NJHurricane Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:02 PM, wederwarrior said: 3 pbp's doesn't work guys....just let tombo be tombo jusayin' yes Tombo has early access and a good track record of objective reading of the model...others please refrain from comment til the run is near completion or at least through the time period of our potential storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 60 sub 1012 low just of western panhandle of fl...the trof seems a bit more amplified, but im not sure it going to phase in time...lgt precip southenr va south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:03 PM, NJHurricane said: yes Tombo has early access and a good track record of objective reading of the model...others please refrain from comment til the run is near completion or at least through the time period of our potential storm. Point taken... I will let Tombo finish this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 66 sub 1008 low about 100 miles east of savannah ga...h5 low over ohio valley..lgt precip southern va south...lgt to mod on coastal carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 72 has a sub 1000 low about 100 miles east of cape fear lgt to mod precip on carolina coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 78 sub 992 about 200 miles east of orf ...precip offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 84 sub 984 bout 50 miles east of the bm some lgt precip into bos, heavier on cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray8002 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:09 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 78 sub 992 about 200 miles east of orf ...precip offshore We'll never look at the euro the same after this debacle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 and the Euro folds to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:09 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 78 sub 992 about 200 miles east of orf ...precip offshore its clear from the earlier frames that it wasnt going to produce its previous solutions. the rockies ridge slams too hard into the midwest, kinda shunting the whole storm to the east. a super strong confluence over the NE cant nullify that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:11 PM, NorEaster27 said: and the Euro folds to the GFS GFS the new Dr. No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Unbelievable. However it does bring some snow into the OV into central PA.Thank you though Tombo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Road trip for this storm will involve a car and then a boat. thanks again tom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 90 sub 972 bout 100 or so miles east of cape cod...mod precip over cc, some lgt to mod precip up to bos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 96 bos gets into some mod precip maine getting hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I expected a shift east but not to this extent. I think I can respectfully declare storm cancel now with confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow, well after this I guess it's clear that at least for this winter there is no better model than the other. I also need a break from this hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TKFJ Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The progressive flow of a strong La Nina....should have known better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Time to drop the storm mode. Thanks Tombo for your great pbp, we tried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 If you need to get it out of your system.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Everyone should have jumped ship once Margusety jumped on board with a big daddy. http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/43426/thursday-video-is-ready-to-go.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingwill Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow..talk about a gut punch.. This time yesterday everyone was going ecstatic at the thought of a possible Blizzard to now in the last 4 hrs maybe not even seeing a flake.. Big letdown for sure, what are the chances this thing swings back to the snowier Phased track by tonight or this time tomorrow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Cue Taps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 two things I can say after these last few days..this Dec has been a disaster for snowlovers..2nd..I'll never look at the Euro the same way again..other than that, it's a lake cutter around New Years..and then back to blocking and cold in early jan..I guess we'll pick up the winter again then..happy holidays! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 On 12/23/2010 at 6:16 PM, TKFJ said: The progressive flow of a strong La Nina....should have known better. Interesting how the Euro cannot adjust for this, was the slowest and deepest of all. And yet the Ukie was is likely to progressive - winner..... GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Again, look at the Climo. We got killed last year. Big snowstorms are rare for I-95. Odds are against it. Once this thing evolved from a west to east storm to a coastal that had to ride up, I figured it would just be a repeat of the last non event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Euro, GFS, GEFS and UK now in reasonable agreement. Finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It will be quite a while until we see a snow threat again. By the way, the KMA doesn't look so bad after all, does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow, 12z Euro went wayyyy east. This'll end up all for the fishes, crazy. Funny the 12z Euro throws snow back into the Ohio Valley and Central PA. What's causing that light snow to come that far north and then east as the storm rides up the coast and heads out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 it's the front piece of energy over ohio that's killing this.. not the ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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