GramaxRefugee Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Low of 66f this morning. I thought we'd get a cool-down after yesterday, but not that much. No complaints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 It feels great out there. Breezy, and a nice break from the high dews. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Up at Cunningham Falls State Park today and it’s just spectacular. Might need to move here until my AC is fixed or replaced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Beautiful evening! Great weather for Alexandria’s 272th birthday celebration and fireworks later along the Potomac. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/10/2021 at 5:03 PM, WxUSAF said: Up at Cunningham Falls State Park today and it’s just spectacular. Might need to move here until my AC is fixed or replaced. Expand STILL not right??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 1:52 AM, nw baltimore wx said: STILL not right??? Expand Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 2:28 AM, WxUSAF said: Nope. Expand I’ve got a guy… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 No weather bro should not have AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 HRRR says enjoy the dry storm free day. Hopefully it's right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 2:54 AM, nw baltimore wx said: I’ve got a guy… Expand Anybody would seem better than who he has. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 2 extremely near misses today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Might see a TOR for the Berkeley Springs, WV area. Southernmost cell is looking kinda kidney bean shaped and velocity isnt terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/10/2021 at 5:03 PM, WxUSAF said: Up at Cunningham Falls State Park today and it’s just spectacular. Might need to move here until my AC is fixed or replaced. Expand Always 8 to 10 degrees cooler up there. I drive through there on my way to work each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/10/2021 at 5:03 PM, WxUSAF said: Up at Cunningham Falls State Park today and it’s just spectacular. Might need to move here until my AC is fixed or replaced. Expand Reason why Camp David is up near there. An escape from muggy DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 1:16 AM, Mrs.J said: Reason why Camp David is up near there. An escape from muggy DC. Expand It's a whole other climo up there. Love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 6/2/2021 at 5:12 PM, nw baltimore wx said: I was just goofing around looking at Accuweather's monthly forecast for my area, and after a high of 90 and 92 this Sunday and Monday, there is exactly one more day of 90+ forecasted through the end of August. So three days of 90+ days for all of June, July, and August. Two coming up, one in July, and none in August. I'll take the over. Expand Up to 19 days of 90+ including today. Only 16 over and about two months to go. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 2:16 PM, nw baltimore wx said: Up to 19 days of 90+ including today. Only 16 over and about two months to go. Expand That AccuWeather long range forecast is as useless as decaffeinated coffee. ....and an umbrella out here. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 3:11 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: That AccuWeather long range forecast is as useless as decaffeinated coffee. ....and an umbrella out here. Expand Yep. Fun for me to look at though. Sometimes in winter it’s the only way to see any forecasted snow, though it’s never right. I wonder what model the algorithm uses? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Got a gut feeling today that thunderstorms will overperform. Expectations are in the basement so plenty of room to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 3:56 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Got a gut feeling today that thunderstorms will overperform. Expectations are in the basement so plenty of room to be wrong. Expand That may very well be true, but the guidance has been pretty consistent that the threat will be northwest and north of DC Metro. In fact, I'd say that the signal for northern MD is pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 4:29 PM, high risk said: That may very well be true, but the guidance has been pretty consistent that the threat will be northwest and north of DC Metro. In fact, I'd say that the signal for northern MD is pretty good. Expand Our location seems very much on the edge. Fingers crossed. GFS is pretty much dry through Friday before a wet weekend. eta…and the new SPC puts us on the southern edge of the Slight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 4:29 PM, high risk said: That may very well be true, but the guidance has been pretty consistent that the threat will be northwest and north of DC Metro. In fact, I'd say that the signal for northern MD is pretty good. Expand Very true, though I'm selfishly talking about myself/areas around the metro. I'll take the (surprise?) initiation of showers storms west of Culpeper as a decent sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 4:34 PM, WxUSAF said: Our location seems very much on the edge. Fingers crossed. GFS is pretty much dry through Friday before a wet weekend. eta…and the new SPC puts us on the southern edge of the Slight. Expand Yeah, I'd feel better about storm chances today if I lived along/north of I-70, but Howard County has a shot. You're right that the best shot after today isn't until the end of the week, although there does appear to be a weak shortwave approaching later Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 On 7/12/2021 at 4:43 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Very true, though I'm selfishly talking about myself/areas around the metro. I'll take the (surprise?) initiation of showers storms west of Culpeper as a decent sign. Expand Hug the Hi-Res Window ARW2. That is one of the only CAMs that have storms further south; it seems to have the best handle on those current cells you mentioned, so maybe you've got a shot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 SPC mesoanalysis shows a good bit of MLCAPE, low level lapse rates and maybe event a hint of a lee trough. Shear and mid level lapse rates are pretty terrible thought so the conditional wet microburst looks to be about it for today's risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Meso’d! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Got luck today. Series of developing storms tracked directly over me. By far, best rain I've seen all year. By a mile. Pushing 1" of desperately needed rain. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Dews 75-78 across DC and close in burbs. That’s some proper humidity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Just nothing happening in the metro corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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