LibertyBell Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Cfa said: This is has to be the thickest wildfire smoke I’ve ever seen around here, normally it’s higher up in the atmosphere. Looks like it will be even worse tomorrow. Maybe the rain tomorrow night will wash it out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Current temp 90/DP 69/RH 50% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, Cfa said: This is has to be the thickest wildfire smoke I’ve ever seen around here, normally it’s higher up in the atmosphere. Yeah, I can’t remember visibility down to only 2 miles at any of our airports in smoke before. LGA 20 Jul 2:51 pm 87 65 48 NW 8 2.00 Haze SCT050,SCT060,BKN250 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 I can only remember one other smoke situation of this magnitude and that is the Colorado fires from probably 10 or so years back. You could smell it here as well as see it. i was in san fran 4 years ago during one of the california fires and the whole city smelled like a campfire and was thick with smoke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 there was a smoke problem coming from the SE in 1995 if I remembered right... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Thurs thru Sat looks like an amazing stretch of late July weather with highs in the mid 80s and dews in the 50s 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: wow! almost looks like a fire in the water! Yesterday morning Jones Beach 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 25 minutes ago, uncle W said: there was a smoke problem coming from the SE in 1995 if I remembered right... That’s sounds about right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 the smoke is unsettling 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Believe it or not we got dispatched for fire investigation due to the smoke this was down in the Langhorne area of PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 38 minutes ago, thunderbolt said: Believe it or not we got dispatched for fire investigation due to the smoke this was down in the Langhorne area of PA I’m sure you aren’t the only ones who went out on a smoke investigation today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Impressively hazy today! Reminds me of my time in Qatar with those crazy sandstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Four photos from early this evening. visibility was probably around 2 1/2 miles on the Long Island Sound due to the smoke and haze. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Tomorrow will be another very warm day with temperatures rising into upper 80s and lower 90s. The day could end with thunderstorms and heavy downpours as a cold front moves across the region. Afterward, a period of mainly dry conditions and somewhat cooler than normal temperatures will continue into the weekend. Afterward, there are growing model indications that a period of above to much above normal temperatures could develop. In the long-range, August could wind up warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal based on the evolution of the MJO. The MJO was in Phase 1 with an amplitude between 1.500 and 2.000 on multiple days during the June 20-30 period. There were 8 prior cases similar to 2021. mean temperature for August was 77.1° following such cases. The 1991-20 mean temperature for was 76.0° for August. 88% of the August cases were warmer than the 1991-20 mean temperatures. Early prospects for a very warm second half of July have diminished on account of the MJO's having moved back into Phase 2 from Phase 3. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around July 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.12°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August. The SOI was +8.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.881 today. On July 18 the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.707 (RMM). The July 17-adjusted amplitude was 1.320 (RMM). In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer. Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.0° (0.5° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Judy Collins western smoke got in the way today 7/20 EWR: 90 LGA: 89 TEB: 89 ACY: 89 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 86 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 I’m surprised no one has mentioned yet how the moon looks pretty in red. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 6 hours ago, LibertyBell said: wait how would the atlantic ridge make it to the west coast- and what does that imply for our temps? a hot dry NW to W flow? No the Western/Plains ridge will expand east and the immense heat will spread into the region. Strong heat (95+) with 850 MB temps ?18c will need to be tracked next week / end of July. In the extreme it could progress into an Aug 2001 opening, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah the AQI got went from the "unhealthy for sensitive groups" category to just plain old "unhealthy." Dont see that around here much. Went to work in person near WTC and it was an impressive view from above, saw Hudson Yards become completely obscured as the day progressed and the haze/smoke get lower and lower, closer to ground level by mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 hour ago, David-LI said: I’m surprised no one has mentioned yet how the moon looks pretty in red. I saw that today..what's causing that? Fire? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Had to break out the DSLR when I saw this on my run. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 High for the day was 90 here. Current temp 79/DP 69/RH 73% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 1 hour ago, LIWeatherGuy29 said: I saw that today..what's causing that? Fire? Smoke from West Coast wildfires, probably from the one in Bootleg, Oregon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 The magnitude of the warm up next week will probably come down to the strength of the Greenland block. The runs with stronger blocking have more of a 50/50 low near New England. The 0z runs kept the strongest heat to our south. But a weaker block in future runs would allow more warming into our area. New run strongest heat stays south Old run had less blocking and more heat into our area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 The next 8 days are averaging 80degs.(71/89), or +2. Month to date is 76.9[-0.9]. Should be 77.6[+0.1] by the 29th. GFS has lower T's and the others got warmer. Dallas will soon start an endless run of 100's after cool start to July. 75*(70%RH) here at 6am, dirty blue. 80* by 10am. 83* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Another sticky AM, RH 87% /DP 65. Currently 68 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 Morning thoughts… Smoke from the western wildfires will again dim the sunshine. It will be hazy and very warm with highs in middle and upper 80s in most of the region. Parts of the area could see a thunderstorm during the afternoon or evening as a cold front pushes across the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 84° Newark: 88° Philadelphia: 87° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 85.2°; 15-Year: 86.4° Newark: 30-Year: 87.1°; 15-Year: 88.5° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 88.0°; 15-Year: 89.1° Tomorrow will be partly sunny and somewhat cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2021 Share Posted July 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: Another sticky AM, RH 87% /DP 65. Currently 68 here. That has been the story of this month so far. Clouds and rain have kept the maxes down and the mins up. HPN is similar to other stations in that regard. July HPN…max…-1.9…..min….+1.6 LGA…max…..-1.1…..min….-0.4 EWR…max...+1.0….min…..+1.9 ISP…..max…-0.9…..min…..+1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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