dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Are you chasing? 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Yes! Your tail? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 85/71, Just been a brutal stretch, Fire em up this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 59 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah the plan is to probably go into MA. Maybe around Springfield. Drive an extra 25 minutes NE to the Old Enfield Lookout around the Quabbin. There is also the stone tower at the top for a better view. Can see west to Greylock, north to Monadnock, and east to Wachusett. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 What it’s all about right here.damage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Anyone else surprised there isn’t even a severe weather statement issued by the local forecast office for this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Anyone else surprised there isn’t even a severe weather statement issued by the local forecast office for this afternoon? there will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Anyone else surprised there isn’t even a severe weather statement issued by the local forecast office for this afternoon? in fact, there is! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: 85/71, Just been a brutal stretch, Fire em up this afternoon. Already fired up....smoke um if ya got um. Pool is 84 . Dews seem lower today as the sun rises. Maybe HRRR is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Already fired up....smoke um if ya got um. Pool is 84 . Dews seem lower today as the sun rises. Maybe HRRR is right. Yesterdays dews stayed in the 60's up here, Monday just brutal with dews in the mid 70's, Rare for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: 85/71, Just been a brutal stretch, Fire em up this afternoon. "New Sharon heat wave" (Given the transpirational cooling here in the woods, 85 is my threshold.) Last 3 days have been 86.64; 92/68*; 87/65. Dews peaked at 70-71 (judged by nearby sites) on Monday. If the clouds hold together we might not crack the 85 mark. Would not help convection if that happens, and I've read some rumors of a north-south 7-10 with central Maine in the middle of the alley. * That 80.0 mean is the warmest I've recorded since moving here in May 1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: "New Sharon heat wave" (Given the transpirational cooling here in the woods, 85 is my threshold.) Last 3 days have been 86.64; 92/68*; 87/65. Dews peaked at 70-71 (judged by nearby sites) on Monday. If the clouds hold together we might not crack the 85 mark. Would not help convection if that happens, and I've read some rumors of a north-south 7-10 with central Maine in the middle of the alley. * That 80.0 mean is the warmest I've recorded since moving here in May 1998. Ha, I expect it here, That's usually what happens, We had a rogue cell monday afternoon that dropped .10 in about 10 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 HRRR/GFS pretty bullish on dewpoints mixing out. That does make sense when you consider the fact that sfc winds may have a more westerly component, however, llvl moisture is pretty rich with pretty high theta-e air. Based on the setup I would expect dewpoint pooling. I don't think we'll see dewpoints as high as the NAM is advertising (maybe over a small area) but they should remain in the 70-73F. I'd be stunned if they dropped into the 60's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What it’s all about right here.damage is that Wizzy dancing around in that video? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 It’s more of an evening and night event. Timing is just a bit later. Similar to how last night was . Won’t be much till 5-6:00 and should continue well into the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 26 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Anyone else surprised there isn’t even a severe weather statement issued by the local forecast office for this afternoon? we both know it won't be needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 1 minute ago, correnjim1 said: we both know it won't be needed Would you believe the second I posted that one went out? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 Could be some interesting cells tomorrow. I think I saw Tip make mention but this is a setup where you can get brief low LCL spinups. Any localized pockets of heating tomorrow will make things intriguing. I could actually see enhanced risk in parts of NJ into SE NY/Fairfield County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Later is better for here. Should be active here around peak heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Would you believe the second I posted that one went out? Lol yeah i caught that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, dryslot said: Ha, I expect it here, That's usually what happens, We had a rogue cell monday afternoon that dropped .10 in about 10 mins. Our little rogue started 5 minutes after my 9 PM obs for Monday, so Tuesday's report includes 0.11" in a 10-minute weak TS - almost a twin with yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: Our little rogue started 5 minutes after my 9 PM obs for Monday, so Tuesday's report includes 0.11" in a 10-minute weak TS - almost a twin with yours. I was over in AUB and missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 It won't be a shock if we go to watches this afternoon for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I was over in AUB and missed it The "Enhanced" area has been extended to just north of LEW. However, the "Slight" area has shrunk both from north and south, with Moosehead Lake and points north downgraded to "Marginal". It's our 2nd time this month to be in the yellow zone. 1st time it included all of Maine north of LEW, so of course it was York and Cumberland that got pounded (while the homefront remained dusty). Maybe today hammers Aroostook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: The "Enhanced" area has been extended to just north of LEW. However, the "Slight" area has shrunk both from north and south, with Moosehead Lake and points north downgraded to "Marginal". It's our 2nd time this month to be in the yellow zone. 1st time it included all of Maine north of LEW, so of course it was York and Cumberland that got pounded (while the homefront remained dusty). Maybe today hammers Aroostook? Pretty healthy cell just went thru Topsfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Still heat-wavy out there but the DPs are 3 ( averaged..) F lower at NWS sites comparing yesterday at this time. Also, some sites +1 while others are -3, so the temperature is - on average - slightly lower than yesterday at this time. But, these variances are likely beneath anyone's sensible ability to notice - ha. I mean 91/68 or 92/72 ... it's probably meaningless. It may matter for convective thresholds/ .. instability triggers and so forth - that's what BUFKIT's for I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: yeah the plan is to probably go into MA. Maybe around Springfield. Mesos seemed to like orh County yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 30, 2021 Author Share Posted June 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Mesos seemed to like orh County yesterday Could be some boundary enhancement out that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: Could be some boundary enhancement out that way Our Mets highlighted that northern MA corridor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 I wonder what the 12z actual soundings look like. Regional hi res vis loop sat coverage is impressively barren SE of a baroclinic cloud swipe over far NW/St L Seaway - there's not even early fractal CU there despite 88 to 92 F by 10:30 am. DPs may be 2 to 3 off yesterday at this time, but still in the upper 60s, but the LC level should have more fractals. also, I wonder if there is CIN/'cap' in in the region. Noted, 588 dam isohypses still runs roughtly PIT-PWM so, we may need some recession/ .. falls to commence - that could be interesting as a "release" type of initiation. Pretty cool, you see a CU, go get a soda, and by the time you get back it's a cotton ball with overshooting hot tower expanding - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 39 minutes ago, dendrite said: Later is better for here. Should be active here around peak heating. SPC bumped up to enhance for us. Clearing out nicely 81/71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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