TimB Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, they will get those 3 players. I feel they are still BY FAR the gold favorite but this is certainly not America's best. Big Sleepy McGee. Agreed. This ain’t 1992, but it’s not 2004 either. But this heat talk makes me wish it was one of those two (Pittsburgh didn’t get to 90 in either of those summers). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Agreed. This ain’t 1992, but it’s not 2004 either. But this heat talk makes me wish it was one of those two (Pittsburgh didn’t get to 90 in either of those summers). I still think you do not hit 97 this season. We are fully on the down swing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I will, however, add that the EC does provide this “gem” of a day next Thursday: That'll be a nice hot day on the beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I still think you do not hit 97 this season. We are fully on the down swing now. I think the GFS is overblown on the magnitude of the central heat wave, regardless of whether it advances east or not. I hope we don’t hit 93 this season let alone 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 12 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I think the GFS is overblown on the magnitude of the central heat wave, regardless of whether it advances east or not. I hope we don’t hit 93 this season let alone 97. MY general view of looking at various runs, the last few days, is that whatever heat is in the center of the country will eventually move east but it is shunted and minimized a bit from extremes. I truly think our chances of hitting 100 are dwindling and really a long heat wave is starting to see less likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: MY general view of looking at various runs, the last few days, is that whatever heat is in the center of the country will eventually move east but it is shunted and minimized a bit from extremes. I truly think our chances of hitting 100 are dwindling and really a long heat wave is starting to see less likely. Bubbler the soothsayer has got the hot hand these days, hard to bet against you. I'll remain somewhat cautious as it's only 7/20 and we've had a lot of late-season heat waves in the past. Having said that...I hope you're right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Bubbler the soothsayer has got the hot hand these days, hard to bet against you. I'll remain somewhat cautious as it's only 7/20 and we've had a lot of late-season heat waves in the past. Having said that...I hope you're right! I also have that 7/25 date in my favor. It becomes less likely to hit 100 after that date and much less likely after Aug 8th (using MDT records as a guide). The long heat wave comment is more of a guess and seeing guidance not showing anything like that in to early August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 We will probably hit 100 in October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: We will probably hit 100 in October Weather extremes seem to be the new normal. A 100 in early October...never say never. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Blue Origin Forecast - Sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, sauss06 said: We will probably hit 100 in October For October, MDT did hit 97 twice and 93 once in 1941 and 93 in 2019 otherwise it has never been close. Surprising MDT has never hit 100 after September 3rd. If you take away the great heat wave of September 1953, MDT has only hit 100 two days after August 15th so its very rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: For October, MDT did hit 97 twice and 93 once in 1941 and 93 in 2019 otherwise it has never been close. Surprising MDT has never hit 100 after September 3rd. If you take away the great heat wave of September 1953, MDT has only hit 100 two days after August 15th so its very rare. Normal high for MDT on 10/1 is 70, so it would take a +30 departure to reach 100. I guess it could? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 hour ago, TimB84 said: 0z GFS looks like hell in the long term, 6z not so much. if thats hell...i'll take it. NO semblance of SER. just rather random w/ chances and general w/nw flow. Mets will throw fits as to who are the have's and have nots in the daily rain bucket. Popcorn T storms we used to call em. Mind you thats just parsing over 6z so as usual, the look may change by 12z, but it's been showing enough consistency that I'm interested in the respite from the moist weather we've been having. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Normal high for MDT on 10/1 is 70, so it would take a +30 departure to reach 100. I guess it could? I think it is pretty telling that except for 1953, when it did it multiple times, its only reached 100 twice (1973 and 1983) after August 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: if thats hell...i'll take it. NO semblance of SER. just rather random w/ chances and general w/nw flow. Mets will throw fits as to who are the have's and have nots in the daily rain bucket. Popcorn T storms we used to call em. I think its pretty easy to know one area/poster that will see a trash can full of rain from pop up storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 44 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: MY general view of looking at various runs, the last few days, is that whatever heat is in the center of the country will eventually move east but it is shunted and minimized a bit from extremes. I truly think our chances of hitting 100 are dwindling and really a long heat wave is starting to see less likely. Thats been a worry in my mind, as the central basin is cooking, it would only take a little sw or persistent westerly flow to bring the goods into our hood. I think its something to watch, but it's been rather stationary from the little i've been watching. Hopefully it just rots out there, and a big push from the NW suppresses it back to where it SHOULD be that hot, down south. Just a wish mind you, but it' can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I think its pretty easy to know one area/poster that will see a trash can full of rain from pop up storms. If I were a betting man, that would be Pillow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Been coughing a good bit the past few days...wondering if it's smoke related. Anyone else struggling with allergies or respiratory-type issues? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: If I were a betting man, that would be Pillow. I hope not. The Big Fireman's Carnival is nigh. If rain ruins the festivities I could see the local folks getting ornery and a real Pillow fight could break out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Been coughing a good bit the past few days...wondering if it's smoke related. Anyone else struggling with allergies or respiratory-type issues? I stopped in the MA thread and saw several comments similar to yours. I have not noticed anything myself. With a front (albeit a weak one) passing tomrorow, I wonder if it gets a bit worse with the mixing down and then clears out after passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I hope not. The Big Fireman's Carnival is nigh. If rain ruins the festivities I could see the local folks getting ornery and a real Pillow fight could break out. Pillow Firemen's Carnival is going to cut into the York State Fair's attendance... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I stopped in the MA thread and saw several comments similar to yours. I have not noticed anything myself. With a front (albeit a weak one) passing tomrorow, I wonder if it gets a bit worse with the mixing down and then clears out after passage. I did see a map where the smoke reaches it's worst in our area tomorrow. I'll shelter in place and put my mask back on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I did see a map where the smoke reaches it's worst in our area tomorrow. I'll shelter in place and put my mask back on. All I read was this...uh oh. Should I go turn on CNN for further instruction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Today is the warmest day of the week per State College: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 Low 80s weather I can deal with that for another month before we get excited for a change in seasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Been coughing a good bit the past few days...wondering if it's smoke related. Anyone else struggling with allergies or respiratory-type issues? In the morning yes, but i think mine is related to the damn AC running nonstop. Smoke doesn't bother me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I did see a map where the smoke reaches it's worst in our area tomorrow. I'll shelter in place and put my mask back on. Do you remember what year we had the smoke from the fires in Canada? that was worse then this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 20, 2021 Author Share Posted July 20, 2021 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: All I read was this...uh oh. Should I go turn on CNN for further instruction? LOL - yet another trail I'll leave alone. 10 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Do you remember what year we had the smoke from the fires in Canada? that was worse then this. I don't. I think in general as I get older I struggle with allergies and respiratory issues more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 10 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Do you remember what year we had the smoke from the fires in Canada? that was worse then this. I remember the ones (i can't remember how many years ago) from West Virginia. You could smell it in the air. I think it was in the fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 20, 2021 Share Posted July 20, 2021 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: I remember the ones (i can't remember how many years ago) from West Virginia. You could smell it in the air. I think it was in the fall. I may be confusing events here vs. Florida but some events I remember had actual ash on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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