olafminesaw Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 12 minutes ago, Master of Disaster said: Is Josh down there? Yeah, he decided last minute, so he's rushing to get to the landfall point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Master of Disaster said: Is Josh down there? He’s driving there now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 15 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Happy bday! Enjoy it Im in Tampa on the bay. Expecting some surge due to wind direction and high tide around 320am. Will suck. This storm looks to be more organized and stacked currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cptcatz Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Radar loop makes it look like it's heading directly for a Tampa Bay landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, cptcatz said: Radar loop makes it look like it's heading directly for a Tampa Bay landfall. Looks like a direct hit or just offshore. I heard BayNews9 in the background and they appeared to downplay it. Hope they are right. But no matter what, will be one to remember for sure. 2020 - Ends with Eta in Tampa Bay. 2021 - Begins with Elsa in Tampa Bay. What other populated area ended a year and began one with the same letter? "E" is one for Tampa Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 If I was in the Tampa area I’d expect gusts of around 60. On the water front gusts should be 70, maybe a few hurricane force gusts. Certainly a bad wind direction for surge issues, I can understand the 3-5’ surge forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Elsa actually looking like a hurricane for the first time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, Prospero said: Looks like a direct hit or just offshore. I heard BayNews9 in the background and they appeared to downplay it. Hope they are right. But no matter what, will be one to remember for sure. 2020 - Ends with Eta in Tampa Bay. 2021 - Begins with Elsa in Tampa Bay. What other populated area ended a year and began one with the same letter? "E" is one for Tampa Bay. On interesting note. Tampa is named after old Native American dialect. Tampa is derived from the Pohoy and Tocobaga native indian culture... Meaning sticks of fire. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Came together nicely. I see those dark reds just popping up. Extrapolated, it has deviated from the pink line. Maybe a wobble, maybe from consolidation, or maybe an early N-NE trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Earlier I could understand dismissing a possible eye. But what's showing up on radar is definitely an eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dbullsfan22 Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 20 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: If I was in the Tampa area I’d expect gusts of around 60. On the water front gusts should be 70, maybe a few hurricane force gusts. Certainly a bad wind direction for surge issues, I can understand the 3-5’ surge forecasts Outside of maybe the wind gust, could being closer to the center vs further to the East actually be a bit of a break for the TB area? Seems most of the strongest storms are further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 hour ago, Prospero said: Today is my birthday, 61 years old. I've been in hurricanes, blizzards, ice storms, hail storms, dust storms, everything but a tornado (even though close). I've loved storms since my first taste of a hurricane in 1967 (I think) in Charleston SC. Always wanted to grow up and be a met, but started being an IT/computer guy in '78 soon as I left high school. Tonight might be my most intense night ever, yet have thought that many times and storms do fizzle out. Hopefully Elsa fizzles out and we'll still have some fun. Happy birthday. I’m in Tampa and while I lived in Miami during Andrew, I was well North of its major impacts. This may be a repeat of the intensity I experienced back then. I can tell you with all candor that I don’t want to ever relive a close call with cane strength winds as much as I’m fascinated by them. Hoping for a further shift West. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 All along the I4 corridor. Down to south FL... Along and east of US 17&27 to 95 could be getting rough here in the next several hours stretching early morning hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Hotair said: Happy birthday. I’m in Tampa and while I lived in Miami during Andrew, I was well North of its major impacts. This may be a repeat of the intensity I experienced back then. I can tell you with all candor that I don’t want to ever relive a close call with cane strength winds as much as I’m fascinated by them. Hoping for a further shift West. Funny I was in Andrew also before moving to Tampa. On a side note looks like NOAA has Elsa AF302 on its way in. I will be surprised if they don't find Hurricane force winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Looking like a bowling ball curling to hit a strike in Tampa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 6, 2021 Author Share Posted July 6, 2021 Elsa has regained hurricane status. 75mph/996mb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Elsa is now officially a hurricane (again) off the west coast of Florida with sustained wind of 75mph. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Double Action Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, Dbullsfan22 said: Outside of maybe the wind gust, could being closer to the center vs further to the East actually be a bit of a break for the TB area? Seems most of the strongest storms are further east Unfortunately the strongest winds in this one are north in those two heavy bands around center and over water. 70 mph sustained and that’s going to hit Pinellas county and Tampa. Good news is it will be a East and SE direction so flooding less an issue but I see power outages and some damage a certainty. Dark night is coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 49 minutes ago, Prospero said: Looks like a direct hit or just offshore. I heard BayNews9 in the background and they appeared to downplay it. Hope they are right. But no matter what, will be one to remember for sure. 2020 - Ends with Eta in Tampa Bay. 2021 - Begins with Elsa in Tampa Bay. What other populated area ended a year and began one with the same letter? "E" is one for Tampa Bay. These are my during/after Eta pics. Surge just under 4 ft, and Elsa will be higher and on top of high tide. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 @BillKarins Of NBC has downplayed this storm all day. Wonder what side he prefers with his serving of crow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 Looks like she’s jogging due north again… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 6, 2021 Share Posted July 6, 2021 I actually forecasted something right for once, I think that's one out of 20 correct predictions for this storm which is still somehow better than my average forecasts ratio for snow storms last winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Let the hallucinations commence! Seriously though, it's going to be a real close call for Tampa proper, saint Petersburg/Clearwater will bear the brunt of the wind I think. Max surge is just about locked in for the bay. Hard to believe the worst is still hours away for Tampa, as close as it appears 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 Happy birthday @Prospero! Wish you many more! I arrived in Clearwater a few hours ago. Best of luck tonight to everyone in the Tampa area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CampergirlFL Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Hurricane screens are down. Generator is ready to go. near the Thonotosassa area, East Hillsborough, about a mile north of I-4. No rain yet. We're gonna find out how a travel trailer camper does in the driveway. Fresh water tanks are full, adds about 600lbs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, CampergirlFL said: Hurricane screens are down. Generator is ready to go. near the Thonotosassa area, East Hillsborough, about a mile north of I-4. No rain yet. We're gonna find out how a travel trailer camper does in the driveway. Fresh water tanks are full, adds about 600lbs Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Happy birthday @Prospero! Wish you many more! I arrived in Clearwater a few hours ago. Best of luck tonight to everyone in the Tampa area. Welcome to Pinellas County, FL! Enjoy your stay! The best to place to be (or NOT to be) for Elsa. If the power is on tomorrow, we have great food and fun down here! Come visit Gulfport, not too far and BayNews9 is already here because our cool little town floods in every storm. Not a good thing, but we are kind if used to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
floridapirate Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 53 minutes ago, FLweather said: All along the I4 corridor. Down to south FL... Along and east of US 17&27 to 95 could be getting rough here in the next several hours stretching early morning hours I’m north of you near Deland. Feeling like we are going to be getting more than just a glancing blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 2 hours ago, Prospero said: Today is my birthday, 61 years old. I've been in hurricanes, blizzards, ice storms, hail storms, dust storms, everything but a tornado (even though close). I've loved storms since my first taste of a hurricane in 1967 (I think) in Charleston SC. Always wanted to grow up and be a met, but started being an IT/computer guy in '78 soon as I left high school. Tonight might be my most intense night ever, yet have thought that many times and storms do fizzle out. Hopefully Elsa fizzles out and we'll still have some fun. Happy birthday, thanks for all of the posts on the form and good luck with the storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Risk of tornadoes expected to increase Naples to Sarasota around 10 PM per SPC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now