mahantango#1 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yep - I actually received 15.11" from Lee (I'm 5 miles south of Elizabethtown) I got 15 from Lee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Houma, LA must be in the eye... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 This thing is going rake NO in the NE eyewall all night it seems as it slows down. It’s heading east of north. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 2 hours ago, Voyager said: And yet, my point&click forecast for Wednesday went from rain likely, heavy at times, this morning, to showers likely with no mention of heavy this evening. . Storm cancel…! (I’m trying my best Eskimo Joe impersonation…!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, Voyager said: Houma, LA must be in the eye... May be a reporting issue as the eye is well north and east of houma proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Storm cancel…! (I’m trying my best Eskimo Joe impersonation…!) Ej set the hot dog record (unofficial) in the Ida thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Eps mean 6 hour precip Can we please get this in January with a 1040 High parked over southern Quebec and a 980 low cranking off of OCMD ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 29, 2021 Author Share Posted August 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Can we please get this in January with a 1040 High parked over southern Quebec and a 980 low cranking off of OCMD ? If it's tucked in off OCMD I'm worried about changing over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 21 minutes ago, Voyager said: Houma, LA must be in the eye... That censor is probably FUBAR’d - the eye is just west of NOLA now. It’s gone more east than forecast. NOLA is in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 29, 2021 Share Posted August 29, 2021 That censor is probably FUBAR’d - the eye is just west of NOLA now. It’s gone more east than forecast. NOLA is in trouble. You see some of the videos of crazy wind tunnel effects, sheets of rain and skyscraper windows blowing out?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 30, 2021 Author Share Posted August 30, 2021 @Voyager the guy that made that idiotic comment in the Philly thread - he didn't even spell his hometown right. That oughta tell you something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Now there is video of roofs of some tall buildings coming off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 19 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: You see some of the videos of crazy wind tunnel effects, sheets of rain and skyscraper windows blowing out? . The worst is yet to come from them, and darkness is near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 The worst is yet to come from them, and darkness is near. Highest winds there since Betsy (1965) at least. Wind sensors at airport and other stations there all failed recently. This thing is crawling and they are going to get pummeled all night. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Did you happen to hear that today is the 16th anniversary of Katrina hitting New Orleans? Amazing...8/29/05 Katrina ravages NO. If it still is a depression we could see sustained 25+mph winds here Wednesday along with the torrential rain. I certainly hope the icon's 11" for MDT does not materialize. Even 6-8" is going to create some havoc around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Did you happen to hear that today is the 16th anniversary of Katrina hitting New Orleans? Amazing...8/29/05 Katrina ravages NO. If it still is a depression we could see sustained 25+mph winds here Wednesday along with the torrential rain. I certainly hope the icon's 11" for MDT does not materialize. Even 6-8" is going to create some havoc around here.5”-7” will send all the tributaries to at least moderate flood stage. Everything seems to be picking up on a through laying right over us for enhancement. Throw in a huge easterly fetch banging into that and mountains along with the core passing just south and the potential is there for areas to rival Lee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 38 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @Voyager the guy that made that idiotic comment in the Philly thread - he didn't even spell his hometown right. That oughta tell you something... Haha...that's funny! I had to go back and look. When I replied to his post I was on my phone, and the app doesn't show peoples locations. I'm now on the home PC which does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: If it's tucked in off OCMD I'm worried about changing over... Lol… how about we place the low about 50 miles off of the coast of OCMD for an all snow LSV crushing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… how about we place the low about 50 miles off of the coast of OCMD for an all snow LSV crushing! Now, now hold on...the Blizz and Losetoa model had me in the big snows but I do not like where these adjustments are headed. Pretty soon Mag will be be partly cloudy and the 'Ville is jsut flurries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 17 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… how about we place the low about 50 miles off of the coast of OCMD for an all snow LSV crushing! With the qpf totals were talking about, you think there was a SECS coming in. 3-5, 5-7, etc...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 I was just looking at the 18z Euro and its QPF output, which wasn’t even done through hr 90. This area back here would be in big trouble if we ended up with something like that, wow. While the Sus Valley had Lee more recently as the last major tropical flooding event, gotta go back to 2004 with the one-two of Frances and Ivan in a one week span back in this part of central PA for historic tropical related flooding. The 7.55” and counting the 18z Euro put out at KAOO would probably amount to something worse than even that if that actually came to fruition. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I was just looking at the 18z Euro and its QPF output, which wasn’t even done through hr 90. This area back here would be in big trouble if we ended up with something like that, wow. While the Sus Valley had Lee more recently as the last major tropical flooding event, gotta go back to 2004 with the one-two of Frances and Ivan in a one week span back in this part of central PA for historic tropical related flooding. The 7.55” and counting the 18z Euro put out at KAOO would probably amount to something worse than even that if that actually came to fruition. I don't have off hour Euro access. What's the qpf look like for central and eastern PA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 12 minutes ago, Voyager said: I don't have off hour Euro access. What's the qpf look like for central and eastern PA? Here’s the Hr 90 frame, which I chose 1 hr QPF to show roughly where the precip shield still was. And here is the 48 hr QPF total to that point, most of this falls in 24hr back where these extreme totals are in the central counties. That’s definitely the most extreme of the model suite I’ve seen for sure, and I hope it is being a bit too over amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 Flood rescue in NO again. Levees failing again? Crazy if some of these reports are true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 28 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Here’s the Hr 90 frame, which I chose 1 hr QPF to show roughly where the precip shield still was. And here is the 48 hr QPF total to that point, most of this falls in 24hr back where these extreme totals are in the central counties. That’s definitely the most extreme of the model suite I’ve seen for sure, and I hope it is being a bit too over amped. Thanks. Looks like it's going to be a wild ride for some/most of PA from this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Flood rescue in NO again. Levees failing again? Crazy if some of these reports are true. Looks like no power in the entire city now. Hope the levees hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Looks like no power in the entire city now. Hope the levees hold. No power for a long, long time it sounds like. Seems like the boat rescues are west of NOLA. Laplace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Flood rescue in NO again. Levees failing again? Crazy if some of these reports are true. I know earlier Cantore was wondering aloud on his live report earlier if the entire city being out took out some/most of the pumps that’s take care of getting storm water out. It’s been reported that a transmission tower failed taking a line down over the Mississippi. Either way, I’m sure there’s portions of the city that are having problems with flooding just from the excessive rainfall. As bad as things are, the center coming up just west of New Orleans instead of taking a Katrina like track just east should be keeping major surge off of the Ponchartrain levees, which was where a lot of the 2005 failures were (obviously much improved now) Instead, the major surge is on the NW corner of Lake Ponchartrain with the northern and eastern eyewall going up just west of most of the metro area. At this point of the storm, the fetch is southerly or away from the Ponchartrain shoreline in New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Flood rescue in NO again. Levees failing again? Crazy if some of these reports are true. The city looks like it’ll not have any levee issues (thankfully). S/SE outside the hurricane protection zone … diff story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted August 30, 2021 Share Posted August 30, 2021 watching some video this morning from down there, crazy stuff man. I'm going to spend my evening checking rain gutters i guess. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2021/08/29/hurricane-ida-lady-sea-hospital-roof-louisiana/5644880001/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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