paweather Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Someone is probably combing through the archives to get the real name of Paweather. That is BS! LOL! But those are my initials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: That is BS! LOL! But those are my initials. They should try search parameters "paweather" "BS" "Aikman" "Irvin" "Palmyra" "Bastardi" ...and see what comes up. Casey Kasem , Denny Logan and John O'Dea have all mentioned my full name on the air if you want to try. Some of the mod's know it as well so it cannot be too hard to find. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 .71 from that 20 min downpour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Just now, mahantango#1 said: .71 from that 20 min downpour Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: .71 from that 20 min downpour I saw Pillow got nicked. The radar estimated totals are coming in too low today as I am seeing some ob's .5 to 1" all over the eastern LSV into Berks. The storm that straddled Lebanon/Berks put down some 100+ lighting strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 445 PM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 PAZ057-059-232115- Lebanon PA-Dauphin PA- 445 PM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Dauphin and west central Lebanon Counties through 515 PM EDT... At 444 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Elizabethville, moving south at 15 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Harrisburg, Hershey, Colonial Park, Progress, Palmyra, Linglestown, Annville, Paxtonia, Rutherford, Skyline View, Lawnton, Penbrook, Cleona, Lykens, Paxtang, Elizabethville, Harper Tavern, Dehart Dam, Fort Indiantown Gap and Penn National Race Course. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 4060 7691 4062 7671 4033 7648 4025 7688 TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 345DEG 13KT 4055 7680 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH $$ Martin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 @Cashtown_Coop, chance some of the western storms get over our way in the next 1-2 hours. Would be nice. Been rooting on the Eastern folks for days now...we should cash in, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streak Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 8 hours ago, TimB84 said: I’m still feeling burned (literally) by September 2015-2019. But I guess all I have to do is look at last year, when August 20-27 went 85, 87, 90, 88, 89, 93, 86, 87 imby and then we still got a 2 week dry period in September where several days stayed in the 60s and a couple nights dropped into the 30s. I know a lot of people here are/were disappointed with the persistent warm temps last fall but here in York, I thought it was perfect weather. We had days that were overcast, chilly and blustery, cold and rainy, cool and sunny (perfect hoody weather), but those were regularly interspersed with warm, sunny days. If memory serves, the warm stretches were often lengthy enough to make it feel like late summer/early fall even into the first week of November. I think that was a common complaint last year. But then we had the first winter storm on December 16th-17th, which was a nice start to winter. If I’m being completely honest, I’m really hoping for a repeat of last fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 It’s been sunny all day which is wild since yo the east they’ve had cell after cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 10 minutes ago, Streak said: I know a lot of people here are/were disappointed with the persistent warm temps last fall but here in York, I thought it was perfect weather. We had days that were overcast, chilly and blustery, cold and rainy, cool and sunny (perfect hoody weather), but those were regularly interspersed with warm, sunny days. If memory serves, the warm stretches were often lengthy enough to make it feel like late summer/early fall even into the first week of November. I think that was a common complaint last year. But then we had the first winter storm on December 16th-17th, which was a nice start to winter. If I’m being completely honest, I’m really hoping for a repeat of last fall. It's only weather, right? The group is diverse so we will never find the perfect weather. I can only hope for the results that make everyone as happy as they can be. No one wants snow in Sept (except maybe a couple guys just North of Harrisburg). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 With all this rain that some of us have received the last 2 months, are we being primed for a tropical system like Lee to deliver the knockout punch? It will be 10 years next month since Lee. I remember I had about 15 in of rain at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: With all this rain that some of us have received the last 2 months, are we being primed for a tropical system like Lee to deliver the knockout punch? It will be 10 years next month since Lee. I remember I had about 15 in of rain at my place. If East PA/NJ/South East NY get a tropical system in the next few weeks, there is going to be a lot of destruction. Lets hope not. Y'all just need to start sharing. Paweather is about to get his third cell in the last 2-3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Cashtown_Coop, chance some of the western storms get over our way in the next 1-2 hours. Would be nice. Been rooting on the Eastern folks for days now...we should cash in, right? Would be nice before the heat wave. Just finished mowing so bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Would be nice before the heat wave. Just finished mowing so bring it. Its our only shot until Wed at least...probably Thursday. Meso's say we have a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Shower #3 just ended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Shower #3 just ended I think you probably broke 1" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 3.41" in the gauge for the event after a couple of passing afternoon showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 612 PM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 PAZ065-066-232245- Lancaster PA-York PA- 612 PM EDT Mon Aug 23 2021 ...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Lancaster and southeastern York Counties through 645 PM EDT... At 612 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over East Petersburg, moving southeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Lancaster, Lititz, Millersville, Willow Street, Mount Joy, Manheim, East Petersburg, Leola, Salunga-Landisville, Rothsville, Strasburg, Mountville, Quarryville, Delta, Wakefield, Leacock, Smithville, Holtwood, Shenks Ferry and Safe Harbor. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 4019 7650 4022 7630 3983 7602 3982 7604 3981 7603 3980 7605 3979 7606 3972 7625 3972 7633 TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 325DEG 31KT 4010 7637 MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH $$ Martin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 6 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Lol…We need to build the snow cover in Central & Eastern Canada! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 5 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Lastly, I see our good friend 'Ol Joe Bastardi has come up in conversation quite a bit the last couple of weeks haha. I understand Joe can rub some people the wrong way, and is often seen as quirky or goofy, but I also believe him to be one of the best out there at what he does. He's great with large scale patterns and especially historical analogs. Eric Horst even gave him a shoutout a few days ago, calling him one of the best tropical cyclone forecasters in the world. Now, even the most well-versed people in this business will end up with egg on their face from time to time. Heck, sometimes all the predictive variables can be pointing solidly to a particular outcome and Mother Nature will still do something completely different. Such is this goofy game we all enjoy. I was at a work conference one time and was fortunate enough to get to see Joe deliver one of his presentations. The guy has a borderline photographic memory about historical storms and I'm not sure anyone is more passionate about the topic. Again, I understand he can rub some the wrong way with his takes, but all in all I view him as a pretty harmless guy who's good for a laugh now and then but also knows his craft, albeit with a bit of cold bias thrown in at times ha. Also, he seems to be pretty tight with many in the Penn State wrestling community, so that's good enough for me haha. To each their own. Live on Eskimo Joe! Great post! I agree 100% with your thoughts on Joe. I have been and will continue to be a long time subscriber to his Premium website. He is tremendous with pattern recognition. His memory of great storms and the maps that he produces from analog storms or patterns are second to none. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 2 hours ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Would be nice before the heat wave. Just finished mowing so bring it. Unless it reforms a bit, the first line will pass by to my southwest. Adams county had their own blob heading toward it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 5 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah the popcorn is even fluffier than I thought it would be today. I might score a bit here in the near future, on a storm that is, as my wife is currently napping with the baby so no other scoring seems imminent. Update: I did not score, with the storms or in the sack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Update: I did not score, with the storms or in the sack. Should’ve married a Cyclone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Update: I did not score, with the storms or in the sack. So a dry day your way like Canderson said. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: So a dry day your way like Canderson said. So many jokes. So many mods. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 Very tropical storm looking last day of rain from Henri....largest LSV totals I saw were just over 1" in Palmyra and some similar totals in Lanco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Very tropical storm looking last day of rain from Henri....largest LSV totals I saw were just over 1" in Palmyra and some similar totals in Lanco We need sun and quite a few dry days, after all I have had over 5 in. Of rain in 8 days. We need to dry out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: We need sun and quite a few dry days, after all I have had over 5 in. Of rain in 8 days. We need to dry out here. Looking at models, you have today and probably tomorrow. Maybe Thursday as well. Afternoon convection seems to get more widespread as the week goes on to where it sort of rainy Friday afternoon. Wed seems more situated to affect Southern border counties of PA up to maybe Harrisburg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 Do the orioles win tonight? Some hot days ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 24, 2021 Share Posted August 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Do the orioles win tonight? Some hot days ahead. Is this a predict that the O's are going to get hot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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