Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, TimB84 said: “You guys told me there would be severe weather yesterday so I cancelled all my plans for the entire day and didn’t see a single drop of rain. If I were that wrong about anything at my job I’d be fired!” Hopefully it never gets to the point where people can sue weather people for lost monies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 2 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: Yes, I do about 2 miles as the crow flies from Pillow.. You must be familiar with this area. I go through Pillow three times on Thursday and Friday and once on Monday. Every week. I take spring water to Weis from Tower City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: @Cashtown_Coop, one of us may score this afternoon. Rooting for the course. It can miss the house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Rooting for the course. It can miss the house Hopefully most score tomorrow and today a few get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 30 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hopefully most score tomorrow and today a few get lucky. How much for Pillow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, TimB84 said: How much for Pillow? Their lows are so low we may see some ice issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 9 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Definitely a cutoff with the core . Still a reasonable chance for areas around the m/d line for core effects . Baltimore areas chances are growing each run . Hopefully today's runs really hone in on the exact track . Regardless ...tropical moisture, approaching front, summertime heat means excellent tstorm chances Just noticed the new Nam keeps the core at the shore. No for Philly, BWI or DCA. Trends are not great for tomorrow. Worlds apart from the 12Z CMC which gave Lanco a full on drilling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Hi all...I'm back! No more perpetual daylight for me after not seeing darkness for 12 days. For those of you who replied to my Alaska post, thank you! I now have a much better familiarity of quite a few of the major towns/destinations, so I knew where you were talking about. The rest of my trip was equally fantastic. The trip from Anchorage to Denali on the Alaska Railroad was absolutely breathtaking. I love riding the train so this 7-hour excursion was full of adventure. It was very comfortable as well as we were in a dome-top car with views in all directions including up. We finished our trip on the railroad on Sunday back to Fairbanks. I'll be back later to wrap up my trip experiences. It's been sunny all day here with just some haze. Reached my high of the day of 95.2 about an hour ago. Dew Points have been absolutely ugly between 73 and 75 degrees giving me heat index values between 103 and 108 degrees. Yuck! As I finish writing this a little after 5pm it is still 93.4 with a dew point of 73 and a HI of 102! I enjoyed dew points that never were higher than the low 50's my entire trip with several days down in the 30's and humidities in the 20%'s. Walking out the doors of the MDT terminal yesterday afternoon was rather painful. The temp inside my parked car was easily 140 degrees. Took 5 minutes of opening up everything and running the A/C before we could get in the car without getting burned. We have leather seats in our Escape. I wish Elsa's moisture could have reached us directly but I'm hoping for some decent rains between tomorrow and Friday. See you all later. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 Welcome back Stephen! Sorry our weather is just a little different than up in Alaska. I can't wait to hear more about your time in such a beautiful place. 97/72 here. Sweltering is an understatement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 7, 2021 Author Share Posted July 7, 2021 High today was 97 yet again, it's settled back to 94 now. Much breezier right now than yesterday, which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 I haven't seen a legitimate thunderstorm all year around here until an hour ago. That stuff coming towards State College means business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 GFS has been consistently showing a big rain this evening over S/W LSV and it got it right though it ended up a bit more north over Cumberland County or the one in State College now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 Today's high 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 41 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS has been consistently showing a big rain this evening over S/W LSV and it got it right though it ended up a bit more north over Cumberland County or the one in State College now. It’s clouding up here in Marysville now, but it looks like the majority of the storm will pass to my Northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 MDT had a high of 96 today, which was 5 degrees short of the daily record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 CTP thinks the Eastern part our region is in the game for good rain. Focus shifts to heavy rain potential on Thursday as the approach of mid/upper trough through the Great Lakes combined with moist south/southwest flow ahead of TS Elsa continues to raise concerns about potential heavy rainfall on Thursday. An overall western trend has continued in model guidance today, raising some concerns for my far southeastern counties to potentially be on the periphery of heavy rains. There remains uncertainty in how convective bands may setup, leading to low confidence in how far west precip trends will evolve. WPC D2 SLGT risk ERO (2 out of 4)includes the eastern 1/3 of the CWA. We will continue to monitor with heavy rain/ff becoming the primary hazards on Thursday. As of now, PHI and LWX will be bordering our southeast counties with Flash Flood Watches as 2 to locally 4" is targeting areas just ESE of my counties. Increased cloud cover and anticipated widespread shower activity will shave about 7-10 degrees from recent highs with fcst maxTs in the mid 70s to mid/upper 80s. It will remain humid with dewpoints holding in the 65-70F range. Latest NHC track takes TS Elsa off the NJ coast by 12Z Friday but the cone of uncertainty has been brought a bit farther to the west so we may see some rain from Elsa clip the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 It is really dark out but no rain on radar within 90 miles. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, canderson said: It is really dark out but no rain on radar within 90 miles. Weird. Lol… I didn’t know that Harrisburg was 90 miles away from Juniata & Snyder county! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 7, 2021 Share Posted July 7, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Far from boring weather. Looks like by Sunday we get in a return flow for a couple days around the west side of Atlantic HP with also the aid of a cutoff low setting up to our west . Plenty of moisture transport and juicy pwats Going to need it if tomorrow falls through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… I didn’t know that Harrisburg was 90 miles away from Juniata & Snyder county! Severe thunderstorm warning about 50 miles from the burg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… I didn’t know that Harrisburg was 90 miles away from Juniata & Snyder county! I’m a journalist - math isn’t my strong suit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Topped out at 98 here today. Luckily we were able to take a late afternoon dip in my parent’s pool. Looks like no rain out this way tonight, really hoping to get in on the western edge of that Elsa action late tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 CTP has me with a 90% chance of rain tomorrow. Happy They’re more confident than I! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 Everything tonight is missing me to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, canderson said: I’m a journalist - math isn’t my strong suit Lol, I was just joking around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 @losetoa6 How is the 18z Euro looking for rain from Elsa for our region? Do you happen to have the rain total map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 8 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Bumped east Eeesh. D word is coming out again soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: A track west of Salisbury ,Md and still nothing nw of 95 . Dry west side of tropical lows disease is real. We need a due north or nnw trajectory to get good remnants here unfortunately. Occasionally we can score with a remnant low tracking far enough wsw and coming ne riding the Apps . Was hoping the storm would interact with the front (it still may) to give us "Non Elsa tropical love". But some depictions on the models are subsidence hell then bone dry for days. The GFS depicts some people not getting any rain through July 21. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 11 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… I didn’t know that Harrisburg was 90 miles away from Juniata & Snyder county! We were heading north on 11&15 coming back from a call and it was really dark on the other side of the mountain. It looked like you were getting rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 8, 2021 Share Posted July 8, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Was hoping the storm would interact with the front (it still may) to give us "Non Elsa tropical love". But some depictions on the models are subsidence hell then bone dry for days. The GFS depicts some people not getting any rain through July 21. Are we putting today? Saw the hrrr pops some bands up later. Things really drying out fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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