Bubbler86 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 18 minutes ago, canderson said: Looks like this is moving out of this region quicker than expected. It’s drying way up on the west side. Tonight is now an east of the Susq night per Meso's. If they are right, the duration of the rain pulled back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 22, 2021 Author Share Posted August 22, 2021 40 minutes ago, canderson said: Looks like this is moving out of this region quicker than expected. It’s drying way up on the west side. 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Tonight is now an east of the Susq night per Meso's. If they are right, the duration of the rain pulled back a bit. To me, it looks like a large area of rain is poised to move into Harrisburg and points E/SE from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: To me, it looks like a large area of rain is poised to move into Harrisburg and points E/SE from there. It does look to be advancing south quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 22, 2021 Share Posted August 22, 2021 Yea turns out I was looking at the Mt Holly radar and not CTP lol - and I’m stone-cold sober! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 If that low stays parked over SE NY all day tomorrow I think we see some MAJOR convection in the afternoon. Could be interesting. Moisture pumping down into the LSV with sun and 80's. Get your pwats and capes ready to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 23, 2021 Author Share Posted August 23, 2021 40 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If that low stays parked over SE NY all day tomorrow I think we see some MAJOR convection in the afternoon. Could be interesting. Moisture pumping down into the LSV with sun and 80's. Get your pwats and capes ready to go. I agree completely. Today was fully overcast here with temps all day in the mid 70s. I'd expect much more in the way of sun tomorrow with drenching storms in the PM. Some areas will be mostly dry, but man...there could be some hefty totals just during the PM hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 MDT almost at 1”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 23, 2021 Author Share Posted August 23, 2021 Only .02" has fallen since 2pm, storm total here at 1.18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 I wouldn’t expect thunderstorms tomorrow unless you’re in the far NE area of this region. Shear is really low elsewhere. Rain might be he’s y in mid afternoon but otherwise a warm boring august sunny day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 I wouldn’t expect thunderstorms tomorrow unless you’re in the far NE area of this region. Shear is really low elsewhere. Rain might be he’s y in mid afternoon but otherwise a warm boring august sunny day. Smells like swamp ass outside currently so that would be a nice change . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 4 hours ago, canderson said: I wouldn’t expect thunderstorms tomorrow unless you’re in the far NE area of this region. Shear is really low elsewhere. Rain might be he’s y in mid afternoon but otherwise a warm boring august sunny day. Yeah. Still shocked how far west the rain shield actually came though. It's on the edge of harrisburg right now. Any farther west and we would have gotten a ton more rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Quite surprised this morning. Event total of 3.11" as of 4:45am. We had 1.77" yesterday (8/22) and 1.34" so far today (8/23). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 32 minutes ago, Voyager said: Quite surprised this morning. Event total of 3.11" as of 4:45am. We had 1.77" yesterday (8/22) and 1.34" so far today (8/23). .44 here but we have 5.83 for the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 I hope we don't have downpours later today, with the potential for thunderstorms to form this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 4 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said: Yeah. Still shocked how far west the rain shield actually came though. It's on the edge of harrisburg right now. Any farther west and we would have gotten a ton more rain lol We were not really getting the rain shield from Henri....we had an ULL trough over us and the moisture, outflowing from Henri, ignited it and wrung out the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 We were not really getting the rain shield from Henri....we had an ULL trough over us and the moisture, outflowing from Henri, ignited it and wrung out the atmosphere.ULL also helped weaken Henri.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: ULL also helped weaken Henri. . Yea. If Henri had been wound up and potent, we would have been in subsidence, sunny heat much of yesterday. It weakened and pulled Henri West for last nights rains in the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Lancaster County holds on as the LSV winner going into today. They are also much more likely to see the storms this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 Sometimes you need a GFS clown map to get through Monday morning of a hot week: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Sometimes you need a GFS clown map to get through Monday morning of a hot week: Take that Short Pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Take that Short Pump. Some 40 degree gradient between Pillow and Short Pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Some 40 degree gradient between Pillow and Short Pump. Civil War Met style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Some 40 degree gradient between Pillow and Short Pump. EC and CMC continue to blunt the heat this week. Low 90's at times for sure (both here and out your way) but nothing out of the ordinary for MDT and only moderately out of the ordinary for you. Back door front possibilities over here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: EC and CMC continue to blunt the heat this week. Low 90's at times for sure (both here and out your way) but nothing out of the ordinary for MDT and only moderately out of the ordinary for you. Back door front possibilities over here as well. It’s looking like there may be some hope here. Not for a nice string of windows open nights, but for days that “only” get into the mid 80s by the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: It’s looking like there may be some hope here. Not for a nice string of windows open nights, but for days that “only” get into the mid 80s by the weekend. Heck, there is this...not out your way but no rain involved in keeping temps in the 70's over here. Your 80's string may be near double digits though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Heck, there is this...not out your way but no rain involved in keeping temps in the 70's over here. Your 80's string may be near double digits though. I’d post the corresponding DP map, but beggars can’t be choosers and optimism is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: I’d post the corresponding DP map, but beggars can’t be choosers and optimism is better. Yea, its mid 60's. Not perfect but better than the 3 or so 90's days we get this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, its mid 60's. Not perfect but better than the 3 or so 90's days we get this week. I’m still feeling burned (literally) by September 2015-2019. But I guess all I have to do is look at last year, when August 20-27 went 85, 87, 90, 88, 89, 93, 86, 87 imby and then we still got a 2 week dry period in September where several days stayed in the 60s and a couple nights dropped into the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 7 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I’m still feeling burned (literally) by September 2015-2019. But I guess all I have to do is look at last year, when August 20-27 went 85, 87, 90, 88, 89, 93, 86, 87 imby and then we still got a 2 week dry period in September where several days stayed in the 60s and a couple nights dropped into the 30s. Between back door's and a trough dropping out of Canada, the CFS continues to advertise the first fall like weather for the second week of September. Lots of caveats to using the CFS of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 23, 2021 Share Posted August 23, 2021 39 minutes ago, TimB84 said: It’s looking like there may be some hope here. Not for a nice string of windows open nights, but for days that “only” get into the mid 80s by the weekend. that was also my takaway after looking at overnight runs. Might just be the last big heat week for a while or if lucky the rest of the summer. Long range was looking like a hint of autumn lurking. Me likes... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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