4. July and August (5.9/19.5/5.6) are rich in PC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: 10 minutes apart, that changed fast lol. Only rained briefly. Luckily we were are on summer side of front . So basically ended up an HHH afternoon . Plenty of sun .Dews mid 70’s FTW . Maybe something pops, but doesn’t have the feel of big stuff that yesterday did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Overcast, a high of 68° today so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saguaro Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 7 hours ago, PowderBeard said: Pictures starting to come in on FB. This is from Belchertown FD. Several roads are "gone." Reminds me of the spring of 2006 or 2008 in western ME. Those scenes were commonplace. To this very day there are still some bridges in towns like Sebago and Waterford that were never fixed and the roads turned into permanent dead ends. 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: You can see this warm front just reversed and became a BD collapsing back SW of Boston as an undercutting on vis loop - that's ball game on Sunday July 18, 2021 for eastern zones. How many of these so far this month? You know summer's shot when there's more of these in July than April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 20 minutes ago, Saguaro said: Reminds me of the spring of 2006 or 2008 in western ME. Those scenes were commonplace. To this very day there are still some bridges in towns like Sebago and Waterford that were never fixed and the roads turned into permanent dead ends. How many of these so far this month? You know summer's shot when there's more of these in July than April. I know it It's been weird. I really don't recall a single BD in April that really could qualitatively be one, and maybe vaguely one in May. June maybe but it was so overwhelmingly warm if not hot, it really if so its not the same as this - not even close all three of those months put together. There's been at least five acceleration events like what you see there on the vis imagery ... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined The weird part about it it? There's no S/W moving SE out of Ontario. Heights are 582 godDAM NE of Caribou. It's almost the weight of cooler saturated air alone that's doing this. That boundary is moving unusually slowly too - creeping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 If you think our flooding is bad we ain't got nothing on Europe. Check out some of these pics: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/17/photos-show-disastrous-flooding-in-western-europe.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 Really cool satellite loop right now with boundary draped over area. Cleared out to south of. Sort of a low level damming going on it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 25 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Really cool satellite loop right now with boundary draped over area. Cleared out to south of. Sort of a low level damming going on it would seem. Yeah you can see the BD oozing S/SW on vis and radar. Any showers forming along it and passing into the sfc cold sector will just help it accelerate southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2021 Share Posted July 18, 2021 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah you can see the BD oozing S/SW on vis and radar. Any showers forming along it and passing into the sfc cold sector will just help it accelerate southward. But the surface low over SE NY is moving NE. So it will basically stall it out and move it north a bit before winds go NW after cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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