Stormlover74 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Heading AC between the 7-11 and hoping for good beach weather then go anywhere other than AC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: then go anywhere other than AC Such a dump it has become there...everything is run down and trash everywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 ^^Yup it's ugly. I've had a whopping .07 for the week so far. While the rest of you have been inside watching it rain I've been outside watering the garden to keep the dust down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Such a dump it has become there...everything is run down and trash everywhere every other beach town down there is better, even wildwood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: will come down to how it interacts with Haiti as well... If it moves into Shredd-aniola it might barely come out as a tropical system. Lots of booby traps for this one to cross through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Picked up 0.31" of rain so far today. Current temp 80/DP 70 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 6 hours ago, jm1220 said: If it moves into Shredd-aniola it might barely come out as a tropical system. Lots of booby traps for this one to cross through. Haha booby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool. Showers remain possible. The temperature will struggle to reach 70° in New York City and could fall just short of it. The last time the temperature rose no higher than the 60s in Central Park during July occurred on July 25, 2013 when the temperature peaked at 68°. Before that, the last such day was July 8, 2005. Sunday will be variably cloudy and warmer. There could be a brief push of very warm air into the region early next week. Out West, the air mass responsible for the unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave moved farther north and east in Canada. Numerous record high temperatures were broken in Saskatchewan. Preliminary high temperatures included: Meadow Lake, SK: 96° (old record: 85°, 1978) Regina: 95° (old record: 93°, 1886) Rosetown, SK: 103° (old record: 88°, 2013) Saskatoon, SK: 105° (old record: 92°, 1986) Uranium City, SK: 92° (old record: 88°, 2013) Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Climate change has increased the frequency, magnitude, and duration of extreme heat events in the United States and worldwide. Further increases are likely in coming decades as the world's climate continues to warm. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around June 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August. The SOI was +25.73 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.553 today. On June 30 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.370 (RMM). The June 29-adjusted amplitude was 1.604 (RMM). In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer. Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 GFS sim radar much wetter than NAM for tomorrow morning. Hopefully the NAM is right...trying to golf in the AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 The weather is really changing here. Wind is quite breezy coming in from the southeast off the ocean. Clouds moving in from the ocean and temp down to 69. Meanwhile heavy rain just to my north and west. Don't know if it will ever get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 3, 2021 Author Share Posted July 3, 2021 No Elsa thread for me, yet... will more carefully reevaluate tomorrow morning. 00z/3 EPS northward drift will prompt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Picked up 0.34" of rain for the day. Current temp 66 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 76degs.(67/85) or about -1.0. The threat from Elsa seems minimal as the EURO was right about the weakening near the D.R./H. It has only a short time to reassemble itself. 62*(94%RH), overcast, streets wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 3, 2021 Author Share Posted July 3, 2021 Good morning! Lot's of action spread out over the next 7 days. Will comment on the weekend in the specific thread and and begin a SVR/PRE thread for Tue-Fri AM by 8A. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 NYC hit a low of 59 this morning...its the first time since 2009 that NYC got into the 50's in July ... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Morning thoughts... This morning, the temperature fell to 59° in Central Park. That was the first time since July 8, 2009 that the temperature fell into the 50s there during July. It will be mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool today. Showers and periods of light rain are likely. Temperatures will likely reach the upper 60s in most places today. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 67° Newark: 71° Philadelphia: 72° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 84.1°; 15-Year: 84.5° Newark: 30-Year: 86.4°; 15-Year: 87.0° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.4°; 15-Year: 88.0° The last July day with a maximum temperature below 70° at Central Park was July 25, 2013 when the thermometer topped out at 68°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 59 here currently, RH 90% DP 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Cool / cloudy and damp next 24 - 36 hours. ULL moving through brining showers, pop storms and much cooler than normal highs. We'll see if we can get into enough clearing to exceed 69 and get into the 70s, otherwise places like EWR may be 35 - 40 degrees lower highs than Wed (6/30). Much improved conditions for the second part of the fourth of July weekend Sun the fourth and Monday the 5th. Sunday scattered rain / showers look mainly north and it looks partly to perhaps mostly sunny at times. Monday warmer SW flow returns with temperatures mid / upper 80s (warmer spots). Tue (7/6) - Wed (7/7) widespread 90s mid / upper (warmer spots) 850 temps >18c. Wed could see more storms towards the pm. All eyes on the tropics Thu (7/8) and Fri 7/9, depending on the track Florida-like weather steamy, hot and plenty of pop storms. Sat (710) - Season of the Western Atlantic ridge, as guidance is showing a similar progression, we will see how far westarward the expansion can get. Overall warm to hot and looking like almost daily storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 ULL counter clockwise rotation centered near Harrisburg PA https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/EUS/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted July 3, 2021 Author Share Posted July 3, 2021 Did I miss an announcement? I like the updated look of American Weather... unless I inadvertently hit a key? Definitely improved. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 July Coolest daily max... 61 7/06/1956 62 7/04/1978 62 7/05/1882 62 7/25/1871 63 7/09/1964 64 7/03/1914 64 7/04/1941 64 7/05/1956 64 7/11/1917 65 7/10/1917 65 7/03/1933 65 7/31/1923 66 7/05/1972 66 7/08/2005 66 7/18/1962 66 7/21/1956 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 62 and cloudy with showers here in Brooklyn Very cool for July 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: If Newark can hold a high in the 60s on July 3rd, then it will be the first time following a Christmas with a high in the 60s. Data for December 25 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Max Temperature July 3rd 1964-12-25 69 86 0.0 0 1982-12-25 68 96 0.0 0 2014-12-25 64 84 0.0 0 2015-12-25 63 83 0.0 0 2020-12-25 62 ? 0.0 0 1940-12-25 61 80 0.0 0 1994-12-25 60 83 0.0 0 could be the first time since 1964 Newark had a max of 99 or higher on 6/30 and then a day with a max in the mid 60's by 7/9... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 29 minutes ago, wdrag said: Did I miss an announcement? I like the updated look of American Weather... unless I inadvertently hit a key? Definitely improved. Agreed, nice update! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 20 minutes ago, bluewave said: If Newark can hold a high in the 60s on July 3rd, then it will be the first time following a Christmas with a high in the 60s. Data for December 25 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature Max Temperature July 3rd 1964-12-25 69 86 0.0 0 1982-12-25 68 96 0.0 0 2014-12-25 64 84 0.0 0 2015-12-25 63 83 0.0 0 2020-12-25 62 ? 0.0 0 1940-12-25 61 80 0.0 0 1994-12-25 60 83 0.0 0 There seems to be higher cigs than expected and more breaks over NNJ than I thought so I’m not sure if maybe they bounce up a few degrees this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 .15 inch of rain here so far this morning and it looks like it will be raining most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 61 degrees with a soaking rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 NYC now 64 so best they can do is tie the record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Just about the lousiest conditions you could think of for 7/4 weekend. Thankfully tomorrow should be nicer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: There seems to be higher cigs than expected and more breaks over NNJ than I thought so I’m not sure if maybe they bounce up a few degrees this afternoon It will be easier for LGA since it’s closer to the UL and has a cool NE flow off the Sound. Data for December 25 - LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Max Temperature July 3rd Max Temperature 2015-12-25 64 82 0.0 0 2020-12-25 63 ? 0.0 0 2014-12-25 63 81 0.0 0 1982-12-25 62 91 0.0 0 1940-12-25 60 91 0.0 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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