wdrag Posted July 1, 2021 Author Share Posted July 1, 2021 Summary of reports to 5AM this morning. Not quite as extensive se NYS as anticipated but something and I see 1 report on W LI looked pretty serious. Rainfall not as extensive. Will add the rainfall numbers on rainfall for the multi day event on Sat morning after a lot of this ss complete. Also appended the SPC epredawn SVR threat area, mostly NJ/LI. Overall: we have the current band northern PA extending into MA. The real deal, of whatever is to happen should be 4PM-9PM for NJ/LI..progressive. After that, evolution uncertain for Fri-Sat and maybe even Sun?? Probably not enough to meet general modeled (widespread 1.5"+) expectations from several days ago. Personally cannot add much if anything prior to 430P... hopefully you'll have something of interest by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: See this is why I love extreme heat in the summer, it's a lot more exciting than these meh storms we tend to get. The storms can come in September, they are much more robust then. How is heat exciting? It's just miserable and most people stay inside anyway. The only way it would be exciting from a meteorological perspective is if we challenged all time highs like in the Pacific NW. I much prefer storms but it appears we won't even get that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff Grann Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How is heat exciting? It's just miserable and most people stay inside anyway. The only way it would be exciting from a meteorological perspective is if we challenged all time highs like in the Pacific NW. I much prefer storms but it appears we won't even get that. Thing about people who "love" days like yesterday. Generally they are not the one responsible for paying the high electric bills. They are not outside cutting their large lawns and other constant outside home maintaining which is brutal in this weather. There is also zero regard for poor and elderly who are literally suffering living in non air conditioned apartments with no cross ventilation and 90 degrees inside 24 hrs a day .Hell, my 33k gallon pool is 86 degrees due to this swamp azz crap . What good is it to swim in bath water?. There are no redeeming qualities to this extreme heat compared to the danger it poses to rational adults. 4 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 O.18" double meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 there is nothing any of us can do about the weather so if you enjoy something that makes someone else miserable, who cares 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Looks like the slight risk was shifted north to include NYC. Some clearing outside will allow destabilization. Tons of humidity still to be tapped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Upton issued a flash flood watch for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Jeff Grann said: Thing about people who "love" days like yesterday. Generally they are not the one responsible for paying the high electric bills. They are not outside cutting their large lawns and other constant outside home maintaining which is brutal in this weather. There is also zero regard for poor and elderly who are literally suffering living in non air conditioned apartments with no cross ventilation and 90 degrees inside 24 hrs a day .Hell, my 33k gallon pool is 86 degrees due to this swamp azz crap . What good is it to swim in bath water?. There are no redeeming qualities to this extreme heat compared to the danger it poses to rational adults. sounds like you need a smaller lawn 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Down to 72 with this batch of rain. Seems to be the nail in the coffin for any severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 1, 2021 Author Share Posted July 1, 2021 Can’t post much prior to 7p. Interesting 48 hours ahead. Severe watch should be out soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Down to 72 with this batch of rain. Seems to be the nail in the coffin for any severe tomorrow might be our best day for storms under the cold pool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1139.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Not very impressive yet: However it is raining moderately here at 1pm,(20mins. later than below shows) with a T of 81* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1139.html Yep. South of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 tropical downpour in progress here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Just had a heavy downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Getting crushed here, heavy tropical rains. Could see this adding up quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: Not very impressive yet: However it is raining moderately here at 1pm,(20mins. later than below shows) with a T of 81* There was a brief heavy downpour in southern Westchester County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Looks like a developing MCS in PA will likely head south of the area. Very disappointing break to the heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Surprised there is not a flood advisory fir NW suffolk, these showers are dropping a ton of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 looks like a break after this batch. new 12z Euro is very wet next 2 days 2-3 inches depending on locale 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Watch up just to our south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 O.31" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 0.08 inches of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks like a developing MCS in PA will likely head south of the area. Very disappointing break to the heat. It's coming down in buckets here. Closing in on 1 inch of rain. A decent amount of lightning too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Steady light to moderate rain falling here. Picked up 0.16" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Ocean County in southern New Jersey... Southeastern Mercer County in central New Jersey... Southwestern Monmouth County in central New Jersey... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 535 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Imlaystown, or 12 miles east of Trenton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Allentown, Roosevelt, Imlaystown, Cassville, Clarksburg, Six Flags Theme Park, Vista Center and West Freehold. This includes Interstate 195 in New Jersey between mile markers 8 and 22. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Probably a significant straight line wind event in NJ. Some nice bow echos and good velocities. It missed out on NYC and LI where things stabilized after the rain earlier but still some heavy rain especially along the south shore. Moderate rain here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Probably a significant straight line wind event in NJ. Some nice bow echos and good velocities. It missed out on NYC and LI where things stabilized after the rain earlier but still some heavy rain especially along the south shore. Moderate rain here now. Yep. Just heavy rain and loud thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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