Allsnow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Now we wait forever for the ECMFW! /cry yeah ur def going to be waiting a while for the ecmfw model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 wow LI.. BOS and SNE get nailed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Compared to the 12Z, that seemed like quite a shift on that run. 00Z runs tonight might be showing some 72 hr POSITIVE trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This is why no storm should be written off a this range! I knew DT's defeat post tonight would help us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Would a 50-75 mile bump to the west get Philly and Eastern PA into the SECS category? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p48_090l.gif Wow! .75" of QPF into Nassau County! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Does mid Atlantic bwi area get anything from this, or totally shafted? I'm rooting for y'all up in NYC regardless. about .1 qpf bwi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Lets see what the GEM has to say in the next 1/2 hour..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here's the QPF map...definitely quite a bit improved. Big hit for LI and warning criteria snows extend back to NYC and the Jersey shore. Even my area gets about 3 inches or so. I can't believe this is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Loving the trends. Keep on coming west baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 How long until the GFS Ensembles come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Would a 50-75 mile bump to the west get Philly and Eastern PA into the SECS category? I don't know about a SECS but at least i would cover the grass. It ain't over 'till the fat lady sings, folks. Let's hope that fat lady isn't the 00Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I would not be surprised if watches are issued for Long Island tomorrow, should the 0z and 12z hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WOW Now I did not expect to see that coming. 5-8" of snow in NYC, and 3-6" of snow for me. With what the NAM showed, I'll gratefully take 3-6", although I would prefer a bit more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Loving the trends. Keep on coming west baby! +1 call me a but i would love for this baby to keep trending west, goods signs with the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Would a 50-75 mile bump to the west get Philly and Eastern PA into the SECS category? Yep and we still got a few days left for this thing to come a little more west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 oh man, i am loving that. gotta be at least 12" for the forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This looked like the solution from (Im guessing) Tues night and Wed morn on th GFS/GGEM. Interesting if the ecm and ggem trend back. I spent the last few hours preparing 15 pounds of fish and making my clam sauce. I actually forgot about the storm for a while. Maybe I should keep cooking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 GFS is usually better than the NAM at this timerange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Hopefully this isn't a burp. realistically how far west could this trend? the damn thing is still roughly 70 hours away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This storm might not be historic for it's snowfall but it sure will be for the weather forums and model watching. Never have i spend so many days tracking a potential system, feels like it has been at least a week now. And we still don't know what to expect. Amazing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Glenn is on... he said getting interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 The next two hours 'till the Euro are going to be painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 00Z Nam @ 60 hrs 00Z GFS @ 60hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 about .1 qpf bwi Hey, 1-2"> 0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 realistically how far west could this trend? the damn thing is still roughly 70 hours away. There is a lot that could make or break it. 150 miles west isn't out of the question if certain things occurred. However the chances of a near miss are greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 realistically how far west could this trend? the damn thing is still roughly 70 hours away. NJ is on the razors edge, literally a 50 mile shift west over the next 2 days would put most of NJ into a SECS+ situation. The back edge of these types storms can be brutal. Im sure E PA remembers Dec 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 WOW Now I did not expect to see that coming. 5-8" of snow in NYC, and 3-6" of snow for me. With what the NAM showed, I'll gratefully take 3-6", although I would prefer a bit more... Either the NAM or GFS is astonishingly wrong right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 This just proof how this events final solution is far from carved in stone. 50-75 miles further west and all of NJ and even eastern PA get into a solid snow event. Of course 50-75 miles east then it would mainly belong to all the fishes and Cape Cod. I definitely like the much sharper look to the 500 on the 0z gfs. Just need it to be a touch further west or a touch more negative. Both those corrections are easily with exceptable model errors at this point. Fingers crossed the GGEM UK and or Euro can look very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm definitely waiting to see what the other globals say tonight, but suffice it to say that if there's a lurch west on the others, our threat might just be resurrected after all. I guess it won't take as massive a change as I thought to put us back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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