donsutherland1 Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 Morning thoughts… It will be mostly sunny and pleasant. Temperatures will likely reach lower 80s across much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 82° Newark: 86° Philadelphia: 85° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 84.9°; 15-Year: 85.8° Newark: 30-Year: 86.5°; 15-Year: 87.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.4°; 15-Year: 88.3° Cooler than normal conditions will likely prevail through the weekend. Down south, many parts of the Gulf Coast, including New Orleans, Mobile, Greenville, and Pensacola, will likely see temperatures in the upper 90s and heat indices of 110° or above today and tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: a low of 47 projected here from Upton for tonight. The last time I reached the 40s in July were on 7/1/10: 48 and 7/2/10: 47 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 0.89 in the bucket last night. Now 74 / 66 and DT dropping. Looks like a spectacular weekend shaping up. On to August thread for longer range ideas cool - humid/wed (8/5)- humid-heat-wet (8/7) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 Concord, New Hampshire and Tucson, Arizona are an unlikely pair to have the wettest July at the same time. Several stations in the Northeast had their wettest July on record.The Port Washington Cocorahs station had nearly 15 inches. Time Series Summary for Concord Area, NH (ThreadEx) - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2021 13.04 2 2 1915 10.29 0 3 1897 8.56 0 4 1887 7.84 0 5 1872 7.72 0 Time Series Summary for Tucson Area, AZ (ThreadEx) - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2021 7.39 2 2 2017 6.80 0 3 1921 6.24 0 4 1981 6.17 0 5 1919 5.53 0 NY-NS-27 Port Washington 0.8 N Lat: 40.839167 Lon: -73.68025 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NY-NS-27 Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 1.04 07/02/2021 1.12 07/03/2021 2.26 07/04/2021 0.79 07/05/2021 0.00 07/06/2021 0.00 07/07/2021 0.43 07/08/2021 0.01 07/09/2021 3.07 07/10/2021 2.06 07/11/2021 0.02 07/12/2021 0.21 07/13/2021 0.04 07/14/2021 0.02 07/15/2021 T 07/16/2021 0.00 07/17/2021 0.00 07/18/2021 0.28 07/19/2021 0.05 07/20/2021 0.01 07/21/2021 T 07/22/2021 0.34 07/23/2021 0.01 07/24/2021 0.00 07/25/2021 0.22 07/26/2021 2.33 07/27/2021 0.01 07/28/2021 0.31 07/29/2021 0.01 07/30/2021 0.12 Totals : 14.76 in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 43 minutes ago, bluewave said: Concord, New Hampshire and Tucson, Arizona are an unlikely pair to have the wettest July at the same time. Several stations in the Northeast had their wettest July on record.The Port Washington Cocorahs station had nearly 15 inches. Time Series Summary for Concord Area, NH (ThreadEx) - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2021 13.04 2 2 1915 10.29 0 3 1897 8.56 0 4 1887 7.84 0 5 1872 7.72 0 Time Series Summary for Tucson Area, AZ (ThreadEx) - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2021 7.39 2 2 2017 6.80 0 3 1921 6.24 0 4 1981 6.17 0 5 1919 5.53 0 NY-NS-27 Port Washington 0.8 N Lat: 40.839167 Lon: -73.68025 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NY-NS-27 Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 1.04 07/02/2021 1.12 07/03/2021 2.26 07/04/2021 0.79 07/05/2021 0.00 07/06/2021 0.00 07/07/2021 0.43 07/08/2021 0.01 07/09/2021 3.07 07/10/2021 2.06 07/11/2021 0.02 07/12/2021 0.21 07/13/2021 0.04 07/14/2021 0.02 07/15/2021 T 07/16/2021 0.00 07/17/2021 0.00 07/18/2021 0.28 07/19/2021 0.05 07/20/2021 0.01 07/21/2021 T 07/22/2021 0.34 07/23/2021 0.01 07/24/2021 0.00 07/25/2021 0.22 07/26/2021 2.33 07/27/2021 0.01 07/28/2021 0.31 07/29/2021 0.01 07/30/2021 0.12 Totals : 14.76 in. Brazil has been unusually cold and old people are talking about the first snowfall they've ever seen there in their entire lives. Large amounts of crops frozen. Part of the same pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Brazil has been unusually cold and old people are talking about the first snowfall they've ever seen there in their entire lives. Large amounts of crops frozen. Part of the same pattern? Buy coffee, the cold in Brazil will really impact supply. Maybe switch to Red Bull? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 30, 2021 Share Posted July 30, 2021 Reached 81 for a high here. Currently 77/DP 52/RH 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Perfect night to be outside. Light breeze, cloudy less sky, Venus on the horizon, temp 67 currently, supposed to bottom at 50; we will see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Fair but somewhat cooler than normal weather will prevail through the weekend. Tomorrow will be especially cool. Temperatures will likely start out in the 50s outside of New York City and rise only into the upper 70s in and around the City and possible lower 80s from central New Jersey southward. Through much of July, the area of drought over northwestern North America has largely driven the upper air pattern. The MJO has played a much lesser role. Should that remain the case, much of August could see warm temperature anomalies in the western half of the United States, especially the northwestern U.S. and western Canada. The Northeast could see near normal or below normal readings. Since 1869, there were 9 cases where July saw 8.00" or more of rain. Only 1988 saw a much warmer than normal August (78.8° mean temperature). The remainder of that set of years saw mean temperatures below the 1991-20 August mean of 76.0°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around July 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August. The SOI was +13.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.713 today. On July 28 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.303 (RMM). The July 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.435 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.0° (1.5° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 7/30 ACY: 88 PHL: 87 EWR: 87 JFK: 86 BLM: 86 ISP: 85 New Brnswck: 85 LGA: 85 TTN: 84 TEB: 82 NYC: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 27 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: Perfect night to be outside. Light breeze, cloudy less sky, Venus on the horizon, temp 67 currently, supposed to bottom at 50; we will see. Very September like for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 maybe early september not late september 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Feel amazing out right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 2 hours ago, dmillz25 said: Feel amazing out right now are you talking about the yanks or the weather? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 The last day of July is averaging 71degs.(63/80), or -7. Month to date is 76.3[-1.3]. July should end at 76.1[-1.4]. Big HW starts around August 09. EURO keeps predicting rain and losing it. 63*(60%RH) here at 6am, m.clear. Reached 80* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 21 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: The last time I reached the 40s in July were on 7/1/10: 48 and 7/2/10: 47 Only got down to 51, dammit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Looks like Islip tied the record low of 55°. FOK made it down to 47° Which is a tie of its record low. 31 Jul 5:56 am 55 49 31 Jul 5:53 am 47 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Record cold…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Morning thoughts… This morning, the temperature fell to 60° in New York City’s Central Park. That was the lowest July temperature since July 4 when the low was also 60° and the coolest temperature in the second half of July since July 24, 2007 when the mercury dipped to 58°. Overall, it was tied with 1891 and 1936 for the 4th lowest July 31 temperature. It will be mostly sunny and cool. Temperatures will likely reach upper 70s and lower 80s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 77° Newark: 82° Philadelphia: 81° Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 84.8°; 15-Year: 85.7° Newark: 30-Year: 86.4°; 15-Year: 87.6° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.4°; 15-Year: 88.2° Cooler than normal conditions will likely prevail through the weekend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 66 now after a low of 61. That just doesnt happen much at all in July, late July at that. Not in recent memory. Weather apps say record low was 62, based out of closest station at LGA, but they fell a degree or two short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Looks like Islip tied the record low of 55°. FOK made it down to 47° Which is a tie of its record low. 31 Jul 5:56 am 55 49 31 Jul 5:53 am 47 54 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 52.4 in Muttontown & 53.3 in Syosset this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 55 degree low here, not bad for the hottest time of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Down to 52 last night with some California-like natural airconditioning over night. Some clouds moving through the area with mostly cloudy conditions in SNJ and more breaks C/N-NJ/NYC. IT should clear for most in the mid morning and make way for a glorious day and farewell to July. Low 80s dry and sunshine. BBQ - beach and pressure washing weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 56 here this morning. 50’s in July/Aug feel so foreign to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 54 here this AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Current dewpoint : 48F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Third year in a row that Newark finishes June 1st to July 31st with top 10 warmth. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jul 31 Missing Count 1 1994-07-31 79.8 0 2 2010-07-31 79.3 0 3 1993-07-31 79.2 0 4 2011-07-31 78.6 0 5 2021-07-31 77.7 1 - 2020-07-31 77.7 0 6 1999-07-31 77.5 0 7 2013-07-31 77.1 0 8 2008-07-31 77.0 0 - 1987-07-31 77.0 0 - 1981-07-31 77.0 0 9 1988-07-31 76.8 0 10 2019-07-31 76.7 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 Record low for date today here in Clifton, 55 degrees, records go back to 1973 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 31, 2021 Share Posted July 31, 2021 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Third year in a row that Newark finishes June 1st to July 31st with top 10 warmth. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jul 31 Missing Count 1 1994-07-31 79.8 0 2 2010-07-31 79.3 0 3 1993-07-31 79.2 0 4 2011-07-31 78.6 0 5 2021-07-31 77.7 1 - 2020-07-31 77.7 0 6 1999-07-31 77.5 0 7 2013-07-31 77.1 0 8 2008-07-31 77.0 0 - 1987-07-31 77.0 0 - 1981-07-31 77.0 0 9 1988-07-31 76.8 0 10 2019-07-31 76.7 0 top 13 if you count the years...1987 would be top 5 if it started three days sooner... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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