Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: I’m more wish casting the rain to miss. I can handle 2-4” of rain but 6” or more would really damage the courses I have not had time to really dig in myself but this seems like a dynamic situation anyway that requires people to be flexible and play it by ear. With the Euro, Nam and Icon all showing over 6" its definitely something to at least keep open as a possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 4 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Travel spot weather update. Sunny and 88 in downtown Palmyra. Sorry started a new job today at Penn State Health. 88 and humid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 I think we are in for momentumal rain in Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Gut tells me this trends south and heaviest runs northern MD. 1 hour ago, canderson said: I tend to agree, I think most here see 1.5-4" from north to south. I hope you are both wrong. I want an epic event for once... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 10 minutes ago, paweather said: Sorry started a new job today at Penn State Health. 88 and humid The Center at Hershey? Congrats on the new job. We were in Palmyra passing through. Stopped at a thrift store but did not spend too much time in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Horst mentioned that he felt impacts would not be that significant due to the very fast movement of the low, so the Icon solution is interesting to say the least. Don’t see how low stalls with that cold front. Steering winds keeping things moving.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Don’t see how low stalls with that cold front. Steering winds keeping things moving. . 18Z Icon keeps up the thought process though the rain itself does eventually clear out as the front leaves but technically the low never leaves the East Coast going into Friday. 18Z with a slight nudge south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: I hope you are both wrong. I want an epic event for once... You just wanna get enough rain, 6200 gallons so you won't need to go to Tower City. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Ground is supersaturated.I can’t imagine what 5” or more will do. Get the ark out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: You just wanna get enough rain, 6200 gallons so you won't need to go to Tower City. Tower City is a good, old fashioned rural PA town. You can buy 2-3 houses for the price of one in Camp Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 The Nam is a double digit midget for MDT along with the Icon and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 30 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Center at Hershey? Congrats on the new job. We were in Palmyra passing through. Stopped at a thrift store but did not spend too much time in town. Hershey Medical Center. Yep. And thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Center at Hershey? Congrats on the new job. We were in Palmyra passing through. Stopped at a thrift store but did not spend too much time in town. That’s smart - can’t stay in one place for long in Palmyra otherwise a sinkhole will swallow you whole. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, paweather said: Hershey Medical Center. Yep. And thanks. Congratulations! Best wishes in your new venture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 18 minutes ago, paweather said: Hershey Medical Center. Yep. And thanks. A coworker of mine left my agency for there a month or so ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 18z 3k NAM has Perry & Cumberland counties as the bullseye for 10"+. The last one like this was with Lee as has been mentioned numerous times already. I don't have my specific record but I know it was close to 10" in less than 24 hours because it flooded the basement of the house we were renting and where most of our packed belongings were stored. Cardboard boxes don't do well in standing water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 18z 3k NAM has Perry & Cumberland counties as the bullseye for 10"+. The last one like this was with Lee as has been mentioned numerous times already. I don't have my specific record but I know it was close to 10" in less than 24 hours because it flooded the basement of the house we were renting and where most of our packed belongings were stored. Cardboard boxes don't do well in standing water.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 hour ago, canderson said: That’s smart - can’t stay in one place for long in Palmyra otherwise a sinkhole will swallow you whole. Thanks so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 hour ago, canderson said: A coworker of mine left my agency for there a month or so ago. Yep. They are definitely hiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Congratulations! Best wishes in your new venture. Thanks much!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Big rainmaker coming for y'all. I'm quite jealous. Someone is gonna get absolutely dumped on: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 Wednesday night will be damn breezy. Probably going to have some power issues up on the hills with trees falling and elsewhere where they’ve had so much rain. HBG proper has been pretty dry the past 2 weeks as we’ve missed most every cell thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 This is about the time we need Roger Smith to stop in and predict 12-18" of rain with gusts to 60. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12" wouldn't shock me with 24 hour event True that! I do like your idea of 4-8"...sounds reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 15 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I like areas near route 15 up to the TP @Cashtown and I are both fine with a couple inches spread out over 24 hours. Take us into fall with decent soil moisture. No one wants 10" except maybe EJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 19 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I hear u . Fun to track until your own basement is under water . In all seriousness this looks legit for massive totals We are going to be putting stuff up in the basement tomorrow. Been here 3 years with no water but 2 of those years have been quite dry. But yea no should ignore it as whomever gets the high totals will not have much time to react if unprepared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 We should do a rainfall contest. Include the following cities: Harrisburg Lancaster York Tamaqua Williamsport State College Chambersburg Clearfield I thiiiink that covers the whole group basically without getting too lengthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Cashtown and I are both fine with a couple inches spread out over 24 hours. Take us into fall with decent soil moisture. No one wants 10" except maybe EJ. Voyager... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 31, 2021 Author Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, canderson said: We should do a rainfall contest. Include the following cities: Harrisburg 4.97" Lancaster 6.09" York 5.88" Tamaqua 5.02" Williamsport 1.96" State College 2.77" Chambersburg 5.41" Clearfield 1.66" I thiiiink that covers the whole group basically without getting too lengthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 31, 2021 Share Posted August 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Voyager... Yes, how could I forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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