IWXwx Posted June 27, 2021 Share Posted June 27, 2021 There is model agreement in depicting below normal temps going into the first weekend of July, but quickly diverge with the Euro dropping in a high pressure over the sub and a quick temperature recovery for the 4th-5th holiday, while the GFS cuts off a low over the Great Lakes, with accompanying well below normal temperatures through the 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 27, 2021 Share Posted June 27, 2021 6 hours ago, IWXwx said: There is model agreement in depicting below normal temps going into the first weekend of July, but quickly diverge with the Euro dropping in a high pressure over the sub and a quick temperature recovery for the 4th-5th holiday, while the GFS cuts off a low over the Great Lakes, with accompanying well below normal temperatures through the 5th. JB is rooting on a chilly start to July. If the GFS verifies, that could be the worst pattern to start off July in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 27, 2021 Author Share Posted June 27, 2021 I have absolutely no problem with low to mid 70's on Independence Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 27, 2021 Share Posted June 27, 2021 If the oranges and reds were where the blues and greens are, I wonder if JB would have said that 75% of the nation population weighted would be ruled by warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted June 27, 2021 Share Posted June 27, 2021 I wonder if JB has written a blog post yet about how he didn't get COVID, because he's a shit brickhouse. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 28, 2021 Share Posted June 28, 2021 3 hours ago, IWXwx said: I have absolutely no problem with low to mid 70's on Independence Day. If only if it were to be dry and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 28, 2021 Author Share Posted June 28, 2021 On 6/27/2021 at 9:13 AM, IWXwx said: There is model agreement in depicting below normal temps going into the first weekend of July, but quickly diverge with the Euro dropping in a high pressure over the sub and a quick temperature recovery for the 4th-5th holiday, while the GFS cuts off a low over the Great Lakes, with accompanying well below normal temperatures through the 5th. Still just a wee bit of disagreement between models for the 4th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 I think we've seen this look before And precip: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 30, 2021 Share Posted June 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Forecast high for Sunday is 91. What happened to the talk of a mild/cool 4th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Forecast high for Sunday is 91. What happened to the talk of a mild/cool 4th?OP GFS was alone on an island, and the easy targets took the bait.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 27 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Forecast high for Sunday is 91. What happened to the talk of a mild/cool 4th? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 1, 2021 Author Share Posted July 1, 2021 zzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 Mid 60's today with a breezy Lake wind, then the heat starts to build tomorrow with low 90's by the 4th. Then cooling back to normal next week (mid 70's). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 1, 2021 Share Posted July 1, 2021 9 hours ago, IWXwx said: zzzzzzzz I'm just gonna say see avatar from now on lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Sunset this evening in downtown Findlay. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 2, 2021 Share Posted July 2, 2021 Gorgeous day today. After a low of 56 at DTW, a nice summer breeze all day is keeping temps in the low 70s with low humidity How I wish all summer was like this! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Quite the weather day today. 2-4” of rain and more hail then I’ve ever seen here. Lost power and my basement flooded with 4” of water. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Have a look at the extreme hot/cool weather for July 4th. I think we'll be in between these this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 From SPC 4-8. Summer is typically a low-predictability regime for severe (although lately when is A/M any different?) so kind of bold of them to put this in here at this range, and it's not Broyles! Quote A stronger upper shortwave trough is forecast to develop east/southeast across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest around Day 8/Fri. Stronger west/northwesterly deep-layer flow is expected with this system as a deepening surface low develops and sweeps a cold front across the region. Increasing severe potential could accompany this system and probabilities may be needed in subsequent outlooks if forecast trends are maintained. I personally haven't looked at any modeling for this time frame yet. Have to see if the presence of Elsa in the Gulf messes up the moisture return, although it seems like it should be out of there by then. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Absolute world class wx lately 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 3, 2021 Author Share Posted July 3, 2021 9 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: From SPC 4-8. Summer is typically a low-predictability regime for severe (although lately when is A/M any different?) so kind of bold of them to put this in here at this range, and it's not Broyles! I personally haven't looked at any modeling for this time frame yet. Have to see if the presence of Elsa in the Gulf messes up the moisture return, although it seems like it should be out of there by then. The long term forecaster at IND this morning mentioned the possibility of a "strong" system in that timeframe. Made me look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Mid to upper 80's currently around here with dews in the mid 60's. Air is a little heavy with 10mph breeze from the SW. Juice for tomorrows storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 3 days of fresh air in the house to start July feels just amazing. The AC will certainly be going back on tomorrow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian D said: Mid to upper 80's currently around here with dews in the mid 60's. Air is a little heavy with 10mph breeze from the SW. Juice for tomorrows storms. Our neighbors to the north are getting in on the PacNW heat dome, MCV action and wildfires. We have that telltale milky blue sky in Chicago today - pretty wild to see the highly amped pattern via smoke plumes emanating from Ontario and Manitoba. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Our neighbors to the north are getting in on the PacNW heat dome, MCV action and wildfires. We have that telltale milky blue sky in Chicago today - pretty wild to see the highly amped pattern via smoke plumes emanating from Ontario and Manitoba. I've been outside much of the day and noticed that the sky looked off. Was wondering if it was smoke. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted July 3, 2021 Share Posted July 3, 2021 Retired my old Davis Vantage Vue after 10 years of hard service in this climate. Just put its replacement up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 4, 2021 Share Posted July 4, 2021 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: I've been outside much of the day and noticed that the sky looked off. Was wondering if it was smoke. We've had a real hazy sky for a couple days now. Along with lots of cirrus. You can barely see them. Never dawned on me that it might me smoke. Been busy with other stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 4, 2021 Share Posted July 4, 2021 1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said: Retired my old Davis Vantage Vue after 10 years of hard service in this climate. Just put its replacement up. I have yet to get one. Haven't been able to, and I see people have trouble with them in general these days in the reviews. Tell me how it goes with your new purchase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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