Storm Clouds Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 What happened lol? We went from a clear day today in the forecast to a 60% chance of storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Pillow wins again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Picked up .30 from the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Pillow wins again! D$mn PILLOW! LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 19, 2021 Author Share Posted July 19, 2021 The Pillow storm might actually track even a bit farther west than the first one. While the cell is moving pretty much due south, the core of cell seems to be congealing west somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, paweather said: D$mn PILLOW! LOL. Don't lose any sleep over it! Looks like Pillow may push Training's topic over the 100 level. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, paweather said: D$mn PILLOW! LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 19, 2021 Author Share Posted July 19, 2021 Storm is sorta of Petering out over that mountain north of Harrisburg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Storm is sorta of Petering out over that mountain north of Harrisburg. I see what you did there. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Appropriate! Mr. Lindell. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Sun is coming back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 A visual representation of CTP trying to keep up with the forecast changes this afternoon. Allow Gate to stand for Zone Change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 We actually had tiny pieces of hail earlier 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 25 minutes ago, paweather said: Appropriate! Mr. Lindell. LOL. Disclaimer: The above is neither an endorsement nor a condemnation of Mr. Lindell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Flood Advisory National Weather Service State College PA 415 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 PAC041-043-099-192215- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.Y.0064.210719T2015Z-210719T2215Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Cumberland PA-Dauphin PA-Perry PA- 415 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 The National Weather Service in State College has issued a * Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for... Northeastern Cumberland County in south central Pennsylvania... Western Dauphin County in south central Pennsylvania... Northeastern Perry County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 615 PM EDT. * At 415 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Harrisburg, Lower Allen, Camp Hill, New Cumberland, Enola, Lemoyne, Wormleysburg, Millersburg, Marysville, Shiremanstown, Duncannon, West Fairview, New Buffalo, Rockville, Liverpool, Halifax, Dauphin, Harrisburg Area Community College and City Island. Additional rainfall of 0.5 to 1 inches is expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 The Pillow cells are moving or reforming as much west as south at this point. Carlisle in sight now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Neighbor who measures everything said Saturday we had 1.5” and 3/4” this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Had .9” rain earlier but that last cell missed me - less than .1 from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, sauss06 said: Neighbor who measures everything said Saturday we had 1.5” and 3/4” this afternoon. Your neighbor knows @Atomixwx? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 Some areas west of Millersburg are over 3" and they might not be done. Probably no way at all to check when the last time an area had a forecast of Sunny and ended up with 3" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Some areas west of Millersburg are over 3" and they might not be done. Probably no way at all to check when the last time an area had a forecast of Sunny and ended up with 3" of rain. Yea this was a real swing and a miss by CTP. Rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Some areas west of Millersburg are over 3" and they might not be done. Probably no way at all to check when the last time an area had a forecast of Sunny and ended up with 3" of rain. Freaky events happen. Laast one we had was 2018, when about 5 inches fell in an hour. And it was only about a 2 mile wide area. Penndot had their work cut out for them. 2 separate areas where the road was washed away along with the pipe that was under the road. I also had damage here also and a nasty cleanup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: Freaky events happen. Laast one we had was 2018, when about 5 inches fell in an hour. And it was only about a 2 mile wide area. Penndot had their work cut out for them. 2 separate areas where the road was washed away along with the pipe that was under the road. I also had damage here also and a nasty cleanup. No doubt but was the forecast Sunny? LOL. When they do not forecast rain that does not mean they are saying 0 percent chance but probably < 20%. All the Meso's had rain showers moving through the LSV today. Even the GFS had rain. The Precip map for today, when done, is going to be a very large area of rain that has fallen. I am not bashing CTP vs. pointing out/questioning how rare of an event this is. To have hundreds of miles of a forecast area get over .5" of rain when the forecast was sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No doubt but was the forecast Sunny? LOL. When they do not forecast rain that does not mean they are saying 0 percent chance but probably < 20%. All the Meso's had rain showers moving through the LSV today. Even the GFS had rain. The Precip map for today, when done, is going to be a very large area of rain that has fallen. I am not bashing CTP vs. pointing out/questioning how rare of an event this is. To have hundreds of miles of a forecast area get over .5" of rain when the forecast was sunny. I know yesterday the forecast was a 20% chance of showers an t storm. This morning not even mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 38 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Some areas west of Millersburg are over 3" and they might not be done. Probably no way at all to check when the last time an area had a forecast of Sunny and ended up with 3" of rain. That would be a daunting, tedious task to say the least. That said, there’s a fair amount of archive data including zone forecasts at (don’t laugh): https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml If you had a specific date(s) in mind, but I realize there’s almost zero chance of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 I don’t know what it is like your way, but I’ve never seen haze/wildfire smoke like this. Looks like the photos of San Francisco last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 13 minutes ago, TimB84 said: That would be a daunting, tedious task to say the least. That said, there’s a fair amount of archive data including zone forecasts at (don’t laugh): https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml If you had a specific date(s) in mind, but I realize there’s almost zero chance of that. Yea, I was not asking anyone for an answer. Just a question for the air. Case in point, Ctp zones went from sunny to t-storms likely in an instant today so there is very little limit to how incredibly tedious of a task it would be. Now on Iowa State....I have seen examples their work before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I was not asking anyone for an answer. Just a question for the air. Case in point, Ctp zones went from sunny to t-storms likely in an instant today so there is very little limit to how incredibly tedious of a task it would be. Now on Iowa State....I have seen examples their work before. Exactly. These offices issue several zone forecasts a day. Unless you knew specifically what day you were looking for, it would be an impossible task. I would imagine such a link would be useful for some purposes, but not this. It was more a way to chuckle about Iowa State again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Exactly. These offices issue several zone forecasts a day. Unless you knew specifically what day you were looking for, it would be an impossible task. I would imagine such a link would be useful for some purposes, but not this. It was more a way to chuckle about Iowa State again Let's face it. Iowa State has vaulted over paw paw and pillow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 19, 2021 Share Posted July 19, 2021 27 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: I don’t know what it is like your way, but I’ve never seen haze/wildfire smoke like this. Looks like the photos of San Francisco last year. It was like a white blanket of high level smoke today. I do remember some similar times over here but could not quote when. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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