Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 CTP posted this for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 CTP had good info in their discussion today. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 1045 AM/1445Z update: Some adjustments to the forecast and HWO product, as per SPC outlook for this aft. Main change was an increase in concern for strong to severe winds with storms this afternoon across north central PA. Showers and storms moving just north of east, at about 35 knots, so not seeing a threat of flooding. Limiting factor is dewpoints not expected to be all that high. Main support is a rather strong upper level trough moving across the region for the first day of August. Most of the activity will be between 18 and 00Z. Earlier discussion below. 715AM/1115Z: Near term fcst is in pretty good shape and therefore no significant changes with the final midshift update. Showers/storms will initially be focused over the far northwest and southeast portions of the CWA through midday. Latest hires data continues to suggest a line of convection capable of producing strong to locally damaging winds will push southeast across CPA between 18Z-24Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Latest HRRR likes the Canderson split idea. CTP thinks many of us will cash in with the line this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 More soaking rains in Solanco.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 38 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: CTP thinks many of us will cash in with the line this afternoon. Convection lottery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Convection lottery. You’ve got to play to win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 Didn’t expect to see the sun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Came back from Florida and my grass is a foot high and green green green Another convection lottery winner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 There is a bit of training going on West of E-Town. Not super heavy but same areas keep getting rain. Some areas over 3/4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: My post didn't age well. A downpour ensued right after I posted. Approaching a quarter inch already. 46 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: There is a bit of training going on West of E-Town. Not super heavy but same areas keep getting rain. Some areas over 3/4". Yeah I’ve noticed that, would love for some of that action to make its way over here but it doesn’t seem to want to move much. I only have ~.05 so far. We’ll see what that line brings with it later this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 The darkness and increased winds have arrived but Williamsport is not part of the 4:14pm Special Weather Statement issued for nearby places due to thunderstorms. Now I hear the thunder. Let us see what we get. 4:57 Update. Now we are included. So far we have gotten thunder without lightening and the rain is not as bad as I thought it might be. ISSUED: 4:52 PM AUG. 1, 2021 – NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTHERN LYCOMING... SOUTHERN CLINTON...UNION...NORTHUMBERLAND...MONTOUR...JUNIATA... HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...SNYDER...AND SOUTHERN CENTRE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT... At 450 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near Petersburg to Williamsport moving east southeast at 40 mph. 5:20 By the way, from our Area Forecast Discussion: CLIMATE... July 2021 ranked as the 10th wettest at Williamsport (4.64"| +2.35") 9th wettest at Harrisburg (8.00"|+3.26") and 3rd wettest at Bradford (4.16"|+2.59"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 1, 2021 Author Share Posted August 1, 2021 3 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: There is a bit of training going on West of E-Town. Not super heavy but same areas keep getting rain. Some areas over 3/4". 2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah I’ve noticed that, would love for some of that action to make its way over here but it doesn’t seem to want to move much. I only have ~.05 so far. We’ll see what that line brings with it later this evening. .37" here so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: .37" here so far today. Radar does not look great for areas south of Harrisburg so probably good you scored just in case. Maybe something more develops in the next hour or two. But I just watered the grass as I am not optimistic down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 That Todd, PA storm may have the 'Burg in its sights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 Future radar looks good for Tamaqua, but I'll believe it when I see it...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 It appears it is going to storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Radar does not look great for areas south of Harrisburg so probably good you scored just in case. Maybe something more develops in the next hour or two. But I just watered the grass as I am not optimistic down here. Did you water the grass at the golf course as well. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, canderson said: It appears it is going to storm. Heavy rain in Marysville with winds increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Did you water the grass at the golf course as well. Thanks in advance. Only the 19th hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 Impressive line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Only the 19th hole. Lol. Right on. Course in York had a nice hit earlier but nothing down our way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 Even Paw Paw getting rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Impressive line Some trees down coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Even Paw Paw getting rain Paw paw, Todd and Pillow seem to get it everytime. There is one random cell headed in the general direction of one of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 And the line took a shit as usual up here. This place is in some kind of protective vortex or something. I've never lived in a place that outright kills severe weather as it approaches like it does here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Paw paw, Todd and Pillow seem to get it everytime. There is one random cell headed in the general direction of one of us. Splitville for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Splitville for me. Tamaqua south? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 No real significant wind or anything but a nice heavy rain ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Tamaqua south? Just checked my ytd precip, I’m at 20.75” through July. Last year I was at 24.29” for the same period. It’s been a dry year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 1, 2021 Share Posted August 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Tamaqua south? That's a torch I don't want to share or pass along. Getting splits and missing out on the action gets frustrating at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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