canderson Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 33 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Oz Damn...max of 13.84" ....but its longggggg range hrrrrrrr This looks like some cells I saw via a microscope in 9th grade biology. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I see a 12+" area north of Philly - isn't that the same area that has gotten whacked a few times this summer already? Yup. Multiple disaster areas around the NW suburbs there. We were out that way 2 weeks ago amd it’s rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 I’m preparing for the rain and on my 3rd Pumpking on a Tuesday night to just shove pumpkin beers in August in @Bubbler86’s face. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, canderson said: I’m preparing for the rain and on my 3rd Pumpking on a Tuesday night to just shove pumpkin beers in August in @Bubbler86’s face. It goes down so easy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 7 hours ago, Superstorm said: Me too. Almost every winter storm that was supposed to miss us to the south ended up being crush jobs for us. . Yes, many examples of this over the years. I am ready to track snow! Met. Fall begins tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: How much for Philly Such a classic line on these weather boards over the years…Winter can’t get here soon enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 58 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Definitely mixed feelings as I’m def excited for the event from a meteorological standpoint but on the other hand not too enthused with the likely major flooding impacts around here (and everywhere else) if we in fact see those 4-7”+ amounts back here in the more mountainous ridge and valley region. I agree, same here with the mixed feelings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Anecdotal - so far today every storm is dying out as it moves northeast of Chambersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 11 hours ago, canderson said: My guess: Harrisburg 4.2"Lancaster 5.1" York 5.2"Tamaqua 2.9" Williamsport 2.9" State College 3.1" Chambersburg 5.4" Clearfield 1.3" Here is my guess for the contest : Harrisburg - 5.3 Lancaster - 4.6 York - 5.6 Tamaqua - 5.9 Williamsport - 3.1 State College - 3.3 Chambersburg - 6.1 Clearfield - 2.9 Bonus - Pillow - 6.2 Double Bonus - Rouzerville- 5.8 Triple Bonus -Maytown- 4.7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 This is a huge event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Here is the 18z Euro… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Ensemble mean. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 This is a huge event.This event could feature just about every aspect of severe summer weather rolled into 1 day. With Harrisburg and points north having flash flood emergency while York and Lancaster counties feature tornado warnings. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 51 minutes ago, paweather said: This is a huge event. I’m going on a limb and disagreeing. It’ll be nasty and some creeks and roads will flood but I don’t think it‘ll be much worse than a severe 1 hour long storm that drops 2.5” rain. A lot of rain will fall. But 6” isn’t devastating. Edit: I don’t mean to downplay this event. I just don’t think it’ll be catastrophic-places will definitely flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Man it just let loose for 5 min here with rain. Those little cells mean business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Hey, all. Thinking about you guys this morning as I see the Flood watches and Ida remnants over PA. Hoping for little to NO damage, wise choices, and safety for all should any flooding occur. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 i guess its show time fellas. Rain, Moderate to heavy at times, 67 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, sauss06 said: i guess its show time fellas. Rain, Moderate to heavy at times, 67 degrees Hope for the best today .70 in the rain guage so far. Hopefully the heavy rain wont materialize. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 RadarScope is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Not a good day to realize my rain gauge isnt working on my weather station. Well that is annoying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Current OBS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Some areas near Pittsburg are already over 6". Here is the LSV and a bit north/south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Some areas near Pittsburg are already over 6". Here is the LSV and a bit north/south. .94 so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 0.47" as of 7:45am. I'm in Tower City right now loading, and rain is light to moderate at times. I guess I'll see how the day progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 1 minute ago, mahantango#1 said: .94 so far here. Nice. Headed that way in about a half an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Some areas near Pittsburg are already over 6". Here is the LSV and a bit north/south. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Strong wording for CTP e post-tropical transition of Ida (interaction with the mid- latitude westerlies and quasi-stationary front draped near the MD/PA line) will bring extreme rainfall and considerable flooding impacts to south central PA today into early Thursday. Strong signals in the latest hires ensemble guidance leads to high confidence extreme 24-hr rainfall totals of 4 to 6+ inches with local amounts up to 8 inches possible. The 01/00Z HREF probability of 24hr QPF to exceed 100yr ARI is 70-100% which increases confidence in extreme rainfall even more. To put this into a more localized climatological perspective, we are forecasting a top-5 maximum daily rainfall total at Harrisburg. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 8 hours ago, canderson said: I’m going on a limb and disagreeing. It’ll be nasty and some creeks and roads will flood but I don’t think it‘ll be much worse than a severe 1 hour long storm that drops 2.5” rain. A lot of rain will fall. But 6” isn’t devastating. Edit: I don’t mean to downplay this event. I just don’t think it’ll be catastrophic-places will definitely flood. Completely agree. I think this thing is moving along quickly enough and will be just spread out enough to avoid major issues for most. Now, there will certainly be some localized spots that are hit hard and some moderate flooding at-large, but I don't see this as a Lee or Agnes situation, too progressive. Also, I expect a relative lull through much of the morning and early afternoon out this way, with the real goods coming this evening. Still optimistic that the highest totals remain just to my north. My 7:30am tally was just under an inch. An exciting day on tap one way or the other. Good luck to all for whatever your desired outcome is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 it is as black as night in Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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