Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: need bigger boat....lol If we get too many I am going to assign some to giving daily Nam32K PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If we get too many I am going to assign some to giving daily Nam32K PBP. complete with SNOOOWmaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: complete with SNOOOWmaps? I can't wait! Where is Blizz??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: complete with SNOOOWmaps? They have to be country wide from TT, but why not? How much for El Paso? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 Snipped from CTP's latest disco: TOR Watch #401 remains in effect until 9 PM for southern half of central PA east of the Alleghenies. 40-50kt deep-layer shear profiles in place with 0-3km SRH values 200-300+ m2s2. Discrete rotating cells and or bowing line segments may be possible, producing locally damaging winds and a possible tornado or two. This atmosphere is as sheared as I have seen in central PA, and spinups can happen rapidly, so we`ll be watching closely throughout the afternoon and early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: They have to be country wide from TT, but why not? How much for El Paso? Too soon. Remember that time in February when El Paso got a bunch of snow and the east got a bunch of digital snow that became mostly rain all the way to Canada? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: I can't wait! Where is Blizz??? I dont think anyone would argue that you or Blizz gets the honors. You 2 can fight it out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Snipped from CTP's latest disco: TOR Watch #401 remains in effect until 9 PM for southern half of central PA east of the Alleghenies. 40-50kt deep-layer shear profiles in place with 0-3km SRH values 200-300+ m2s2. Discrete rotating cells and or bowing line segments may be possible, producing locally damaging winds and a possible tornado or two. This atmosphere is as sheared as I have seen in central PA, and spinups can happen rapidly, so we`ll be watching closely throughout the afternoon and early evening. Yeah, the shear and CAPE is willllllldly high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: I can't wait! Where is Blizz??? Just remember how many times the Euro snow maps left you VERY frustrated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: I dont think anyone would argue that you or Blizz gets the honors. You 2 can fight it out.... I'll give it to Blizz because he is our overnight guy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, TimB84 said: Too soon. Remember that time in February when El Paso got a bunch of snow and the east got a bunch of digital snow that became mostly rain all the way to Canada? Maybe not the snow in El Paso part, but the last part of your post happens more than enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Just remember how many times the Euro snow maps left you VERY frustrated... Sure did many times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Snipped from CTP's latest disco: TOR Watch #401 remains in effect until 9 PM for southern half of central PA east of the Alleghenies. 40-50kt deep-layer shear profiles in place with 0-3km SRH values 200-300+ m2s2. Discrete rotating cells and or bowing line segments may be possible, producing locally damaging winds and a possible tornado or two. This atmosphere is as sheared as I have seen in central PA, and spinups can happen rapidly, so we`ll be watching closely throughout the afternoon and early evening. guess they like this look eh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Currently at .02" of rain...there is a path (my specific location) to not see another drop of rain today. This assumes that what is currently on radar doesn't grow, reform, etc. Don't think it will happen but it could... Yeah we certainly could get split here by the main tranches of rain, and to be honest, that's what much of the guidance had been hinting at the last 12 hours or so. Just not my summer, guess that's what I deserve for choosing a handle name of Snowman *shrug* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Maybe not the snow in El Paso part, but the last part of your post happens more than enough. I still remember, and I remember because every single county in Texas was pink on the NWS map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: guess they like this look eh? I think they are looking at actual readings as that HRRR sounding does not seem high to me (Cape...any level). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yeah we certainly could get split here by the main tranches of rain, and to be honest, that's what much of the guidance had been hinting at the last 12 hours or so. Just not my summer, guess that's what I deserve for choosing a handle name of Snowman *shrug* You have repeatedly been left to dry. Literally. And it looks like it might happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I think they are looking at actual readings as that HRRR sounding does not seem high to me. i'd love to see what they look at during times like these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 If @Voyager is home today he at least got a good soaking. Lots of convection up his way. His gear is reporting .63 right now...but winds are negligible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You have repeatedly been left to dry. Literally. And it looks like it might happen again. looking at radar, im thinking you might get more than me as the asscrack looks to be headed right for me here in lanco...... go ahead...enjoy the visual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 20z cut back the ENH significantly: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, TimB84 said: 20z cut back the ENH significantly: We are Toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 We ended up with only .20 despite all the stuff coming toward us. Much of Adams did better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Radar shows a cell directly over my house - it's lighter out now than it has been in 3 hours, zero rain. Hell, the sun's actually slightly, slightly peaking. How's that possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 This is a bit ridiculous for those affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is a bit ridiculous for those affected. That arrow is pointing directly at my house. It's also going to miss @Mount Joy Snowman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 On the current radar I don't see any sign of the Johnstown severe TRW / possible Tornado. There's absolutely nothing out there. I'm referencing WunderMap radar. I picked up a whopping 0.05" with that line of rain the passed through here about 90 minutes ago. Stuff is going to have to form overhead out of nothing since the closest precip upstream is up NW towards Ebensburg. Currently 77.7 with a dp of 71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That arrow is pointing directly at my house. It's also going to miss @Mount Joy Snowman Sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Sucks. It does...I'd rather have no rain (or the .02" that I've mustered) than severe weather any day and night. I can water my lawn but I'll need help fixing damaged property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It does...I'd rather have no rain (or the .02" that I've mustered) than severe weather any day and night. I can water my lawn but I'll need help fixing damaged property. With all the lawn watering I have been doing the last two years I am finding that the "old wives tale" of nitrogen from the sky is partially true. 1/4" of rain is better than 1/2 of water from the pipes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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