TimB Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 6:06 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: With so many parts of the country having excessive heat this summer, you’d have to think that the east coast will have its turn at some point. I think there will be a 3 to 5 day period where major cities hit 100+. I hope I’m wrong. Expand Definitely agree on this one. I’ve had this hunch for awhile now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 More rain. A little cell moving basically due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Some pretty active cells in the LSV or slightly west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 5:40 PM, TimB84 said: @Bubbler86 Deep into GFS fantasy land, a nightmare emerges. Expand Not sitting still long enough to check models but how deep into fantasy? 100+ days become much less common climo wise in two weeks (like we mentioned last week). Not that it cannot happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Starting to take interest in that line out in western PA…wonder if that will be the main show for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 I checked the weather this morning and it wasn't anything special here in Williamsport. I think maybe it was 1/4-1/2 inch of rain for today and also tonight, for a total well under an inch. Now I see they are calling for 2 inches tonight. What changed? Is everybody else supposed to get a lot more rain tonight, too? 5:15PM Update: Wunderground is now calling for just an inch of rain tonight. They seem to go up and down by a lot these days in a short period of time, sometimes maybe an hour. It is annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 There is something special about Tioga county. I wonder why they got left out our Severe Thunderstorm Watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 6:59 PM, Bubbler86 said: Not sitting still long enough to check models but how deep into fantasy? 100+ days become much less common climo wise in two weeks (like we mentioned last week). Not that it cannot happen. Expand As far into fantasy land as you can go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 8:34 PM, TimB84 said: As far into fantasy land as you can go. Expand 18Z is almost here to reverse it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 IMG_3583.MOVFetching info... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Above post is a quick time-lapse of the severe warned storm I just got right after it passed north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Is that current line modeled to reach the LSV later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 9:44 PM, Storm Clouds said: Is that current line modeled to reach the LSV later? Expand The HRRR gets it to the LSV then lifts it north/dissipates it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 The 74 dew point outside is absolutely brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 9:57 PM, TheDreamTraveler said: The 74 dew point outside is absolutely brutal Expand We are getting a fairly steady easterly breeze otherwise it would be one of the hotter days of the year here. After a beauty of a day yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 9:38 PM, MAG5035 said: Above post is a quick time-lapse of the severe warned storm I just got right after it passed north. Expand Board is giving me a bit of a hassle in downloading/viewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 9:49 PM, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR gets it to the LSV then lifts it north/dissipates it. Expand The latest HRRR almost literally gets storms to the LSV poof, gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Tornado warned storm north of State College looks like it means business on radar…crazy hook! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 10:23 PM, losetoa6 said: Gfs with a razor cutoff at the m/d line Expand Cumberland County, going into H-Burg, is killing it all of a sudden. Would really be popcorn time if that was a snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 It will be a shame if that line completely goes poof. I have almost completely clear skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 10:31 PM, Storm Clouds said: It will be a shame if that line completely goes poof. I have almost completely clear skies. Expand HRRR has been known to be wrong but I will be surprised if it marches through the valley as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Might be a tornado on the ground near Beech Creek, PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 10:30 PM, Bubbler86 said: Cumberland County, going into H-Burg, is killing it all of a sudden. Would really be popcorn time if that was a snow map. Expand Wow. I'll take the 2.25"+ its dishing out. As others have posted the dew points have reached their highest level of the season with 75-77 degrees not uncommon. I'm at 85/74. Got 0.07" just before sunrise this morning. The radar looks very interesting with a line of narrow but intense rainfall all the way from m/d line up to ny state line. Many times I have seen this develop out in western PA and right as it reaches me it breaks apart leaving me with just a moderate shower. Time will telll with this one in a few more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 11:02 PM, Anduril said: Expand Very much looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 Is that line going to clip HBG? Looks like it’ll be a close call as it will start drifting more NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 11:19 PM, canderson said: Is that line going to clip HBG? Looks like it’ll be a close call as it will start drifting more NNE. Expand I think the line probably makes it but it does seem the real business part of that line is gonna go north. Very pronounced bow on velocity working from just east of State College down to just below Lewistown and that seems to be generally pressing towards Sunbury/Selinsgrove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 10:11 PM, Bubbler86 said: Board is giving me a bit of a hassle in downloading/viewing. Expand I wasn't sure how well that was gonna work since videos are always hit and miss posting on here if its not a youtube link or something like that. I can see it on my phone and laptop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 11, 2021 Share Posted July 11, 2021 On 7/11/2021 at 11:30 PM, MAG5035 said: I think the line probably makes it but it does seem the real business part of that line is gonna go north. Very pronounced bow on velocity working from just east of State College down to just below Lewistown and that seems to be generally pressing towards Sunbury/Selinsgrove. Expand Agreed. Also hope all is well - nice to see you back after a break! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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