Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 NAM has that, yeah - in fact, goes from this tepid humid rainy murk to a sultry bathe house tomorrow... Not so much at sun up as amorphous warm frontal smear road-kills through but the 18z T1 pops all the way from 17C at dawn to 24 C ..which is usually a 2-meter T of 28 or 29C when the wind is off-shore and the sky is losing cloud burden. Then at 18z Thur that temp is 26C ! That's like 88 to 90, and situational awareness ... DPs will be probably the highest they have yet to be during this summer thus far at that time. - watch Whole different world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What forecast for July? Link? Hottest ever, WARs, etc. Pattern blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hottest ever, WARs, etc. Pattern blows. That was never forecast. It was hottest June on record. And it’s been the most humid June and July on record to date . Talk to me when you’re sitting in a puddle of your own back sweat the next three days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That was never forecast. It was hottest June on record. And it’s been the most humid June and July on record to date . Talk to me when you’re sitting in a puddle of your own back sweat the next three days It's like -4F to date thanks to insanely cool highs. Lows preventing the bottom from dropping out. June was good..I will say that. But this is just depressing. And then after a few warm days it goes to shit again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's like -4F to date thanks to insanely cool highs. Lows preventing the bottom from dropping out. June was good..I will say that. But this is just depressing. And then after a few warm days it goes to shit again. Regression. Time to pay for last summer’s sun and dry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: No forcing tomorrow, weakening shear, pretty neutral heights...meh Huge Cape. That’s all you need to see. There’ll be storms in SNE late afternoon and evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's like -4F to date thanks to insanely cool highs. Lows preventing the bottom from dropping out. June was good..I will say that. But this is just depressing. And then after a few warm days it goes to shit again. Violent spin. Being down here, this is like the darkest uninspiring day I’ve had in a while lol. If it’s done this for 2+ weeks I get why folks are sick of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Violent spin. Being down here, this is like the darkest uninspiring day I’ve had in a while lol. If it’s done this for 2+ weeks I get why folks are sick of it. Yup. Thursday can’t come soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Violent spin. Being down here, this is like the darkest uninspiring day I’ve had in a while lol. If it’s done this for 2+ weeks I get why folks are sick of it. Hey, but dews are in the 60s! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 I've had rain on 11 of the first 13 days, and the two days that it didn't rain were cloudy. aside from an hour or 2 with sunshine here or there, it's been crap. No way to spin that. i think the last true sunny day we had was Tuesday 6/29. Avg temp in June was 71.4. So far July is 66.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hey, but dews are in the 60s! Careful. It was this kind of talk that made a certain someone leave the forum for a month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Careful. It was this kind of talk that made a certain someone leave the forum for a month. Bob! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 at some point this month we'll be dealing with wildfire smoke aloft 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 “Year Without a Summer” eat your heart out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 2009 was horrible right through June and July and didn't improve a bit until we got toward August. These 2 weeks have sucked, but we haven't reached that level of wretchedness yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 16 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: “Year Without a Summer” eat your heart out it's a warmer version of the horrid summer of 2009..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 The root of Scott's demon: It's gotten a little brighter in the ceilings over the last hour up here in the N-central interior. After some bullet showers, hanging over the top of this Atlantic rhea moved off and took their anvil umbrellas with them, it's opened the sky (pretty much about/above 2,000 feet) to solar max whalin' away at this shit. Probably, we thin all at once at 6:34 pm - seen this over and over again. Smacks your ballz with "edging" sun late. One of Globe's sports writers once coined the expression, 'winning is the best deodorant' ? I think that can metaphorically work in this situation. We string 3 or so days of 88 to 91 over DPs in the mid 70s together, back to back, this will all be a distancing memory. I still think that it is interesting ( extraordinary really...) that we did this pattern annotated above, at the very top of the geophysical envelope of heights in the total tropospheric integral. Baffles where it came up with the mechanics against the ceiling like that. I think I know why ..as I labored earlier, having to do with HC and shit.. either way, here we are. There have been now 4 of these 594 historic ridge events, this one presently/fascinatingly results in negative temperature anomalies. It's really quite a bit of a teach-able synoptic moment. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 How did you make such a cute drawing with those nearly perfect arrows and fronts? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: How did you make such a cute drawing with those nearly perfect arrows and fronts? He's just better at ms paint than you. Although if I was grading I'd have to give a -1 for having one blue triangle on the wrong side of the stationary front. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: How did you make such a cute drawing with those nearly perfect arrows and fronts? You can use the line tool and drag the lines around the make the nice curved lines and what-not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: He's just better at ms paint than you. Although if I was grading I'd have to give a -1 for having one blue triangle on the wrong side of the stationary front. uh huh, and maybe I did that on purpose cuz the whole situation is whack and it's a metaphor for bass ackwards - huh. Yeah. who's with me 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 I don't use MS Paint anymore. For social media I just use this app called You doodle and write stuff on there with a pen and draw stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: 2009 was horrible right through June and July and didn't improve a bit until we got toward August. These 2 weeks have sucked, but we haven't reached that level of wretchedness yet. That year was cold. This had not been since it’s come with high dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 For quick and dirty map annotates it's actually pretty convenient - I'm at work now so on a laptop and it's not a big thing. Also, fixed the frontal pip because of ocd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That year was cold. This had not been since it’s come with high dews. It's like -4 with July 3 of a high of 59. Torrid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's like -4 with July 3 of a high of 59. Torrid. How easy you forgot the heatwave middle and end of last week. Interesting 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 yo Wiz ...I think with the recent guidance attempting to spill the theta-e surplussed ... global warming ( ) sector over the western elevations tomorrow, that may help some convective numbers. Anyone caught in negative CAPE production probably gets water boarded in blue-green marine rain cores for starters. Probably wet outflow winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 You guys are growing mushrooms the size of hubcaps down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Summer cancel 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 13, 2021 Share Posted July 13, 2021 Yeah, okay - but I suspect they are low-balling the DPs in this discussion. Hell, even the NAM has 71 DP in the machine numbers, which from my own experience is a hard thing to do for that particular guidance engine. " ...Northeast... A shortwave trough will move northeastward across the Northeast on Wednesday. A moist airmass will be in place from the Mid-Atlantic into western New England where surface dewpoints should reach the mid to upper 60s F. As surface temperatures warm during the day, the airmass will become moderately unstable. Thunderstorms will develop in the higher terrain of the central and northern Appalachians, with this activity spreading eastward into the lower elevations during the afternoon. The moderate instability combined with steep low-level lapse rates will make strong wind gusts possible with the better organized multicell line segments. The threat should be concentrated during the mid to late afternoon when instability will be maximized." We'll see... but, considering DPs in that warm sector about to spill into the area tomorrow are 70 to 74F already, and it will be wafting in over tropical soils baked in solar max sauna... I'm -a gonna go ahead and assume our DPs will be at least that high. Which makes me wonder what they think the CAPE values ... SB and MU, will really be if they use words that "sound" like through trials and tribulations the air mass endures and triumphs to make 68 ...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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