Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Picked up 3.16" of rain so far today. Current temp 79/DP 69/RH 73% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 The July 1-9 record rainfall could be signaling that the all-time June high of 103° at Newark will be the warmest of the summer. This was earliest in the season that we had a tropical storm or hurricane following a 100° day by a very wide margin. The usual pattern in the past was to have the 100° heat in July or August with the tropical system in August or September. This seasonal cycle getting moved up to late June and early July is unprecedented since at least 1944. Newark closest 100° dates followed by a tropical storm or hurricane 8-5-44….102°………9-15-44……Great Atlantic Hurricane 7-31-54…103°……...8-31-54……Hurricane Carol….10-15-54….Hurricane Hazel 8-2-55….100°……….8-13-55……TS Connie…..8-17-55….TS Diane 7-21-91...102°……….8-19-91……Hurricane Bob 7-5-99….103°…….…9-16-99…..TS Floyd 7-22-11…108°……….8-28-11……Hurricane Irene 7-18-12…104°……….10-29-12…Hurricane Sandy 6-30-21…103°………7-9-21……..TS Elsa 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: The July 1-9 record rainfall could be signaling that the all-time June high of 103° at Newark will be the warmest of the summer. This was earliest in the season that we had a tropical storm or hurricane following a 100° day by a very wide margin. The usual pattern in the past was to have the 100° heat in July or August with the tropical system in August or September. This seasonal cycle getting moved up to late June and early July is unprecedented since at least 1944. Newark closest 100° dates followed by a tropical storm or hurricane 8-5-44….102°………9-15-44……Great Atlantic Hurricane 8-2-55….100°……….8-13-55……TS Connie…..8-17-55….TS Diane 7-21-91...102°……….8-19-91……Hurricane Bob 7-5-99….103°…….…9-16-99…..TS Floyd 7-22-11…108°……….8-28-11……TS Irene 6-30-21…103°………7-9-21……..TS Elsa we seem to be following a pattern where we get two week warm/cooler spells so maybe we approach 100 toward the end of the month? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: Monthly rain totals (so far) NYC: 6.49 LGA: 4.32 EWR: 4.49 New Brnswck: 2.95 TTN: 2.5 ISP: 2.42 JFK: 2.73 5.33" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 18 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we seem to be following a pattern where we get two week warm/cooler spells so maybe we approach 100 toward the end of the month? Our dewpoint may not drop below 60 until September 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Our dewpoint may not drop below 60 until September Bet the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: we seem to be following a pattern where we get two week warm/cooler spells so maybe we approach 100 toward the end of the month? it wouldn't surprise me...even seeing it in August... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The July 1-9 record rainfall could be signaling that the all-time June high of 103° at Newark will be the warmest of the summer. This was earliest in the season that we had a tropical storm or hurricane following a 100° day by a very wide margin. The usual pattern in the past was to have the 100° heat in July or August with the tropical system in August or September. This seasonal cycle getting moved up to late June and early July is unprecedented since at least 1944. Newark closest 100° dates followed by a tropical storm or hurricane 8-5-44….102°………9-15-44……Great Atlantic Hurricane 7-31-54…103°……...8-31-54……Hurricane Carol….10-15-54….Hurricane Hazel 8-2-55….100°……….8-13-55……TS Connie…..8-17-55….TS Diane 7-21-91...102°……….8-19-91……Hurricane Bob 7-5-99….103°…….…9-16-99…..TS Floyd 7-22-11…108°……….8-28-11……Hurricane Irene 7-18-12…104°……….10-29-12…Hurricane Sandy 6-30-21…103°………7-9-21……..TS Elsa 1934 and 1949 hit 100 in Newark with a tropical storm hit... 6/29/1934...100.............9/8/1934... 1934 storm... http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/59877271/ http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/59877280 http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/59877286 8/11/1949...102...............8/29/1949...storm... 1949 hurricane... http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52998805 http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52998811/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 9, 2021 Share Posted July 9, 2021 Amazing, another high of 90+ today. High for the day was 90 Current temp 87/DP 69/RH 55% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Numerous daily rainfall records were set as Elsa moved through the region. Daily records through 8 pm included: Bridgeport: 4.09" (old record: 1.29", 1964) Islip: 2.14" (old record: 1.73", 1964) New York City: 1.79" (old record: 1.09", 1964) Providence: 1.77" (old record: 1.31", 1962) Central Park's 2-day total of 4.06" was the 4th biggest 2-day rainfall on record in July. Records go back to 1869. Tomorrow will be partly sunny and a bit cooler. Some showers and thundershowers are likely, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Out West, another bout of extreme heat is underway. Already, some impressive high temperatures have occurred. Select readings today included: Death Valley, CA: 130° (old record: 126°, 2008*) Fresno: 111° Las Vegas: 116° (old record: 113°, 1943 and 2012) Needles, CA: 120° (old record: 119°, 1961) Phoenix: 112° *-a 129°reading in 1913 is unreliable. The height of this latest bout of heat could occur tomorrow into early next week. Central California could see particularly large temperature anomalies. Death Valley will likely top out with readings between 128°-130°. By the end of the heatwave, Death Valley could be near or even above its annual record of 10 125° or above days. That record was set in 1913 (unreliable) and then tied in 2013 and 2017. In the long-range, the second half of July and August could wind up warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal based on the evolution of the MJO. The MJO was in Phase 1 with an amplitude between 1.500 and 2.000 on multiple days during the June 20-30 period. There were 8 prior cases similar to 2021. The mean temperature for New York City during the July 16-31 period was 79.4° and the mean temperature for August was 77.1° following such cases. The 1991-20 mean temperature for July 16-31 was 77.9° and 76.0° for August. 75% of the July 16-31 cases and 88% of the August cases were warmer than the 1991-20 mean temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around June 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August. The SOI was +14.71 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.232 today. On July 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.961(RMM). The July 6-adjusted amplitude was 1.120 (RMM). In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer. Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.7° (0.2° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Thunderstorm with some decent rain currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 getting clobbered right now... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 9 hours ago, RU848789 said: Anywhere to get a good graphic on rainfall over the past week or for July to date for our area? Thanks. iweathernet has a radar composite map for up to the past 72 hours, but not further out than that... Might want to get it updated again tomorrow. Insane that another cluster of storms is headed toward NYC and parts of the city are getting hit again. Months like Aug 2011 are on another level altogether (so far, month is young) but this is getting crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, uncle W said: getting clobbered right now... Looks the the whole area(nyc metro) is about to blossom with storms. Its certainly juicy out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Pouring here with a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 30 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Might want to get it updated again tomorrow. Insane that another cluster of storms is headed toward NYC and parts of the city are getting hit again. Months like Aug 2011 are on another level altogether (so far, month is young) but this is getting crazy. Yes august 2011 was insane. I got 7" in a few hours. With a max rain rate of like 57 or something obsured like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Despite this: The first regular Friday Night Fireworks in Coney Island since Covid started---just concluded {9:42pm} Too bad it was raining and few people saw it. For July 04, a few days ago, they were luckier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 35 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Looks the the whole area(nyc metro) is about to blossom with storms. Its certainly juicy out there Yep. Manhattan incoming after over 4” last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 looks to miss here-thank God...lots of flooded basements and damage.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: looks to miss here-thank God...lots of flooded basements and damage.... N Nassau where over 5” fell might get these. Looks like some training echos too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Crazy lighting. Hail core coming at me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Insane flash flooding here now, some of the heaviest rain I've ever witnessed (heavier than anything yesterday locally) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 How is there no warning for this. This is insane. Lighting hitting everywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Insane storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Wind gusting now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Constant thunder and lightning with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Hearing all of this thunder to my west. Should be a fun one when it gets here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 1 minute ago, JonClaw said: Hearing all of this thunder to my west. Should be a fun one when it gets here. Hey claw!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Wow the wind is really ripping. How is this not warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 10, 2021 Share Posted July 10, 2021 Had an additional 1.5 to 2 inches from this storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now