Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Hopefully those farts produce some actual drops and not just gas. Ready for some rain. The HRRR has our back rain wise...not so much severe wise. Actually, like the 3K nam yesterday, sends the more severe stuff through S/W PA into WV and MD and/or has better formation to our east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Overcast here with just waves of increasing brightness then decreasing brightness. High temp so far is 78.6 which I am still near. Dew point has been steady all morning near 71 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR has our back rain wise...not so much severe wise. That line imbedded in the larger rain shield is hauling heading SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Overcast here with just waves of increasing brightness then decreasing brightness. High temp so far is 78.6 which I am still near. Dew point has been steady all morning near 71 degrees. 81.1/72 here. Kind of day when I walk outside, lenses fog up immediately. Sky conditions are the same here...peeks of sun, but overall it's still cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Tornado warning for far NW PA in Erie and Crawford counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 That line in north central PA looks to track east and stay north of the LSV…maybe that’s a good thing to not spoil our chances for later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, Newman said: Tornado warning for far NW PA in Erie and Crawford counties They were only in a Marginal Risk today with nothing noted by SPC for Tornado chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 37 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR has our back rain wise...not so much severe wise. Actually, like the 3K nam yesterday, sends the more severe stuff through S/W PA into WV and MD and/or has better formation to our east. Sign me up for .50” rain and no severe 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Sign me up for .50” rain and no severe We had enough severe with that microburst/tornadic like storm earlier this season. People are still working on fixes from that in my neighborhood. Lots of small trees uprooted. But I understand others wanting some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Still full of clouds - lets hope for some rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Still full of clouds - lets hope for some rain! But the Pillow Carnival is going on tonight. Some people have prepared all year for that (two years maybe, if it got cancelled last year) and I wouldn’t want them to get rained out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 Does anyone know when the next SPC update will be? I wasn't sure exactly how often they update their disco and maps. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Does anyone know when the next SPC update will be? I wasn't sure exactly how often they update their disco and maps. Thanks. 9:00 am, 12:30, 4:00, 9:00 pm (eastern) Latest outlook was largely the same as the morning one, though I’m sure the disco is worth looking at. Edit: as Newman mentioned below, the tornado outlook has decreased over PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Does anyone know when the next SPC update will be? I wasn't sure exactly how often they update their disco and maps. Thanks. Latest 1630z outlook still has the enhanced risk, shifted the tornado threat furthest east to the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, paweather said: Still full of clouds - lets hope for some rain! Just walked around outside and to say its cloudy here is an understatement We are socked in. Visibility probably down to under 5 miles. 79 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Radar not looking so hot and that rain shield is coming south quickly… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, TimB84 said: But the Pillow Carnival is going on tonight. Some people have prepared all year for that (two years maybe, if it got cancelled last year) and I wouldn’t want them to get rained out. That's right totally forgot about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, paweather said: That's right totally forgot about that. Pillow has had enough rain this month, based on what I’ve seen from @mahantango#1. Hopefully you and @Bubbler86and @Mount Joy Snowmancan win today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 It’s actually gotten darker and thicker cover the last 30 minutes. Storms should strengthen as they approach but HBG and environs might not see the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, TimB84 said: Pillow has had enough rain this month, based on what I’ve seen from @mahantango#1. Hopefully you and @Bubbler86and @Mount Joy Snowmancan win today. Thanks. I think Training is getting dried out fast as well...and some of our York brethren. Radar does not look overly enthusiastic yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 29, 2021 Author Share Posted July 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Thanks. I think Training is getting dried out fast as well...and some of our York brethren. Radar does not look overly enthusiastic yet. Indeed. And while @canderson has gotten more overcast, the sun has suddenly burst forth here. For now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Thanks. I think Training is getting dried out fast as well...and some of our York brethren. Radar does not look overly enthusiastic yet. when looking at the temp and dp's, it looks more like a run o da mill frontal passage w/ some rain on it. Didnt see enough variance on either side of the front to lift my eyebrows much. it is a bit thick out so I'm sure theres enough saturation for some good rain, but I guess we'll see if there is more of a show in a few hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 If I were the SPC I would put an ENH in the circled area below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 SPC says these storms are about to strengthen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 That line out by Johnstown is what to watch. It’s already strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Just now, canderson said: SPC says these storms are about to strengthen 40% chance of watch issuance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, canderson said: That line out by Johnstown is what to watch. It’s already strengthening. With little daytime heating and the first line of rain approaching, that J-Town line is our only show. Not a big chance of pop up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 That front line of Stratiform rain is going to screw everything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: That front line of Stratiform rain is going to screw everything up. Yeah this doesn't scream much severe potential to me, but I've been wrong before.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 29, 2021 Share Posted July 29, 2021 Rain almost in Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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