SchaumburgStormer Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 2 hours ago, RyanDe680 said: Lol everyone calling bust and it’s Thursday night You don’t get this deep into a drought and go all in on a rainer that is going south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 SPC saying we could have some LLJ fueled naders tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2021 Author Share Posted June 25, 2021 Buckets right now Keep an eye on the area around I-80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Shifted northeasterly towards us nicely past hours. Nice swirl on the velocity on the svr warned by Princeton. Showing some nice gusts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Flash flood watch huh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 The comma head looks really nice right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 I picked up a bit of rain as the light rain shield expanded north. The warm advection wing of the MCS parked for a while down by Ottumwa. Radar suggests several inches fell to the southeast of town. They are really getting clobbered in the St. Joseph, MO area. Radar shows a band of near a foot of rain has fallen to the nw of town and storms are still training. Nobody wants that sh*t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Finally heard some thunder, gonna be underwhelming if this is it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Decent soaker here with 0.59". 3-4" fell down in southern Henry County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 comma head is finally bringing a good soak 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Smells and feels a like a tropical rainforest outside right now with a very fine/atomized rain falling. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Thank goodness it’s finally raining! The humidity was at sauna levels so we’ll finally get done of that water from the atmosphere to the dirt. Hopefully it will train… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 7 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: You don’t get this deep into a drought and go all in on a rainer that is going south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 It's been raining for the last 6 hours here, 1.42" in the bank so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Interesting tidbit from SPC at the bottom of today's 13Z outlook: Quote Though the "slight"/15% wind/hail and marginal tornado probabilities extend over a large area, actual severe threat will be far from uniform within it, as mesobeta- and smaller-scale features will tend to regulate upscale-growth/ clustering potential and concentrate severe threat accordingly. I'm glad they started putting this type of thing in there. A common mistake people make (and I used to make) when looking at those probability maps is to take them to mean that everywhere within that percentage zone has equal chances of seeing that type of severe weather threat, therefore in terms of chase targeting "one spot is as good as another." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 HRRR now shows us getting an additional 2" from now through 12Z Sunday (and up to nearly 6" in Sauk County, they always seem to get doused in these setups, with devastating flooding in 2008 and 2018). @cyclone77 is in the screw zone from SE IA through NW IL, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 8 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: You don’t get this deep into a drought and go all in on a rainer that is going south 53 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said: .71” here overnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 I've received 0.20" from this big rain event. The CAMs are showing much of the rain over the next two days falling nw or well southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 The patchwork nature of the bigger totals over Iowa/northern Illinois and Wisconsin from this sequence will make for some stark divides between green/brown grass and winners/losers among farmers. Certainly not what we were expecting/hoping for just a few days ago for areas north/west of the gravy train which now looks to be from eastern Kansas through central MO/IL/IN and then northeast across NW OH/SE lower MI and into Ontario. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2021 Author Share Posted June 25, 2021 Have gotten a few inches, so doing pretty well here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 9 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: The patchwork nature of the bigger totals over Iowa/northern Illinois and Wisconsin from this sequence will make for some stark divides between green/brown grass and winners/losers among farmers. Certainly not what we were expecting/hoping for just a few days ago for areas north/west of the gravy train which now looks to be from eastern Kansas through central MO/IL/IN and then northeast across NW OH/SE lower MI and into Ontario. Should add a few more patches today to the areas that have seen less (but not around Madison until tomorrow probably). HRRR is picking up on that area of clearing across N IL back into IA where a surface trough is also co-located. Storm motions will be 5-10KT so any spotty storms that form could dump some local 2-3” amounts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 was just gonna post about the brief glimpse of sun, would be nice to luck into a slow moving pop up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 1630Z update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Just now, WeatherMonger said: 1630Z update That's yesterday's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Just now, CheeselandSkies said: That's yesterday's. Yeah I fixed it, hyperlink reverted back to yesterdays for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherMonger Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon into tonight from portions of the southern/central High Plains to the Midwest. Damaging wind gusts, large hail and a couple of tornadoes are possible. ...Eastern Kansas to Midwest including IL/IN/OH/Lower MI... Multiple corridors of storm development and intensification are expected across the region by mid/late afternoon, influenced by multiple MCVs as well as an outflow-reinforced effective front. Damaging thunderstorm winds and a couple of tornadoes should the primary risks, with severe hail also a possibility particularly across the Kansas/Missouri portion of the Slight Risk. This is where buoyancy will be more robust with deep-layer/low-level shear are expected to be maximized along the modifying boundary across eastern Kansas into western Missouri. Some initial supercells capable of all hazards, including a tornado risk, will be possible prior to storm mergers occurring with gradual upscale growth during the evening with an increasing damaging wind potential. Other severe storms may develop by mid/late afternoon along the residual boundary across south-central Illinois into Indiana. Although instability is a bit uncertain given persistent convection/cloud cover at midday, a late-afternoon clearing trend in conjunction with MCV-related enhanced wind profiles could support some supercells/sustained multicells within a corridor across northeast Indiana/northwest Ohio into Lower Michigan. Presuming sufficient destabilization, a couple of tornadoes and damaging winds could occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 22 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Have gotten a few inches, so doing pretty well here so far. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2021 Author Share Posted June 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Signals for upcoming rounds seem to favor somewhere in central/southern LOT, so possible I could be well over 6" in the next day or two! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted June 25, 2021 Share Posted June 25, 2021 Is the tornado threat worth it? Thinking either over to far west central IL or Northern Indiana? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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