Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 It is an unusual synoptic situation Monday through mid week. Again we near historic non-hydrostatic heights, yet cannot/won't (in any guidance) be associated with positive temperature anomalies at the surface. Interesting Longer version: This sort of imbalanced look, where tall ridging doesn't reflect in surface temperature, that is much more akin to mid April to early June. Lower ambient heights across Canada to the D. Straight, and then higher heights approaching from the S circumstantially causes intense confluence structures. They roll passed N Maine, sending surface high pressure anomalies down through the lower Maritime region and the butt- bangin' of New England is complete: E lower tropospheric jet sets up into the upper M/A and NE, etc, under a glance that would look like mid 80s. This is doing that exact same behavior, but with both hydro and non-hydro static heights that would support 100 ! Personally, I have never seen this phenomenon at the very ceiling of the geophysical non-hydrostatic heights. That's the unusual aspect. We're talking 594 to 597 dm heights in a large circumvallate; and they don't really get higher on Earth without two suns ( hyperbole). Anyway, unusual elevated ( near the top of the atmospheric geophysical ceiling in fact) non-hydrostatic depths = mid 60s ? fascinating - here's the coup de gras: the hydrostatic heights, the thickness, are over 570! So this entire oddity involving full metrical aspects - So why? It seems there are modest polar jet wind anomalies in the geopotential flow across the southern tier of Canada --> exaggerating the confluence orientation. I dunno...perhaps owing to HC expansion shit introducing compression to the heights up there, as anyone with beef for brains would agree ...the ambient subtropic ridging owns the hemisphere right now. You can see this all the way across the Pacific, Atlantic, through the sub-Saharan Africa and the Indian Ocean... This expanded anomaly may be pressing into and enhancing gradients along 50 to 60 N. Stronger westerlies = stronger attending wave mechanics. It'll wane out... Confluence moves off and/or changes flow orientation etc, and the surface high normalizes. But it's interesting that we will pass through the 4th very large and unusually tall ridge structure this warm season - which is some kind of frequency record ... christ - but this one appears to not only be neutered for heat, there may actually be modest negative anomalies in SNE during the time period in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Surgical precision from here to Tamarack. But it is absolutely crazy how every rainer is big QPF. Sometimes it's like well hopefully we can get a swath of like a half inch of water or so. This year it's like no, the max zone will be inches of rain every single time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 How could you even go out in this.. death valley Today Sunny and hot, with a high near 130. South wind 6 to 13 mph. Tonight Widespread haze after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 103. West wind 12 to 17 mph becoming northeast 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Monday Sunny and hot, with a high near 129. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 101. South southeast wind 6 to 14 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 36 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Surgical precision from here to Tamarack. But it is absolutely crazy how every rainer is big QPF. Sometimes it's like well hopefully we can get a swath of like a half inch of water or so. This year it's like no, the max zone will be inches of rain every single time. A little bump north from 00z. Maybe this area can finally be near the jack for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 1 minute ago, dendrite said: A little bump north from 00z. Maybe this area can finally be near the jack for once. this sort of reminds me of a storm track tendency in winter, whence the storm track favors NNE early, then tries ( but usually fails due to HC expansion..) to move S in Feb for 10 minutes...before a late snow(s) in Maine/March up N. It's like as the STR reaches apex climo circa July 18 - Aug 10, that training rains f-up PF and Tam's mid summer... lol. Who's with me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: A little bump north from 00z. Maybe this area can finally be near the jack for once. Pretty good Synoptics with strong 850 jet ramming into that area. I bet you’ll do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 30 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: this sort of reminds me of a storm track tendency in winter, whence the storm track favors NNE early, then tries ( but usually fails due to HC expansion..) to move S in Feb for 10 minutes...before a late snow(s) in Maine/March up N. It's like as the STR reaches apex climo circa July 18 - Aug 10, that training rains f-up PF and Tam's mid summer... lol. Who's with me! You’re right, never thought of it that way in the summer but it is the opposite of winter… jet lifting north with time in summer instead of going south with time in winter. Hadley keeps flexing we’ll get rain late month and August before it heads back south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You’re right, never thought of it that way in the summer but it is the opposite of winter… jet lifting north with time in summer instead of going south with time in winter. Hadley keeps flexing we’ll get rain late month and August before it heads back south? Sumpin' like ghat, yeah - I mean, conjecture and hypothesis, but we draw from education and wisdom, so not merely rube guesswork reckin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 decent severe potential tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: decent severe potential tomorrow Probably SW CT. Not much MLCAPE anywhere else, but there is good instability aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Nice day in North Conway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Probably SW CT. Not much MLCAPE anywhere else, but there is good instability aloft. yeah SW CT looks to be in a pretty favorable area for a good overlap of shear/cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 We are supposed to go to echo lake tomorrow. Is it going to be really bad up here or do we think we can sneak it in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We are supposed to go to echo lake tomorrow. Is it going to be really bad up here or do we think we can sneak it in? Might be ok is stein shield keeps it south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Better chance of doing it in the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might be ok is stein shield keeps it south. Thanks…. I think we’ll punt and maybe go in the afternoon if it is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 It’s coming https://youtu.be/bIdqqw3fLDg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Days and days of dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 It's a crazy dew stretch...weeks and weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Days and days of dews Days and days of low clouds oh joy 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 2 hours ago, dendrite said: A little bump north from 00z. Maybe this area can finally be near the jack for once. Congrats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Days and days of low clouds oh joy Don’t forget the occasional showers. -RA just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Can't wait to see what the drought report reads on Thursday, really no pool day in ASH, clouds settled in, 78 w/68 dew , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats Still crazy to me how many big precip events there have been starting with Memorial Day weekend. You can go a summer without seeing a short term prog with that much water, this is like a weekly occurrence this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Sultan signal for all of CT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 6 hours ago, powderfreak said: Surgical precision from here to Tamarack. But it is absolutely crazy how every rainer is big QPF. Sometimes it's like well hopefully we can get a swath of like a half inch of water or so. This year it's like no, the max zone will be inches of rain every single time. Good prep for the upcoming NNE winter. Just shift that heaviest south a bit. Gotta clip NNJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 And it’s raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And it’s raining Congrats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Had a good soaking shower last hour in Bedford mass. Let’s not pour lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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