Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yep. And tomorrow looks real active Do you think there will be Warning level severe chances tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Must have been some river cooling going on. I reached 97. At least the average highs are at their peak starting this week. Then it’s all down hill for the average temperatures! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 hours ago, Greensnow said: The have and have nots. When I see someone talking about drought conditions it is a little like WTF are talking about. Over 3" for the week and 7" for the month with more incoming up here in the next 30 minutes. Played golf at Scranton CC last night and water was coming up from the fairways when you walked to your ball. Crazy. We have only had about 1.5" of rain in the last 40 days or so. A Have Not. Just 20 miles North of me and they have had 5-6" just this month. We are officially in drought but we won't be listed because the square mile area where it is taking place is too small even for a little yellow dot. One of the USGS employees lives in Hagerstown and I have the pleasure of communicating with him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 42 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I think even the M/D line can't be ruled out later on. Mesoanalysis doesn't look bad HRRR has been broadcasting M/D line all day. Random winners. Have to say though that the short terms models did not forecast the line going through the LSV right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Need to get that Harrisburg cluster up to Tamaqua before it fades into oblivion... I don't like the look of future radar, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Why the f is it about to rain again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Why the f is it about to rain again Send it here....PLEASE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Send it here....PLEASE!!! Hope it survives for you. This wasn’t modeled at all for HBG. Looks like I’ll add another .5” or so, and parts of the city will add an extra 2” today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Pillow time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 8 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Probably considering the location of the fr boundary and timing of significant afternoon heating ( mid 90s +) and with high pwats 2+ inches and multiple cell cluster rounds I'd think flash flooding will be achieved locally. But where? Area wide, or localized to the LSV, Mason-Dixon Line, Lancaster area, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greensnow Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 58 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We have only had about 1.5" of rain in the last 40 days or so. A Have Not. Just 20 miles North of me and they have had 5-6" just this month. We are officially in drought but we won't be listed because the square mile area where it is taking place is too small even for a little yellow dot. One of the USGS employees lives in Hagerstown and I have the pleasure of communicating with him. Yes- I am a black dot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: But where? Area wide, or localized to the LSV, Mason-Dixon Line, Lancaster area, etc. squall line looks to be aoa dinner time tomorrow per mesos. Like loostoe said it looks like the dynamics should be right for some and the line looks to be 40 N kinda deal per 12k, but 3k looks a bit more S w/ best dynamics. Being this close to the game, that doesnt inspire much confidence for the where, but the when looks like we should all plan on indoor dining for supper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 26 minutes ago, pasnownut said: squall line looks to be aoa dinner time tomorrow per mesos. Like loostoe said it looks like the dynamics should be right for some and the line looks to be 40 N kinda deal per 12k, but 3k looks a bit more S w/ best dynamics. Being this close to the game, that doesnt inspire much confidence for the where, but the when looks like we should all plan on indoor dining for supper. Thanks! Indoor supper is already planned. The wife and I are taking a good friend out to dinner at the Tamaqua Train Station Restaurant tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: Thanks! Indoor supper is already planned. The wife and I are taking a good friend out to dinner at the Tamaqua Train Station Restaurant tomorrow night. You’re about to get some rain. Looks like I had about .15” - radar looked heavier than it was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Pillow time. It looks like Pillow got some good rain tonight with this latest storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 CTP seems to be very confident in the shower & storm chances for the Harrisburg area tomorrow. Saturday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 90. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Saturday Night Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 70. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: CTP seems to be very confident in the shower & storm chances for the Harrisburg area tomorrow. Saturday A chance of showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 90. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Saturday Night Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 70. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. In answer to your comment a little further back...yes, I did get in to some thundershowers. It rained heavily for a short time (maybe 10 minutes). All tolled 0.37" in the bucket today with 0.02" yesterday and 0.20" on Wednesday. Six tenths of an inch isn't much but I'll take whatever I can get. Looks like you and I are on track for perhaps an inch or more tomorrow. Can't wait! My low yesterday (Friday) was 67.6 and the high was 93.2. The dews were back up around 75 a good chunk of the day which made it really uncomfortable to be out, especially in the sun. Thankfully, I don't have to be out in the sun if I don't want to be. One of the perks of retirement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 6 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: It looks like Pillow got some good rain tonight with this latest storm. .56 last night, 4.06 for the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 66 here this Am. Yanks and Sox game was allowed to go on but Yanks still did not show up. Edit-EC has little to no precip making it to the LSV today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 15 hours ago, canderson said: No rain here. We had a 10 minute downpour on the west shore around 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: 66 here this Am. Yanks and Sox game was allowed to go on but Yanks still did not show up. Edit-EC has little to no precip making it to the LSV today. Are you a Yankees fan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 17 hours ago, TimB84 said: The 107 was in 1966, so it couldn’t have been that. My best guess is 1995. 6Z GFS more or less kicking the can down the road on summer until August...frequent nights in the 50's for PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Are you a Yankees fan? NO, I am a Sox fan :-). I was rubbing it in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, sauss06 said: We had a 10 minute downpour on the west shore around 4pm Yes, and we got another good shower last night around 10 pm. More on the way today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: NO, I am a Sox fan :-). I was rubbing it in. Good…LOL…I was hoping that you were not the dreaded type of fan that roots for the combination of Cowboys-Yankees-Lakers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, and we got another good shower last night around 10 pm. More on the way today. Yep! I don’t think it’s going to take long to warm up, full sun already. Hoping to get a little outside stuff done before it rains again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Just now, sauss06 said: Yep! I don’t think it’s going to take long to warm up, full sun already. Hoping to get a little outside stuff done before it rains again Same here. I want to get the yard work done before the heat builds too much and before more rain arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Good…LOL…I was hoping that you were not the dreaded type of fan that roots for the combination of Cowboys-Yankees-Lakers! Damn front runner fans. :-). Cowboys-Red Sox-Capitals-Mavericks. I lived a lot of places growing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Damn front runner fans. :-). Cowboys-Red Sox-Capitals-Mavericks. I lived a lot of places growing up. That’s quite an interesting variety of teams. I only have a large issue with one of your teams! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted July 17, 2021 Share Posted July 17, 2021 Ok, back to the weather… CTP is very confident on our rain and storm chances today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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