mattie g Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, H2O said: More wx like this for Aug please plus rain Bring me sunny, mild days with low dews and rain through August and I'll be a happy man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 I’ll go with low temps, low dews, and no rain until September. I couldn’t care less if the grass turns brown lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 1 hour ago, H2O said: More wx like this for Aug please plus rain Careful what you ask for! Don't want a 2018 redux! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 I think the smoke is gone so guess can open the windows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 31 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I think the smoke is gone so guess can open the windows? We pulled the trigger on that this morning. Air feels fresh in Silver Spring, after quite a while of having things sealed up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 77. Gorgeous out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 The 12z GFS was something else. Even though something like this (closed 600 dm near STL) is unlikely, it is going to be interesting if some of the heat that has moved over to the Northern Plains does finally eject this way sometime in August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 GEFS pulls the upper ridge further west for the beginning of August. Who knows beyond that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: GEFS pulls the upper ridge further west for the beginning of August. Who knows beyond that. Yeah, the OP is flipping all around. I'd go with persistence and keep it west. Make sure all the trees burn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 22, 2021 Share Posted July 22, 2021 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Yeah, the OP is flipping all around. I'd go with persistence and keep it west. Make sure all the trees burn. Huge ecosystem damage, but at least we’ll only be 1-2F above normal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Huge ecosystem damage, but at least we’ll only be 1-2F above normal! Maybe with all the smoke we’ll be able to squeak out a negative! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Low of 61f this morning. DP 60. Significant cloudiness too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 Mount Holly AFD on the long range- Overview... Synoptically, a consistent upper level pattern will be in place for the long term. Broad, strong ridging remains centered over the Intermountain West, with troughing over New England. This places our region in the belt of mid-level northwesterly flow between these features. Surface flow will also favor a westerly direction, which will mostly keep the oppressively high humidity away from the region. However, the temperatures themselves remain near to above average, due to the effects of the upstream ridging and efficient surface heating thanks to some downsloping effects with the westerly flow. Regarding rain chances, next week should feature plenty of dry hours, but will probably not be without its shower and storm chances as well. Unlike what we`ve seen most of the month, this pattern of relatively lower dew points and faster flow aloft is not very conducive to heavy rain and flash flooding. However, with that faster mid-level flow, the passage of multiple weak frontal systems and/or fast-moving mid-level impulses is possible. This should continue to bring at least sporadic opportunities for convection. This flow regime is also a classic example of what`s sometimes referred to as the "ring of fire". Severe, long-lived mesoscale convective systems can occasionally propagate from the Midwest to the East Coast in these patterns, often occurring with poor predictability more than a day or two out. With this pattern looking to be locked in place for awhile, this will be something to keep an eye on. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 This summer feels very average so far. No big heat and some sporadic days in the mid 80s which for this area is basically slightly below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 EPS d10-15 pattern is one we’d love for winter. Mt Holly’s point about possible long track MCS events is well taken with that look. Probably some hot days, but could also be some brief fall preview type days after cold fronts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 31 minutes ago, nj2va said: This summer feels very average so far. No big heat and some sporadic days in the mid 80s which for this area is basically slightly below average. Slightly above the 1991-2020 normals so far. Torch in the west, cooler in the SE. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 18 hours ago, MN Transplant said: The 12z GFS was something else. Even though something like this (closed 600 dm near STL) is unlikely, it is going to be interesting if some of the heat that has moved over to the Northern Plains does finally eject this way sometime in August. 43 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS d10-15 pattern is one we’d love for winter. Mt Holly’s point about possible long track MCS events is well taken with that look. Probably some hot days, but could also be some brief fall preview type days after cold fronts. Yea the EPS and OP GFS is MCS/ climo for sure. Would be nice to bake for a few days, this summer has been too cold, but hey, maybe that's a sign we're gonna have some good blocking setting up this winter? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 29 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yea the EPS and OP GFS is MCS/ climo for sure. Would be nice to bake for a few days, this summer has been too cold, but hey, maybe that's a sign we're gonna have some good blocking setting up this winter? Too cold. Lol. You should be forced to give up your name. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 I suspect the same pattern that's keeping our summer mild will keep winter mild too! Texas will be freezing below zero while we have rain and 33... Late July 55F dewpoints? In the past we'd have to pay toll for such comfort in the form of severe weather or even a derecho. The smoke wasn't too bad other than the milky orange appearance. Nothing like the eastern Canada fires in 2002. Those actually smoked up this way real good like the fire was in OUR woods! It takes a lot to bother my lungs and that one was tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 23, 2021 Share Posted July 23, 2021 3 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Slightly above the 1991-2020 normals so far. Torch in the west, cooler in the SE. That little random blob of +3 to +4 on the Northern Neck is interesting.....nuclear plant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 Another fantastic morning. 59 here. Dews start to creep up a bit today, but still should be very nice for Late July. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Another fantastic morning. 59 here. Dews start to creep up a bit today, but still should be very nice for Late July. Going on a walk soon. Simply awesome ! Garden doing well too. Many tomatoes are ripening on the vines. So far a nice mix of cold fronts since late May. Maybe Sunday night we score with more rain after the miss I had last week. Believe you got .25 inches , maybe more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 low 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 Perfect morning and a nice preview for Christmas morning. Also, there’s a moon name for every gd full moon now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 Going to OCMD Wednesday night through the weekend and weather looks fantastic right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Going to OCMD Wednesday night through the weekend and weather looks fantastic right now. Gonna have to watch this trough dropping in from eastern Canada on the periphery of the strengthening/expanding upper ridge out west. Things could turn more active late week with h5 disturbances rolling through in the NW flow. No washout but definitely some storm chances. Have to watch the MCS potential. CMC kinda hinting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 That has been one slow moving blob of rain. Fairly impressive totals. Getting some decent drizzle now here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 24, 2021 Share Posted July 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: That has been one slow moving blob of rain. Fairly impressive totals. Getting some decent drizzle now here. I’m trying to coax that one down my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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