canderson Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 My gauge is showing 1.75” rain it appears (from the window - it’s pouring still) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Just now, Storm Clouds said: At least we have chances all throughout the week! Yea, hopefully everyone gets in it next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 1” in 15 minutes ….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Anduril said: Looks like the worst of it went South of you guys Milton / Lewisburg def took some strong winds I guess it did. We never got a big show. Rain and thunder and lightening that never got louder than the TV, that was it. Believe it or not, winds never got above 8 miles an hour at Montoursville Airport five miles away! See for yourself. I can't really understand it myself. https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/pa/montoursville/KIPT/date/2021-7-11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 We got the goods...sort of. I believe the line weakened some at it got here as there was a continuous lightning/thunder event to my west, but as it neared, the lightning became more infrequent. We never (to this point anyway) got the instantaneous flash/boom that I so desperately crave. Wind toped out at 12.5 mph, and so far, with the heaviest rain east of me already, got 0.67" as of this post. On to the next one some other day I suppose... ***edited to add that the radar looked really good as it passed through, but it didn't seem to correlate with ground truth*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 hour ago, CarlislePaWx said: I did avoid anything approaching severe. I've had several episodes of lightning and thunder, nothing out of the ordinary though. Briefly very heavy rain but then back to moderate. Picked up 0.15" of new precip with this part and 0.22" total since midnight. Looks like you are tacking on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Family is on vacation, so I have no idea how hard the Danville/Bloomsburg area got hit. Looked like a bow echo moving through there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 12, 2021 Author Share Posted July 12, 2021 32 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Looks like you are tacking on now. Picked up exactly .25" tonight. Daily total is .50". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 28 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Family is on vacation, so I have no idea how hard the Danville/Bloomsburg area got hit. Looked like a bow echo moving through there... That's part of my route tomorrow morning as well. If I see any damage, I'll let you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, Voyager said: That's part of my route tomorrow morning as well. If I see any damage, I'll let you know. Thanks! Sort of like Tamaqua, the ridges around Danville seem to direct the worst storms just to the North towards Benton/Berwick....or just to the south towards Elysburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year! MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year! MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches. Sounds like your green grass will continue. Most of the LSV probably stays off the drought map this week now. I was told we would be put under D0 drought on the Thursday map this week as of now but I have seem them change their mind before and not sure they put a smallish area on yet. The person I know is not the decision maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year! MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches. And just a few days ago they were something like 3.50in behind for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: And just a few days ago they were something like 3.50in behind for the year. Yes, it didn’t take long to eliminate the deficit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 It sounds like more rain chances are on the way today and tomorrow for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Canderson commented on the SPC and I think the HRRR needs an "accommodation" as well. It predicted the line would hit a wall just as it entered the LSV and fade off to the NE and although it was a bit too far NW with where it happened, the actual result vs. the forecast is pretty good. Here is a HRRR from later yesterday afternoon along with estimated radar results. I would gladly take this level of accuracy from it any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It sounds like more rain chances are on the way today and tomorrow for many of us. Nws discussion doesn't sound good in regards to the extreme rainfall probability won't take long to get the ground saturated. I have 3.49in for the month here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Good lord, yinz had quite the day yesterday. Hope all are safe and well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 So I ended up with 0.88" for last night's event. This after an inch and a half on Friday. Whatever we get today will fall on saturated ground so flash flooding I guess will be a concern later today and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 18 hours ago, TimB84 said: @Bubbler86 Deep into GFS fantasy land, a nightmare emerges. Poof, its gone (or at least not in that location....Central Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Poof, its gone (or at least not in that location....Central Canada. I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat. You used the word Doldrums and that is what I feel like looking at the GFS and Euro. Same thing. Some days struggle to break 80 and others get into the low 90's. But most 82-88 (cooler for you). Lots of daily storm chances but I normally do not do well with that here. Harrisburg keeps stealing our "thunder". I did see the N Central US heat that keeps showing up. Not palouse level but pretty extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Pleasantly surprised to see .59" in the gauge this morning from some overnight action, nothing like what the Harrisburg area saw but I'll take it. After only getting ~1" for the prior month I matched that in the last three days; again, nothing like what some other areas saw but much needed nonetheless. Looks like a great chance later today for some people to cash in again. Summer rolls on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: You used the word Doldrums and that is what I feel like looking at the GFS and Euro. Same thing. Some days struggle to break 80 and others get into the low 90's. But most 82-88 (cooler for you). Lots of daily storm chances but I normally do not do well with that here. Harrisburg keeps stealing our "thunder". I did see the N Central US heat that keeps showing up. Not palouse level but pretty extreme. Stop talking dirty to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Stop talking dirty to me.... Ha. We have Palouse, Pillow and Paw Paw so far. The latter two scored big rains yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: You used the word Doldrums and that is what I feel like looking at the GFS and Euro. Same thing. Some days struggle to break 80 and others get into the low 90's. But most 82-88 (cooler for you). Lots of daily storm chances but I normally do not do well with that here. Harrisburg keeps stealing our "thunder". I did see the N Central US heat that keeps showing up. Not palouse level but pretty extreme. Definitely not Palouse/Pacific Northwest in general levels. Usually the ridge sits in a location where the Dakotas get the brunt of the heat, but their state records are 120 and 121 and very difficult to break. In some runs, the ridge axis sits slightly farther east where the MN record of 115 could be threatened somewhere in the western part of the state, and even a few where MSP’s all timer of 108 could be threatened. But that’s the thing, that region has also had a bout with extreme heat this summer, but it was in early June so it wasn’t all time records being threatened. Seems like the pattern this summer is for the extreme, all time record heat to just bounce back and forth between the southwest, Pacific Northwest, and north central states and largely skip the rest of the country. Not so coincidentally, these are the areas most affected by drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ha. We have Palouse, Pillow and Paw Paw so far. The latter two scored big rains yesterday. I think Pillow and Paw Paw might have both been experiencing warned storms at the same time yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ha. We have Palouse, Pillow and Paw Paw so far. The latter two scored big rains yesterday. Never forget that here in Lancaster County we have Bird in Hand, Paradise, Intercourse, and Blue Ball all in a similar corridor in the heart of Amish country haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 20 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Definitely not Palouse/Pacific Northwest in general levels. Usually the ridge sits in a location where the Dakotas get the brunt of the heat, but their state records are 120 and 121 and very difficult to break. In some runs, the ridge axis sits slightly farther east where the MN record of 115 could be threatened somewhere in the western part of the state, and even a few where MSP’s all timer of 108 could be threatened. But that’s the thing, that region has also had a bout with extreme heat this summer, but it was in early June so it wasn’t all time records being threatened. Seems like the pattern this summer is for the extreme, all time record heat to just bounce back and forth between the southwest, Pacific Northwest, and north central states and largely skip the rest of the country. Not so coincidentally, these are the areas most affected by drought. You bring up an interesting/extra point in saying extreme, all time...at least the way I read your post. Summer heat has been extreme for much of the country and locals in each area have certainly taken notice but I feel like as a whole we are in this mode of hyper drama where daily extremes are almost expected now. Not just in weather but in all phases of life. It has been something coming on for years but the daily covid updates and people sitting at home seemed to to really stoke it. I believe that 20 years ago the Palouse and Mid Central heat waves would be constant headline news now you have to search to find them on a typical news web site. Another example would be the US Basketball team. That loss to Nigeria was SUPER historic on several levels. One of the biggest upsets in sports history. Yet its just a news item that comes and goes with the daily drama. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 12, 2021 Share Posted July 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Never forget that here in Lancaster County we have Bird in Hand, Paradise, Intercourse, and Blue Ball all in a similar corridor in the heart of Amish country haha. That fact caused many a Floridian to giggle when I mentioned it over the years. There are definitely people who think the Amish have some deviant thought processes but ironically all of those names are perfectly fine if you take them for their true meaning and not what culture has turned them in to. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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